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  1. ABSTRACT ObjectiveThe objective of this study was to quantify the effects of temperature, hydrology, and body size on the diet and energy requirements of a generalist predator, Common Snook Centropomus undecimalis (hereafter, “snook”), to gain a better understanding of predator–prey dynamics in the wake of global change. We first ask how temperature, hydrology, and body size influence the occurrence of fish, invertebrates, and empty stomachs in the diet of snook. Next, we model the energetic requirements of snook as a function of body size and temperature. Last, we use predation simulations to test how changes in prey quality, together with snook energy requirements, interact to shape prey demand. MethodsThis study used long-term empirical diet information for snook that were collected from the Shark River, Everglades National Park, alongside models of consumer energetic needs and predation simulations. We used a set of generalized linear models to determine the relationships between snook diet and a suite of predictor variables representing hydrology, temperature, and body size. Models of consumer energetic requirements were used to better understand the total daily caloric needs of snook across a range of temperature and body sizes relative to the available energy in the fish and invertebrate prey that were collected from the system. Last, we conducted predation simulations to highlight the effects of variable diet scenarios on the foraging behaviors that are required to meet the total daily energetic requirements of snook at various temperatures and body sizes. ResultsSnook were observed consuming less fish, coupled with an increased likelihood of empty stomachs, at higher temperatures. Reliance on invertebrate taxa increased at high marsh stages. In addition to marsh stage, smaller-bodied individuals were more likely to consume invertebrates. The predation simulations revealed that snook that consumed invertebrate-dominated diets required greater prey biomass as well as an increased number of individual prey items to meet their daily energetic requirements relative to fish that consumed diets that contain fish. However, if snook maintained even a small proportion of fish in their diet, it substantially reduced the number and biomass of prey needed to meet their energetic requirements. ConclusionsOur predation simulations indicated that snook should select for high-quality fish prey as temperatures warm. However, the empirical data revealed a decrease in the probability of high-quality fish prey in the diets of snook. Furthermore, the empirical diet data showed that low-quality invertebrate prey were more likely to be seen in the diets of snook at high water levels. As temperatures increase and hydrology becomes increasingly variable because of global change, snook will likely need to consume larger quantities of lower quality prey (i.e., compensatory foraging) or disperse to forage in more optimal habitats. These results highlight the dynamic interplay between environmental conditions and consumer energetic needs for shaping the foraging ecology of a generalist predator. 
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    Free, publicly-accessible full text available September 1, 2026
  2. Abstract Seagrasses are increasingly recognized for their ecosystem functions and services. However, both natural and anthropogenic stressors impact seagrass functional traits, for example by altering nutrient regimes. Here, we synthesize 27 yr of data from regional, long‐term seagrass and water quality monitoring programs of south Florida to investigate the impacts of relative nutrient availability on seagrass abundance (as expressed by percent cover) across an oligotrophic seascape. We employ linear mixed‐effect models and generalized additive models to show that seagrass abundance is driven by interannual variations in nutrient concentrations, which are ultimately controlled by climate oscillations (El Niño Southern Oscillation Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation) via regional rainfall‐runoff relationships. Our study suggests that climate oscillations drive interannual variations in seagrass cover on a regional scale, with high‐rainfall years leading to increased nitrogen availability and higher seagrass abundance in typically nitrogen‐limited backreef meadows. Conversely, these periods are associated with reduced seagrass cover at the more P‐limited inshore sites and in Florida Bay, with yet unknown consequences for the provision of seagrass ecosystem services. We show that nutrient delivery from runoff can have diverging impacts on benthic communities, depending on spatial patterns of relative nutrient limitation, with some N‐limited seagrass meadows showing resilience to periodic nutrient enrichment. 
