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The most destructive and deadly wildfires in US history were also fast. Using satellite data, we analyzed the daily growth rates of more than 60,000 fires from 2001 to 2020 across the contiguous US. Nearly half of the ecoregions experienced destructive fast fires that grew more than 1620 hectares in 1 day. These fires accounted for 78% of structures destroyed and 61% of suppression costs ($18.9 billion). From 2001 to 2020, the average peak daily growth rate for these fires more than doubled (+249% relative to 2001) in the Western US. Nearly 3 million structures were within 4 kilometers of a fast fire during this period across the US. Given recent devastating wildfires, understanding fast fires is crucial for improving firefighting strategies and community preparedness.more » « less
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The scaling relations between city attributes and population are emergent and ubiquitous aspects of urban growth. Quantifying these relations and understanding their theoretical foundation, however, is difficult due to the challenge of defining city boundaries and a lack of historical data to study city dynamics over time and space. To address this issue, we analyze scaling between city infrastructure and population across 857 metropolitan areas in the conterminous United States over an unprecedented 115 years (1900–2015) using dasymetrically refined historical population estimates, historical urban road network models, and multi-temporal settlement data to define dynamic city boundaries. We demonstrate that urban scaling exponents closely match theoretical models over a century. Despite some close quantitative agreement with theory, the empirical scaling relations unexpectedly vary across regions. Our analysis of scaling coefficients, meanwhile, reveals that contemporary cities use more developed land and kilometers of road than cities of similar population in 1900, which has serious implications for urban development and impacts on the local environment. Overall, our results provide a new way to study urban systems based on novel, geohistorical data.more » « less
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Fine scale data collection on vulnerability metrics is necessary for just policy outcomes. Those most likely to be disproportionately affected by specific climate risks should be identified early so that the needs of vulnerable communities (especially historically marginalized communities) can be addressed and mitigated in accordance with climate justice principles. While there is a growing body of event-specific and place-based studies, systematic studies on coastal populations at risk have typically not applied equity principles and have often ignored attributes such as race and ethnic composition, age structure, urban/rural classification, and housing tenure. Additionally, assumptions about future population trends depend on understanding past spatial patterns of change, as well as demographic and socioeconomic characteristics of the populations at risk, especially considering increasing coastal hazards. Yet, with few exceptions, research on coastal vulnerability has not analyzed changes in exposure over time and has not systematically addressed implications for communities of color over time. This paper seeks to fill these gaps. In this paper, using an equity lens and spatial demographic methods with the finest-resolution data available (census blocks), we estimate the extent of exposure and population change from 1990 to 2020 in the low elevation coastal zone in the continental United States. We find that the population of the LECZ has increased during this period, primarily by the growth of the urban population which has risen from about 22 million to 31 million persons. From 2000 to 2020, the urban population consistently grew at higher rates inside the LECZ than outside of it, reversing the pattern from the decade prior. We also examine changes in the population by race and Hispanic origin, urban and rural status, and a set of more expansive vulnerability themes. Our estimates, tabulated by counties and states, reveal the concentration and characteristics of exposure and changes to it over the past 30 years. Key findings include: residents of the LECZ are much older than average; Black residents are overrepresented in renter-occupied housing units in the urban LECZ; and from 2000 to 2020, Hispanic population growth was much higher in urban LECZ areas than urban areas elsewhere. These systematic insights into the demographic attributes of the populations most at risk of sea-level rise and associated coastal hazards can be used to ensure adaptation, mitigation, and disaster-related policies are tailored to the specific needs of these communities and actors at local, regional, and national scales. It also showcases how spatial methods can be used to understand demographic change and be put in place for future estimates of population in non-traditional units (e.g., coastal zones or other environmentally-vulnerable areas).more » « less
