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Abstract Kelp forests form some of the most productive areas on earth and are proposed to sequester carbon in the ocean, largely in the form of released dissolved organic carbon (DOC). Here we investigate the role of environmental, seasonal and age-related physiological gradients on the partitioning of net primary production (NPP) into DOC by the canopy forming giant kelp (Macrocystis pyrifera). Rates of DOC production were strongly influenced by an age-related decline in physiological condition (i.e. senescence). During the mature stage of giant kelp development, DOC production was a small and constant fraction of NPP regardless of tissue nitrogen content or light intensity. When giant kelp entered its senescent phase, DOC production increased substantially and was uncoupled from NPP and light intensity. Compositional analysis of giant kelp-derived DOC showed that elevated DOC production during senescence was due to the solubilization of biomass carbon, rather than by direct exudation. We coupled our incubation and physiological experiments to a novel satellite-derived 20-year time series of giant kelp canopy biomass and physiology. Annual DOC production by giant kelp varied due to differences in standing biomass between years, but on average, 74% of the annual DOC production by giant kelp was due to senescence. This study suggests DOC may be a more important fate of macroalgal NPP than previously recognized. 

Abstract Marine protected areas (MPAs) are an important tool for conserving coastal marine ecosystems, with well‐documented benefits for fished species. However, their potential to benefit non‐exploited species, such as primary producers in kelp forest ecosystems, is less well understood, particularly under escalating climate change impacts.In this study, we used four decades of remote sensing to examine the effects of 54 MPAs on kelp canopy coverage and assess how these effects influence kelp resilience to marine heatwaves. We developed a method for identifying paired reference (control) sites using historical satellite data and then used Before‐After Control‐Impact Paired Series analysis to examine whether the implementation of MPAs leads to increases in kelp coverage. In addition to examining changes in kelp coverage before and after MPA implementation, we also analysed the effect of MPAs on the resistance and recovery of kelp canopy coverage to a series of severe marine heatwaves in the North Pacific between 2014 and 2016.We found that the implementation of MPAs led to a modest positive effect with an 8.5% increase in kelp coverage compared to reference areas, though effects varied across MPAs.The positive effect of MPAs became more evident following the marine heatwaves, with kelp forests in MPAs showing greater recovery than in reference sites, particularly in southern California.Synthesis and applications. Our results provide empirical evidence of the potential role of MPAs as climate adaptation tools and highlight that well‐managed MPAs can support ecosystem stability under increasing climate stress. 

ABSTRACT MotivationHere, we make available a second version of the BioTIME database, which compiles records of abundance estimates for species in sample events of ecological assemblages through time. The updated version expands version 1.0 of the database by doubling the number of studies and includes substantial additional curation to the taxonomic accuracy of the records, as well as the metadata. Moreover, we now provide an R package (BioTIMEr) to facilitate use of the database. Main Types of Variables IncludedThe database is composed of one main data table containing the abundance records and 11 metadata tables. The data are organised in a hierarchy of scales where 11,989,233 records are nested in 1,603,067 sample events, from 553,253 sampling locations, which are nested in 708 studies. A study is defined as a sampling methodology applied to an assemblage for a minimum of 2 years. Spatial Location and GrainSampling locations in BioTIME are distributed across the planet, including marine, terrestrial and freshwater realms. Spatial grain size and extent vary across studies depending on sampling methodology. We recommend gridding of sampling locations into areas of consistent size. Time Period and GrainThe earliest time series in BioTIME start in 1874, and the most recent records are from 2023. Temporal grain and duration vary across studies. We recommend doing sample‐level rarefaction to ensure consistent sampling effort through time before calculating any diversity metric. Major Taxa and Level of MeasurementThe database includes any eukaryotic taxa, with a combined total of 56,400 taxa. Software Formatcsv and. SQL. 

Abstract Cross-ecosystem subsidies influence the structure and dynamics of recipient ecosystems and can be sensitive to disturbance. Primary production exported from marine to shoreline ecosystems is among the largest known cross-ecosystem subsidies. However, the spatial scales at which this important connection is manifested are largely unquantified. We used local and regional observations of nearshore kelp canopy biomass and beach kelp wrack inputs to evaluate the scales at which connectivity between kelp forests and beaches is maximized. Regardless of the spatial and temporal scales considered, connectivity was highly local (<10 km) and strongest in winter. Kelp canopy biomass was the primary driver of wrack subsidies, but recipient ecosystem attributes, particularly beach width and orientation, were also important. These drivers of connectivity highlight that disturbance to either ecosystem will have large implications for beach ecosystem productivity. Spatial connectivity can regulate recovery from disturbances such that ecosystem connections must be considered in conservation efforts. 

Abstract Marine protected areas (MPAs) are widely implemented tools for long‐term ocean conservation and resource management. Assessments of MPA performance have largely focused on specific ecosystems individually and have rarely evaluated performance across multiple ecosystems either in an individual MPA or across an MPA network. We evaluated the conservation performance of 59 MPAs in California's large MPA network, which encompasses 4 primary ecosystems (surf zone, kelp forest, shallow reef, deep reef) and 4 bioregions, and identified MPA attributes that best explain performance. Using a meta‐analytic framework, we evaluated the ability of MPAs to conserve fish biomass, richness, and diversity. At the scale of the network and for 3 of 4 regions, the biomass of species targeted by fishing was positively associated with the level of regulatory protection and was greater inside no‐take MPAs, whereas species not targeted by fishing had similar biomass in MPAs and areas open to fishing. In contrast, species richness and diversity were not as strongly enhanced by MPA protection. The key features of conservation effectiveness included MPA age, preimplementation fisheries pressure, and habitat diversity. Important drivers of MPA effectiveness for single MPAs were consistent across MPAs in the network, spanning regions and ecosystems. With international targets aimed at protecting 30% of the world's oceans by 2030, MPA design and assessment frameworks should consider conservation performance at multiple ecologically relevant scales, from individual MPAs to MPA networks. 

