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Abstract Machine learning models are susceptible to being misled by biases in training data that emphasize incidental correlations over the intended learning task. In this study, we demonstrate the impact of data bias on the performance of a machine learning model designed to predict the likelihood of synthesizability of crystal compounds. The model performs a binary classification on labeled crystal samples. Despite using the same architecture for the machine learning model, we showcase how the model’s learning and prediction behavior differs once trained on distinct data. We use two data sets for illustration: a mixed-source data set that integrates experimental and computational crystal samples and a single-source data set consisting of data exclusively from one computational database. We present simple procedures to detect data bias and to evaluate its effect on the model’s performance and generalization. This study reveals how inconsistent, unbalanced data can propagate bias, undermining real-world applicability even for advanced machine learning techniques. 

First PXRD assisted crystal structure prediction method that can correct for temperature, strain, and choice of computational method. 

Metastable materials are abundant in nature and technology, showcasing remarkable properties that inspire innovative materials design. However, traditional crystal structure prediction methods, which rely solely on energetic factors to determine a structure’s fitness, are not suitable for predicting the vast number of potentially synthesizable phases that represent a local minimum corresponding to a state in thermodynamic equilibrium. Here, we present a new approach for the prediction of metastable phases with specific structural features and interface this method with the XTALOPT evolutionary algorithm. Our method relies on structural features that include the local crystalline order (e.g, the coordination number or chemical environment), and symmetry (e.g, Bravais lattice and space group) to filter the breeding pool of an evolutionary crystal structure search. The effectiveness of this approach is benchmarked on three known metastable systems: XeN8, with a two-dimensional polymeric nitrogen sublattice, brookite TiO2, and a high pressure BaH4 phase, which was recently characterized. Additionally, a newly predicted metastable melaminate salt, P1̅ WC3N6, was found to possess an energy that is lower than that of two phases proposed in a recent computational study. The method presented here could help in identifying the structures of compounds that have already been synthesized, and in developing new synthesis targets with desired properties.