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Accurate and timely large-scale paddy rice maps with remote sensing are essential for crop monitoring and management and are used for assessing its impacts on food security, water resource management, and transmission of zoonotic infectious diseases. Optical image-based paddy rice mapping studies employed the unique spectral feature during the flooding/transplanting period of paddy rice. However, the lack of high-quality observations during the flooding/transplanting stage caused by rain and clouds and spectral similarity between paddy rice and natural wetlands often introduce errors in paddy rice identification, especially in paddy rice and wetland coexistent areas. In this study, we used a knowledge-based algorithm and time series observation from optical images (Sentinel-2 and Landsat 7/8) and microwave images (Sentinel-1) to address these issues. The final 10-m paddy rice map had user’s accuracy, producer’s accuracy, F1-score, and overall accuracy of 0.91 ± 0.004, 0.74 ± 0.010, 0.82, and 0.98 ± 0.001 (± value is the standard error), respectively. Over half (62.0%) of the paddy rice pixels had a confidence level of 1 (detected by both optical images and microwave images), while 38.0% had a confidence level of 0.5 (detected by either optical images or microwave images). The estimated paddy rice area in northeast China for 2020 was 60.83 ± 0.86 × 103 km2. Provincial and municipal rice areas in our data set agreed well with other existing paddy rice data sets and the Agricultural Statistical Yearbooks. These findings indicate that knowledge-based paddy rice mapping algorithms and a combination of optical and microwave images hold great potential for timely and frequently accurate paddy rice mapping in large-scale complex landscapes.more » « less
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Highly pathogenic avian influenza viruses (HPAIV) persistently threaten wild waterfowl, domestic poultry, and public health. The East Asian–Australasian Flyway plays a crucial role in HPAIV dynamics due to its large populations of migratory waterfowl and poultry. Over recent decades, this flyway has undergone substantial landscape changes, including both losses and gains of waterfowl habitats. These changes can affect waterfowl distributions, increase contact with poultry, and consequently alter ecological conditions that favor avian influenza virus (AIV) evolution. However, limited research has assessed these likely impacts. Here, we integrated empirical data and an individual-based model to simulate AIV transmission in migratory waterfowl and domestic poultry, including wild-to-poultry spillover and reassortment dynamics in poultry, across landscapes representing the years 2000 and 2015. We used the reassortment incidence as a proxy for ecological and transmission conditions that support viral diversification and the emergence of novel subtypes. Our simulations show that landscape change reshaped the waterfowl distribution, facilitated bird aggregation at improved habitats, increased coinfection, and raised reassortment rate by 1,593%, indicating a substantially higher potential for viral diversification and emergence. Model-generated risk maps show expanded and increased reassortment risk in southeastern China, the Yellow River Basin, and northeastern China. These findings suggest the importance of landscape change as a driver of potential AIV diversification and subtype emergence. This underscores the need for interdisciplinary approaches that integrate landscape dynamics, host movement, and viral evolution to better assess and mitigate future risk.more » « less
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