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For many infectious diseases, including malaria and COVID-19, the host may experience more than one episode of infection, where reinfection occurs due to waning immunity. In this paper, we propose a new age-structured epidemic model to investigate the dynamics of such diseases with multiple infections. The model is based on a system of partial differential equations that describes the interplay between completely susceptible individuals, temporarily immune individuals, and infected individuals at different stages. The model incorporates both time and age-dependent variables and parameters. We derive the basic reproduction number and conduct rigorous analyses on the equilibrium solutions and their stability properties. Specifically, we study the global asymptotic stability of the disease-free equilibrium and obtain the explicit conditions for the occurrence of a backward bifurcation. Our findings could provide useful insights into the effects of disease prevention and intervention strategies such as vaccination campaigns.more » « lessFree, publicly-accessible full text available June 30, 2026
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Free, publicly-accessible full text available December 1, 2025
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We present a mathematical model based on ordinary differential equations to investigate the spatially homogeneous state of tumor growth under virotherapy. The model emphasizes the interaction among the tumor cells, the oncolytic viruses, and the host immune system that generates both innate and adaptive immune responses. We conduct a rigorous equilibrium analysis and derive threshold conditions that determine the growth or decay of the tumor under various scenarios. Numerical simulation results verify our analytical predictions and provide additional insight into the tumor growth dynamics.more » « less
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There is an ongoing debate on the different transmission modes of SARS-CoV-2 and their relative contributions to the pandemic. In this paper, we employ a simple mathematical model, which incorporates both the human-to-human and environment-to-human transmission routes, to study the transmission dynamics of COVID-19. We focus our attention on the role of airborne transmission in the spread of the disease in a university campus setting. We conduct both mathematical analysis and numerical simulation, and incorporate published experimental data for the viral concentration in the air to fit model parameters. Meanwhile, we compare the outcome to that of the standard SIR model, utilizing a perturbation analysis in the presence of multiple time scales. Our data fitting and numerical simulation results show that the risk of airborne transmission for SARS-CoV-2 strongly depends on how long the virus can remain viable in the air. If the time for this viability is short, the airborne transmission route would be inconsequential in shaping the overall transmission risk and the total infection size. On the other hand, if the infectious virus can persist in aerosols beyond a few hours, then airborne transmission could play a much more significant role in the spread of COVID-19.more » « less
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In this paper, a new mathematical model based on partial differential equations is proposed to study the spatial spread of infectious diseases. The model incorporates fluid dynamics theory and represents the epidemic spread as a fluid motion generated through the interaction between the susceptible and infected hosts. At the macroscopic level, the spread of the infection is modeled as an inviscid flow described by the Euler equation. Nontrivial numerical methods from computational fluid dynamics (CFD) are applied to investigate the model. In particular, a fifth-order weighted essentially non-oscillatory (WENO) scheme is employed for the spatial discretization. As an application, this mathematical and computational framework is used in a simulation study for the COVID-19 outbreak in Wuhan, China. The simulation results match the reported data for the cumulative cases with high accuracy and generate new insight into the complex spatial dynamics of COVID-19.more » « less
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