Search for: All records

Abstract The freshwater content of the Arctic Ocean has increased dramatically in the last two decades, particularly in the Beaufort Gyre. However, quantifying the sources of this change is an observational challenge and has historically been limited by methodological differences across studies. Here we derive observation‐based freshwater budgets from volume and mass budgets for the Arctic Ocean and the Beaufort Gyre from 2003 to 2020. Our budgets include all sources and sinks (river runoff, precipitation minus evaporation, land ice melt, sea ice export, sea ice melt, and ocean fluxes) as well as volume and mass storage terms measured by satellite. We find that Arctic freshwater changes are dominated by changes in the Beaufort Gyre, and we reconcile this with previous studies that argue for freshwater compensation between the Beaufort Gyre and the rest of the Arctic. We use inverse methods to close the volume and mass budgets within observational uncertainty and link the observed Arctic freshwater changes to the sources and sinks. Our budget analysis demonstrates that small changes to the ocean fluxes (smaller than we can measure) can account for all freshwater storage changes in the Arctic, highlighting the need for more careful accounting and detailed ocean observations in this rapidly changing environment. 

Abstract The Canada Basin (CB) has seen significant sea‐ice loss in recent decades. We use output from the Pan‐Arctic Ice‐Ocean Modeling and Assimilation System to examine the 1979–2023 evolution of seasonal sea‐ice volume (SIV) changes in the CB partitioned into advective and thermodynamic changes. In winter, some years show net convergence into the region that is of comparable magnitude to the SIV change attributed to sea‐ice growth. In summer, melt/ablation dominates the change each year. In both seasons, 44 year trends in seasonal SIV changes are driven primarily by thermodynamic processes. The inferred thermodynamic growth each year is nearly equal to the inferred melt consistent with SIV at the end of the melt season declining more rapidly than SIV at the end of the growth season. Increased melt season atmospheric heating of the ice‐ocean system over 1979–2023, estimated from ERA5 reanalysis, is consistent with the ice‐albedo feedback. In the growth season, net cumulative atmospheric heat release from the ice‐ocean system shows no trend, suggesting increases in inferred thermodynamic ice growth can be attributed to more rapid growth of thinner ice. In each season, cumulative atmospheric heat input exceeds that required for ice melt/growth resulting in a residual that influences ocean heat content (OHC). Seasonal OHC changes, inferred from ocean observations, are equal to approximately one‐third of this residual, although limited ocean observations leave the total heat budget poorly constrained, highlighting a need for more water column observations. 

Abstract Analysis of dissolved oxygen (O₂) in the Arctic's surface ocean provides insights into gas transfer between the atmosphere‐ice‐ocean system, water mass dynamics, and biogeochemical processes. In the Arctic Ocean's Canada Basin mixed layer, higher O₂concentrations are generally observed under sea ice compared to open water regions. Annual cycles of O₂and O₂saturation, increasing from summer through spring and then sharply declining to late summer, are tightly linked to sea ice cover. The primary fluxes that influence seasonal variability of O₂are modeled and compared to Ice‐Tethered Profiler O₂observations to understand the relative role of each flux in the annual cycle. Findings suggest that sea ice melt/growth dominates seasonal variations in mixed layer O₂, with minor contributions from vertical entrainment and atmospheric exchange. While the influence of biological activity on O₂variability cannot be directly assessed, indirect evidence suggests relatively minor contributions, although with significant uncertainty. Past studies show that O₂molecules are expelled from sea ice during brine rejection; sea ice cover can then inhibit air‐sea gas exchange resulting in winter mixed layers that are super‐saturated. Decreasing mixed layer O₂concentrations and saturation levels are observed during winter months between 2007 and 2019 in the Canada Basin. Only a minor portion of the decreasing trend in wintertime O₂can be attributed to decreased solubility. This suggests the O₂decline may be linked to more efficient air‐sea exchange associated with increased open water areas in the winter sea ice pack that are not necessarily detectable via satellite observations. 

The Arctic Ocean's Beaufort Gyre is a dominant feature of the Arctic system, a prominent indicator of climate change, and possibly a control factor for high-latitude climate. The state of knowledge of the wind-driven Beaufort Gyre is reviewed here, including its forcing, relationship to sea-ice cover, source waters, circulation, and energetics. Recent decades have seen pronounced change in all elements of the Beaufort Gyre system. Sea-ice losses have accompanied an intensification of the gyre circulation and increasing heat and freshwater content. Present understanding of these changes is evaluated, and time series of heat and freshwater content are updated to include the most recent observations.