Abstract Increased ocean temperatures have led to large‐scale declines in many ecologically important species, including kelp forests. Spatial heterogeneity across seascapes could protect kelp individuals and small populations from thermal stress and nutrient limitation. Habitat features within upwelling regions may facilitate the transport of deep, cold water into shallow systems, but little is known about the spatiotemporal occurrence or stability of these climate refugia. Kelp in climate refugia may, however, also experience other stressors, such as overgrazing by kelp herbivores, reducing their effectiveness.Here, we use high‐resolution kelp canopy maps generated from CubeSat constellation data to characterize kelp persistence in northern California following a dramatic decline in kelp abundance due to increased temperature and nutrient limitation during a severe marine heatwave and continued intense grazing pressure by purple sea urchins.Kelp persistence was associated with local areas of relatively cool water temperature and seascape features such as shallow depths and low‐complexity bathymetry, which may have provided refuge from overgrazing. However, a very small percentage of kelp forests in the region exhibited high persistence, with many forests present in only one or two of the 9 years studied. Most kelp patches were not spatially stable over time. Initially, kelp presence aligned with climate refugia, but as overgrazing emerged as the dominant driver of kelp distributions post‐2019, kelp shifted to areas that offered protection from grazing pressure.Synthesis. Cooler areas with localized upwelling acted as climate refugia during the increased ocean temperatures from the 2014–2016 marine heatwave, supporting nutrient‐rich environments and mitigating heat stress for kelp forests. However, these temperature refugia often did not spatially overlap with areas providing protection from grazing pressure, leaving kelp forests vulnerable to future warming even within temperature refugia if grazing pressure remains high. 

Abstract Kelp forests are one of the earth’s most productive ecosystems and are at great risk from climate change, yet little is known regarding their current conservation status and global future threats. Here, by combining a global remote sensing dataset of floating kelp forests with climate data and projections, we find that exposure to projected marine heatwaves will increase ~6 to ~16 times in the long term (2081–2100) compared to contemporary (2001–2020) exposure. While exposure will intensify across all regions, some southern hemisphere areas which have lower exposure to contemporary and projected marine heatwaves may provide climate refugia for floating kelp forests. Under these escalating threats, less than 3% of global floating kelp forests are currently within highly restrictive marine protected areas (MPAs), the most effective MPAs for protecting biodiversity. Our findings emphasize the urgent need to increase the global protection of floating kelp forests and set bolder climate adaptation goals. 

Abstract The capability of moderate‐spatial‐resolution satellites to accurately resolve submesoscale variations in surface tracers remains an open question, one with relevance to observing physical‐biological interactions in the surface ocean. In this study, we address this question by comparing the variance of two tracers, chlorophyll concentration (Chl) and sea surface temperature (SST), resolved by two satellites—MODIS Aqua, with a resolution of 1.5 km, and Landsat 8/9, with a resolution of 30 m. We quantify tracer variance resolved by both satellites on the submesoscale using spatial variance spectral slopes. We find that MODIS measures significantly higher variance compared to Landsat, in both Chl and SST. This is because, despite higher signal‐to‐noise ratio for MODIS per pixel, Landsat signal‐to‐noise ratio increases considerably when aggregating pixels. Furthermore, by comparing Chl to SST variance for each satellite we find Landsat to be better match to theory for resolving submesoscale physical‐biological interactions. 

Abstract Wildfires have increased in size, frequency, and intensity in arid regions of the western United States because of human activity, changing land use, and rising temperature. Fire can degrade water quality, reshape aquatic habitat, and increase the risk of high discharge and erosion. Drawing from patterns in montane dry forest, chaparral, and desert ecosystems, we developed a conceptual framework describing how interactions and feedbacks among material accumulation, combustion of fuels, and hydrologic transport influence the effects of fire on streams. Accumulation and flammability of fuels shift in opposition along gradients of aridity, influencing the materials available for transport. Hydrologic transport of combustion products and materials accumulated after fire can propagate the effects of fire to unburned stream–riparian corridors, and episodic precipitation characteristic of arid lands can cause lags, spatial heterogeneity, and feedbacks in response. Resolving uncertainty in fire effects on arid catchments will require monitoring across hydroclimatic gradients and episodic precipitation. 

Abstract Protection from direct human impacts can safeguard marine life, yet ocean warming crosses marine protected area boundaries. Here, we test whether protection offers resilience to marine heatwaves from local to network scales. We examine 71,269 timeseries of population abundances for 2269 reef fish species surveyed in 357 protected versus 747 open sites worldwide. We quantify the stability of reef fish abundance from populations to metacommunities, considering responses of species and functional diversity including thermal affinity of different trophic groups. Overall, protection mitigates adverse effects of marine heatwaves on fish abundance, community stability, asynchronous fluctuations and functional richness. We find that local stability is positively related to distance from centers of high human density only in protected areas. We provide evidence that networks of protected areas have persistent reef fish communities in warming oceans by maintaining large populations and promoting stability at different levels of biological organization.