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    Free, publicly-accessible full text available March 1, 2026
  3. Abstract The Trophic Disruption Hypothesis (TDH) predicts that invasive species may cause native species to undergo trophic dispersion (change in trophic‐niche area) and trophic displacement (diet switching), predictably altering food‐web structure and biodiversity. In Everglades National Park, Florida, USA, African Jewelfish (Rubricatochromis letourneuxi) density has recently (2012–2017) undergone a boom‐bust cycle, linked to declines of native taxa and altered aquatic‐community composition that persist after the bust. Everglades restoration efforts seek to restore historic hydrologic conditions that may contribute to food‐web changes unfolding coincidentally with the jewelfish boom. We used complementary datasets of stomach contents and stable isotopes (δ15N and δ13C) to quantify pre‐ and post‐invasion consumer diets, trophic positions, trophic niches, basal energy use (autotrophic vs. heterotrophic), and energy fluxes to test assumptions of the TDH. The direction of change for these metrics from dry season to wet‐season post‐invasion (i.e., effect of adding water) was used as a proxy for the direction of effects from restored water delivery. For trophic shifts attributable to jewelfish invasion, we tested assumptions of the TDH. Comparing pre‐ versus post‐invasion for native consumers, we observed trophic displacement in 42% of species size classes (based on stomach contents), trophic dispersion for 57% of species (based on stable isotopes) and 54% of species size classes (based on stomach contents), and overall greater reliance on autotrophic energy. Altered trophic dynamics were more frequent pre‐ versus post‐invasion than among habitats or between seasons, and the direction of those responses was in the opposite direction of dry‐season to wet‐season differences and/or occurred at a higher frequency. Post‐invasion food‐web structure and function revealed increased relative abundance of mesopredators (including African Jewelfish) and reduced biomass and energy fluxes into and out of small fishes (e.g., Cyprinodontiformes). Our results show that African Jewelfish invasion is linked to altered spatiotemporal trophic dynamics and energy fluxes through declines in native fishes and invertebrates, which indirectly affected trophic relationships at the regional scale in the Everglades. As a result, we suggest extending the TDH to explicitly include the potential for invasive species to alter basal energy use, spatiotemporal trophic dynamics, and energy fluxes. 
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    Free, publicly-accessible full text available May 1, 2026
  4. ABSTRACT Mangrove forests are typically considered resilient to natural disturbances, likely caused by the evolutionary adaptation of species‐specific traits. These ecosystems play a vital role in the global carbon cycle and are responsible for an outsized contribution to carbon burial and enhanced sedimentation rates. Using eddy covariance data from two coastal mangrove forests in the Florida Coastal Everglades, we evaluated the impact hurricanes have on mangrove forest structure and function by measuring recovery to pre‐disturbance conditions following Hurricane Wilma in 2005 and Hurricane Irma in 2017. We determined the “recovery debt,” the deficit in ecosystem structure and function following a disturbance, using the leaf area index (LAI) and the net ecosystem exchange (NEE) of carbon dioxide (CO2). Calculated as the cumulative deviation from pre‐disturbance conditions, the recovery debt incorporated the recapture of all the carbon lost due to the disturbance. In Everglades mangrove forests, LAI returned to pre‐disturbance levels within a year, and ecosystem respiration and maximum photosynthetic rates took much longer, resulting in an initial recovery debt of 178 g C m−2at the tall forest with limited impacts at the scrub forest. At the landscape scale, the initial recovery debt was 0.40 Mt C, and in most coastal mangrove forests, all lost carbon was recovered within just 4 years. While high‐intensity storms could have prolonged impacts on the structure of subtropical forests, fast canopy recovery suggests these ecosystems will remain strong carbon sinks. 
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  5. Abstract ObjectiveFisheries provide countless benefits to human populations but face many threats ranging from climate change to overfishing. Despite these threats and an increase in fishing pressure globally, most stocks remain unassessed and data limited. An abundance of data-limited assessment methods exists, but each has different data requirements, caveats, and limitations. Furthermore, developing informative model priors can be difficult when little is known about the stock, and uncertain model parameters could create misleading results about stock status. Our research illustrates an approach for rapidly creating robust initial assessments of unregulated and data-limited fisheries without the need for additional data collection. MethodsOur method uses stakeholder knowledge combined with a series of data-limited tools to identify an appropriate stock assessment method, conduct an assessment, and examine how model uncertainty influences the results. Our approach was applied to the unregulated and data-limited fishery for Crevalle Jack Caranx hippos in Florida. ResultResults suggested a steady increase in exploitation and a decline in stock biomass over time, with the stock currently overfished and undergoing overfishing. These findings highlight a need for management action to prevent continued stock depletion. ConclusionOur approach can help to streamline the initial assessment and management process for unregulated and data-limited stocks and serves as an additional tool for combating the many threats facing global fisheries. 