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The historical settlement data compilation for Spain (HISDAC-ES) is a geospatial dataset consisting of over 240 gridded surfaces measuring the physical, functional, age-related, and evolutionary characteristics of the Spanish building stock. We scraped, harmonized, and aggregated cadastral building footprint data for Spain, covering over 12,000,000 building footprints including construction year attributes, to create a multi-faceted series of gridded surfaces (GeoTIFF format), describing the evolution of human settlements in Spain from 1900 to 2020, at 100m spatial and 5 years temporal resolution. Also, the dataset contains aggregated characteristics and completeness statistics at the municipality level, in CSV and GeoPackage format.!!! UPDATE 08-2023 !!!: We provide a new, improved version of HISDAC-ES. Specifically, we fixed two bugs in the production code that caused an incorrect rasterization of the multitemporal BUFA layers and of the PHYS layers (BUFA, BIA, DWEL, BUNITS sum and mean). Moreover, we added decadal raster datasets measuring residential building footprint and building indoor area (1900-2020), and provide a country-wide, harmonized building footprint centroid dataset in GeoPackage vector data format.File descriptions:Datasets are available in three spatial reference systems:HISDAC-ES_All_LAEA.zip: Raster data in Lambert Azimuthal Equal Area (LAEA) covering all Spanish territory.HISDAC-ES_IbericPeninsula_UTM30.zip: Raster data in UTM Zone 30N covering all the Iberic Peninsula + Céuta and Melilla.HISDAC-ES_CanaryIslands_REGCAN.zip: Raster data in REGCAN-95, covering the Canary Islands only.HISDAC-ES_MunicipAggregates.zip: Municipality-level aggregates and completeness statistics (CSV, GeoPackage), in LAEA projection.ES_building_centroids_merged_spatjoin.gpkg: 7,000,000+ building footprint centroids in GeoPackage format, harmonized from the different cadastral systems, representing the input data for HISDAC-ES. These data can be used for sanity checks or for the creation of further, user-defined gridded surfaces.Source data:HISDAC-ES is derived from cadastral building footprint data, available from different authorities in Spain:Araba province: https://geo.araba.eus/WFS_Katastroa?SERVICE=WFS&VERSION=1.1.0&REQUEST=GetCapabilitiesBizkaia province: https://web.bizkaia.eus/es/inspirebizkaiaGipuzkoa province: https://b5m.gipuzkoa.eus/web5000/es/utilidades/inspire/edificios/Navarra region: https://inspire.navarra.es/services/BU/wfsOther regions: http://www.catastro.minhap.es/INSPIRE/buildings/ES.SDGC.bu.atom.xmlData source of municipality polygons: Centro Nacional de Información Geográfica (https://centrodedescargas.cnig.es/CentroDescargas/index.jsp)Technical notes:Gridded dataFile nomenclature:./region_projection_theme/hisdac_es_theme_variable_version_resolution[m][_year].tifRegions:all: complete territory of Spaincan: Canarian Islands onlyibe: Iberic peninsula + Céuta + MelillaProjections:laea: Lambert azimuthal equal area (EPSG:3035)regcan: REGCAN95 / UTM zone 28N (EPSG:4083)utm: ETRS89 / UTM zone 30N (EPSG:25830)Themes:evolution / evol: multi-temporal physical measurementslanduse: multi-temporal building counts per land use (i.e., building function) classphysical / phys: physical building characteristics in 2020temporal / temp: temporal characteristics (construction year statistics)Variables: evolutionbudens: building density (count per grid cell area)bufa: building footprint areadeva: developed area (any grid cell containing at least one building)resbufa: residential building footprint arearesbia: residential building indoor areaVariables: physicalbia: building indoor areabufa: building footprint areabunits: number of building unitsdwel: number of dwellingsVariables: temporalmincoy: minimum construction year per grid cellmaxcoy: minimum construction year per grid cellmeancoy: mean construction year per grid cellmedcoy: median construction year per grid cellmodecoy: mode (most frequent) construction year per grid cellvarcoy: variety of construction years per grid cellVariable: landuseCounts of buildings per grid cell and land use type.Municipality-level datahisdac_es_municipality_stats_multitemporal_longform_v1.csv: This CSV file contains the zonal sums of the gridded surfaces (e.g., number of buildings per year and municipality) in long form. Note that a value of 0 for the year attribute denotes the statistics for records without construction year information.hisdac_es_municipality_stats_multitemporal_wideform_v1.csv: This CSV file contains the zonal sums of the gridded surfaces (e.g., number of buildings per year and municipality) in wide form. Note that a value of 0 for the year suffix denotes the statistics for records without construction year information.hisdac_es_municipality_stats_completeness_v1.csv: This CSV file contains the missingness rates (in %) of the building attribute per municipality, ranging from 0.0 (attribute exists for all buildings) to 100.0 (attribute exists for none of the buildings) in a given municipality.Column names for the completeness statistics tables:NATCODE: National municipality identifier*num_total: number of buildings per municperc_bymiss: Percentage of buildings with missing built year (construction year)perc_lumiss: Percentage of buildings with missing landuse attributeperc_luother: Percentage of buildings with landuse type "other"perc_num_floors_miss: Percentage of buildings without valid number of floors attributeperc_num_dwel_miss: Percentage of buildings without valid number of dwellings attributeperc_num_bunits_miss: Percentage of buildings without valid number of building units attributeperc_offi_area_miss: Percentage of buildings without valid official area (building indoor area, BIA) attributeperc_num_dwel_and_num_bunits_miss: Percentage of buildings missing both number of dwellings and number of building units attributeThe same statistics are available as geopackage file including municipality polygons in Lambert azimuthal equal area (EPSG:3035).*From the NATCODE, other regional identifiers can be derived as follows:NATCODE: 34 01 04 04001Country: 34Comunidad autónoma (CA_CODE): 01Province (PROV_CODE): 04LAU code: 04001 (province + municipality code)more » « less
