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  1. Abstract

    Throughout the COVID-19 pandemic, massive sequencing and data sharing efforts enabled the real-time surveillance of novel SARS-CoV-2 strains throughout the world, the results of which provided public health officials with actionable information to prevent the spread of the virus. However, with great sequencing comes great computation, and while cloud computing platforms bring high-performance computing directly into the hands of all who seek it, optimal design and configuration of a cloud compute cluster requires significant system administration expertise. We developed ViReflow, a user-friendly viral consensus sequence reconstruction pipeline enabling rapid analysis of viral sequence datasets leveraging Amazon Web Services (AWS) cloud compute resources and the Reflow system. ViReflow was developed specifically in response to the COVID-19 pandemic, but it is general to any viral pathogen. Importantly, when utilized with sufficient compute resources, ViReflow can trim, map, call variants, and call consensus sequences from amplicon sequence data from 1000 SARS-CoV-2 samples at 1000X depth in < 10 min, with no user intervention. ViReflow’s simplicity, flexibility, and scalability make it an ideal tool for viral molecular epidemiological efforts.

     
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  2. The use of viral sequence data to inform public health intervention has become increasingly common in the realm of epidemiology. Such methods typically utilize multiple sequence alignments and phylogenies estimated from the sequence data. Like all estimation techniques, they are error prone, yet the impacts of such imperfections on downstream epidemiological inferences are poorly understood. To address this, we executed multiple commonly used viral phylogenetic analysis workflows on simulated viral sequence data, modeling Human Immunodeficiency Virus (HIV), Hepatitis C Virus (HCV), and Ebolavirus, and we computed multiple methods of accuracy, motivated by transmission-clustering techniques. For multiple sequence alignment, MAFFT consistently outperformed MUSCLE and Clustal Omega, in both accuracy and runtime. For phylogenetic inference, FastTree 2, IQ-TREE, RAxML-NG, and PhyML had similar topological accuracies, but branch lengths and pairwise distances were consistently most accurate in phylogenies inferred by RAxML-NG. However, FastTree 2 was the fastest, by orders of magnitude, and when the other tools were used to optimize branch lengths along a fixed FastTree 2 topology, the resulting phylogenies had accuracies that were indistinguishable from their original counterparts, but with a fraction of the runtime. 
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  3. null (Ed.)
    Understanding when SARS-CoV-2 emerged is critical to evaluating our current approach to monitoring novel zoonotic pathogens and understanding the failure of early containment and mitigation efforts for COVID-19. We employed a coalescent framework to combine retrospective molecular clock inference with forward epidemiological simulations to determine how long SARS-CoV-2 could have circulated prior to the time of the most recent common ancestor. Our results define the period between mid-October and mid-November 2019 as the plausible interval when the first case of SARS-CoV-2 emerged in Hubei province. By characterizing the likely dynamics of the virus before it was discovered, we show that over two-thirds of SARS-CoV-2-like zoonotic events would be self-limited, dying out without igniting a pandemic. Our findings highlight the shortcomings of zoonosis surveillance approaches for detecting highly contagious pathogens with moderate mortality rates. 
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  4. Robinson, Peter (Ed.)
    Abstract Motivation In molecular epidemiology, the identification of clusters of transmissions typically requires the alignment of viral genomic sequence data. However, existing methods of multiple sequence alignment (MSA) scale poorly with respect to the number of sequences. Results ViralMSA is a user-friendly reference-guided MSA tool that leverages the algorithmic techniques of read mappers to enable the MSA of ultra-large viral genome datasets. It scales linearly with the number of sequences, and it is able to align tens of thousands of full viral genomes in seconds. However, alignments produced by ViralMSA omit insertions with respect to the reference genome. Availability and implementation ViralMSA is freely available at https://github.com/niemasd/ViralMSA as an open-source software project. Contact niema@ucsd.edu Supplementary information Supplementary data are available at Bioinformatics online. 
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