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  6. Abstract Ecosystem engineering is a facilitative interaction that generates bottom‐up extrinsic variability that may increase species coexistence, particularly along a stress/disturbance gradient. American alligators (Alligator mississippiensis) create and maintain ‘alligator ponds’ that serve as dry‐season refuges for other animals. During seasonal water recession, these ponds present an opportunity to examine predictions of the stress‐gradient (SGH) and intermediate disturbance hypotheses (IDH).To test the assumption that engineering would facilitate species coexistence in ponds along a stress gradient (seasonal drying), we modelled fish catch‐per‐unit‐effort (CPUE) in ponds and marshes using a long‐term dataset (1997–2022). Stomach contents (n = 1677 from 46 species) and stable isotopes of carbon and nitrogen (n = 3978 representing 91 taxa) from 2018 to 2019 were used to evaluate effects of engineering on trophic dynamics. We quantified diets, trophic niche areas, trophic positions and basal‐resource use among habitats and between seasons. As environmental stress increases, we used seasonal changes in trophic niche areas as a proxy for competition to examine SGH and IDH.Across long‐term data, fish CPUE increased by a factor of 12 in alligator ponds as the marsh dried. This validates the assumption that ponds are an important dry‐season refuge. We found that 73% of diet shifts occurred during the dry season but that diets differed among habitats in only 11% of comparisons. From wet season to dry season, both stomach contents and stable isotopes revealed changes in niche areas. Direction of change depended on trophic guild but was opposite between stable‐isotope and stomach‐content niches, except for detritivores.Stomach‐content niches generally increased suggesting decreased competition in the dry season consistent with existing theory, but stable‐isotope niches yielded the opposite. This may result from a temporal mismatch with stomach contents reflecting diets over hours, while stable isotopes integrate diet over weeks. Consumptive effects may have a stronger effect than competition on niche areas over longer time intervals.Overall, our results demonstrated that alligators ameliorated dry‐season stress by engineering deep‐water habitats and altering food‐web dynamics. We propose that ecosystem engineers facilitate coexistence at intermediate values of stress/disturbance consistent with predictions of both the SGH and IDH. 
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  7. Abstract Leaf litter in coastal wetlands lays the foundation for carbon storage, and the creation of coastal wetland soils. As climate change alters the biogeochemical conditions and macrophyte composition of coastal wetlands, a better understanding of the interactions between microbial communities, changing chemistry, and leaf litter is required to understand the dynamics of coastal litter breakdown in changing wetlands. Coastal wetlands are dynamic systems with shifting biogeochemical conditions, with both tidal and seasonal redox fluctuations, and marine subsidies to inland habitats. Here, we investigated gene expression associated with various microbial redox pathways to understand how changing conditions are affecting the benthic microbial communities responsible for litter breakdown in coastal wetlands. We performed a reciprocal transplant of leaf litter from four distinct plant species along freshwater‐to‐marine gradients in the Florida Coastal Everglades, tracking changes in environmental and litter biogeochemistry, as well as benthic microbial gene expression associated with varying redox conditions, carbon degradation, and phosphorus acquisition. Early litter breakdown varied primarily by species, with highest breakdown in coastal species, regardless of the site they were at during breakdown, while microbial gene expression showed a strong seasonal relationship between sulfate cycling and salinity, and was not correlated with breakdown rates. The effect of salinity is likely a combination of direct effects, and indirect effects from associated marine subsidies. We found a positive correlation between sulfate uptake and salinity during January with higher freshwater inputs to coastal areas. However, we found a peak of dissimilatory sulfate reduction at intermediate salinity during April when freshwater inputs to coastal sites are lower. The combination of these two results suggests that sulfate acquisition is limiting to microbes when freshwater inputs are high, but that when marine influence increases and sulfate becomes more available, dissimilatory sulfate reduction becomes a key microbial process. As marine influence in coastal wetlands increases with climate change, our study suggests that sulfate dynamics will become increasingly important to microbial communities colonizing decomposing leaf litter. 
