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Abstract The Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) airborne radio occultation (ARO) technique is used to retrieve profiles of the atmosphere during reconnaissance missions for atmospheric rivers (ARs) on the west coast of the United States. The measurements of refractive bending angle integrate the effects of variations in refractive index over long near‐horizontal ray‐paths from a spaceborne transmitter to a receiver onboard an aircraft. A forward operator is required to assimilate ARO observations, which are sensitive to pressure, temperature, and humidity, into numerical weather prediction models to support forecasting of ARs. A two‐dimensional (2D) bending angle operator is proposed to enable capturing key atmospheric features associated with strong ARs. Comparison to a one‐dimensional (1D) forward model supports the evidence of large bending angle departures within 3–7 km impact heights for observations collected in a region characterized by the integrated water vapor transport (IVT) magnitude above 500 kg . The assessment of the 2D forward model for ARO retrievals is based on a sequence of six flights leading up to a significant AR precipitation event in January 2021. Since the observations often sample regions outside the AR where moisture is low, the significance of horizontal variations is obscured in the average bending angle statistics. Examples from individual flights sampling the cross‐section of an AR support the need for the 2D forward model. Additional simulation experiments are performed to quantify forward modeling errors due to tangent point drift and horizontal gradients suggesting contributions on the order of 5% and 20%, respectively.more » « lessFree, publicly-accessible full text available April 1, 2026
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Abstract. Current climate models have difficulty representing realistic wave–mean flow interactions, partly because the contribution from waves with fine vertical scales is poorly known. There are few direct observations of these waves, and most models have difficulty resolving them. This observational challenge cannot be addressed by satellite or sparse ground-based methods. The Strateole-2 long-duration stratospheric superpressure balloons that float with the horizontal wind on constant-density surfaces provide a unique platform for wave observations across a broad range of spatial and temporal scales. For the first time, balloon-borne Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) radio occultation (RO) is used to provide high-vertical-resolution equatorial wave observations. By tracking navigation signal refractive delays from GPS satellites near the horizon, 40–50 temperature profiles were retrieved daily, from balloon flight altitude (∼20 km) down to 6–8 km altitude, forming an orthogonal pattern of observations over a broad area (±400–500 km) surrounding the flight track. The refractivity profiles show an excellent agreement of better than 0.2 % with co-located radiosonde, spaceborne COSMIC-2 RO, and reanalysis products. The 200–500 m vertical resolution and the spatial and temporal continuity of sampling make it possible to extract properties of Kelvin waves and gravity waves with vertical wavelengths as short as 2–3 km. The results illustrate the difference in the Kelvin wave period (20 vs. 16 d) in the Lagrangian versus ground-fixed reference and as much as a 20 % difference in amplitude compared to COSMIC-2, both of which impact estimates of momentum flux. A small dataset from the extra Galileo, GLONASS, and BeiDou constellations demonstrates the feasibility of nearly doubling the sampling density in planned follow-on campaigns when data with full equatorial coverage will contribute to a better estimate of wave forcing on the quasi-biennial oscillation (QBO) and improved QBO representation in models.more » « less
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