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Abstract. Multi-temporal measurements quantifying the changes to the Earth's surface are critical for understanding many natural, anthropogenic, and social processes. Researchers typically use remotely sensed Earth observation data to quantify and characterize such changes in land use and land cover (LULC). However, such data sources are limited in their availability prior to the 1980s. While an observational window of 40 to 50 years is sufficient to study most recent LULC changes, processes such as urbanization, land development, and the evolution of urban and coupled nature–human systems often operate over longer time periods covering several decades or even centuries. Thus, to quantify and better understand such processes, alternative historical–geospatial data sources are required that extend farther back in time. However, such data are rare, and processing is labor-intensive, often involving manual work. To overcome the resulting lack in quantitative knowledge of urban systems and the built environment prior to the 1980s, we leverage cadastral data with rich thematic property attribution, such as building usage and construction year. We scraped, harmonized, and processed over 12 000 000 building footprints including construction years to create a multi-faceted series of gridded surfaces, describing the evolution of human settlements in Spain from 1900 to 2020, at 100 m spatial and 5-year temporal resolution. These surfaces include measures of building density, built-up intensity, and built-up land use. We evaluated our data against a variety of data sources including remotely sensed human settlement data and land cover data, model-based historical land use depictions, and historical maps and historical aerial imagery and find high levels of agreement. This new data product, the Historical Settlement Data Compilation for Spain (HISDAC-ES), is publicly available (https://doi.org/10.6084/m9.figshare.22009643, Uhl et al., 2023a) and represents a rich source for quantitative, long-term analyses of the built environment and related processes over large spatial and temporal extents and at fine resolutions.more » « less
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Abstract Multiple aspects of our society are reflected in how we have transformed land through time. However, limited availability of historical-spatial data at fine granularity have hindered our ability to advance our understanding of the ways in which land was developed over the long-term. Using a proprietary, national housing and property database, which is a result of large-scale, industry-fuelled data harmonization efforts, we created publicly available sequences of gridded surfaces that describe built land use progression in the conterminous United States at fine spatial (i.e., 250 m × 250 m) and temporal resolution (i.e., 1 year - 5 years) between the years 1940 and 2015. There are six land use classes represented in the data product: agricultural, commercial, industrial, residential-owned, residential-income, and recreational facilities, as well as complimentary uncertainty layers informing the users about quantifiable components of data uncertainty. The datasets are part of the Historical Settlement Data Compilation for the U.S. (HISDAC-US) and enable the creation of new knowledge of long-term land use dynamics, opening novel avenues of inquiry across multiple fields of study.more » « less
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Abstract Background Access to healthcare is imperative to health equity and well-being. Geographic access to healthcare can be modeled using spatial datasets on local context, together with the distribution of existing health facilities and populations. Several population datasets are currently available, but their impact on accessibility analyses is unknown. In this study, we model the geographic accessibility of public health facilities at 100-meter resolution in sub-Saharan Africa and evaluate six of the most popular gridded population datasets for their impact on coverage statistics at different administrative levels. Methods Travel time to nearest health facilities was calculated by overlaying health facility coordinates on top of a friction raster accounting for roads, landcover, and physical barriers. We then intersected six different gridded population datasets with our travel time estimates to determine accessibility coverages within various travel time thresholds (i.e., 30, 60, 90, 120, 150, and 180-min). Results Here we show that differences in accessibility coverage can exceed 70% at the sub-national level, based on a one-hour travel time threshold. The differences are most notable in large and sparsely populated administrative units and dramatically shape patterns of healthcare accessibility at national and sub-national levels. Conclusions The results of this study show how valuable and critical a comparative analysis between population datasets is for the derivation of coverage statistics that inform local policies and monitor global targets. Large differences exist between the datasets and the results underscore an essential source of uncertainty in accessibility analyses that should be systematically assessed.more » « less
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