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  8. Abstract The Florida Everglades is a critically important, but highly threatened ecosystem that is becoming increasingly susceptible to the invasion of non-native species. This study investigated the ecological role of the invasive peacock eel (Macrognathus siamensis) within this ecosystem using 15 years of electrofishing data and stable isotope analysis. We investigated the population trends of peacock eels at the marsh-mangrove ecotone of the Shark River Estuary, the environmental factors contributing to their abundance, and the potential interactions they may have with native fish assemblages and coastal food webs. We used stable isotope analysis to provide insights into the basal resource contribution to peacock eels and hypervolume analysis to determine peacock eel trophic niche size and overlap with native species. Results of this study found that peacock eel abundance has rapidly increased, and their populations are strongly related to hydroclimatic regimes. Peacock eel abundance was positively associated with warmer water temperatures and greater marsh inundation periods. The trophic niche of peacock eels was significantly smaller in volume than that of native sunfishes (Lepomisspp.) indicating lower intraspecific resource use variability and suggesting a limited potential for inter-specific competition with these taxa. However, in recent years, the catch of peacock eels has outnumbered the catch of all native sunfishes combined. The feeding habits and pervasiveness of peacock eels in the coastal Everglades could lead to a decrease in abundance of benthic prey items targeted by peacock eels and alter food web dynamics in the system. Based on these data, peacock eel populations are predicted to continue to increase, highlighting the importance of continued monitoring of their potential impact on native fish assemblages and food webs. 
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  9. Abstract Coastal ecosystems are rapidly shifting due to changes in hydrologic presses (e.g., sea‐level rise) and pulses (e.g., seasonal hydrology, disturbances, and restoration of degraded wetlands). Changing water levels and sources are master variables in coastal wetlands that can alter carbon concentrations, sources, processing, and export. Yet, how long‐term increases in water levels from marine and freshwater sources influence dissolved organic carbon (DOC) concentrations and dissolved organic matter (DOM) composition is uncertain. We quantified how long‐term changes in water levels are affecting DOC concentration (2001–2021) and DOM composition (2011–2021) differently across the Florida Everglades. DOC concentrations decreased with high water depths in peat marshes and increased with high water levels in marl marshes and across mangroves, and these relationships were reproduced in freshwater peat marshes and shrub mangroves. In the highly productive riverine mangroves, cross‐wavelet analysis highlighted variable relationships between DOC and water level were largely modulated by hurricane disturbances. By comparing relationships between water level and DOC concentrations with carbon sources from DOM fluorescence indices, we found that changing water sources between the dry and wet season shift DOM from algal to detrital sources in freshwater marshes, from detrital marsh to detrital mangrove sources in the brackish water ecotone, and from detrital mangrove to algal marine sources in downstream mangroves. As climate change and anthropogenic drivers continue to alter water levels in coastal wetlands, integrating spatial and temporal measurements of DOC concentrations and DOM compositions is essential to better constrain the transformation and export of carbon across these coastal ecosystems. 
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  10. Abstract Natural and anthropogenic disturbances have led to rapid declines in the amount and quality of available habitat in many ecosystems. Many studies have focused on how habitat loss has affected the composition and configuration of habitats, but there have been fewer studies that investigate how this loss affects ecosystem function. We investigated how a large‐scale seagrass die‐off altered the distribution of energetic resources of three seagrass‐associated consumers with varied resource use patterns. Using long‐term benthic habitat monitoring data and resource use data from Bayesian stable isotope mixing models, we generated energetic resource landscapes (E‐scapes) annually between 2007 and 2019.E‐scapes link the resources being used by a consumer to the habitats that produce those resources to calculate a habitat resource index as a measurement of energetic quality of the landscape. Overall, our results revealed that following the die‐off there was a reduction in trophic function across all species in areas affected by the die‐off event, but the response was species‐specific and dependent on resource use and recovery patterns. This study highlights how habitat loss can lead to changes in ecosystem function. Incorporating changes in ecosystem function into models of habitat loss could improve understanding of how species will respond to future change. 
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