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Forest ecosystem attributes and their spatial variation across the landscape have the potential to subsequently influence variations in fire behavior. Understanding this variation is critical to fire managers in their ability to predict fire behavior and rate of spread. However, a fine-scale description of fuel patterns and their relationship with overstory and understory attributes for north-central Appalachia is lacking due to the complicated quantification of variations in topography, forest attributes, and their interactions. To better understand the fire environment in north-central Appalachia and provide a comprehensive evaluation based on fine-scale topography, ninety-four plots were established across different aspects and slope positions within an oak–hickory forest located in southeast Ohio, USA, which historically fell within fire regime group I with a fire return interval ranging from 7 to 26 years. The data collected from these plots were analyzed by four components of the fire environment, which include the overstory, understory, shrub and herbaceous layers, surface fuels, and fuel conditions. The results reveal that fuel bed composition changed across aspects and slope position, and it is a primary factor that influences the environment where fire occurs. Specifically, the oak fuel load was highest on south-facing slopes and in upper slope positions, while maple fuel loads were similar across all aspects and slope positions. Oak and maple basal areas were the most significant factors in predicting the oak and maple fuel load, respectively. In the shrub and undergrowth layers, woody plant coverage was higher in upper slope positions compared to lower slope positions. Overstory canopy closure displayed a significant negative correlation with understory trees/ha and woody plant variables. The findings in this study can provide a better understanding of fine-scale fuel bed and vegetation characteristics, which can subsequently feed into fire behavior modeling research in north-central Appalachia based on the different characterizations of the fire environment by landscape position. 

Assessing the characteristics of fuel flammability during fire is of major significance regarding fire intensity and fire spread control. Under the background of shifting forest composition from heliophytic to mesophytic species in mixed-oak forests, our objective is to determine the impacts of species-driven changes in fuel flammability characteristics and the specific relationships between fuel ignition variations at the species level. Oak and maple fuels were collected from ninety-four plots established in Zaleski State Forest, Ohio. A total of 30 combustion samples were separated (15 oak samples and 15 maple samples), with each combustion sample weighing 20 g to ignite under a laboratory fume hood. Our results determined that oak fuel showed significantly higher flame temperatures than maple fuel, and the fuel consumption and combustion duration time both varied between oak and maple fuel. These findings indicated that the shift from oak forest to mesophytic species could change a fire’s behavior. Combined with the cooler, moister, and less-flammable forest conditions generated by these mesophytic species, fires may not be able to reach their historical fire intensities, suggesting that updated data and new insights are needed for fire management. 

This article presents a new evidential reasoning approach for estimating the state of an evolving wildfire in real time. Given assumed terrain information and localized wind velocity distribution parameters, a probabilistic representation (i.e., the belief state) of a wildfire is forecast across the spatiotemporal domain through a compilation of fire spread simulations. The forecast is updated through information fusion based on observations provided by: 1) embedded temperature sensors and 2) mobile vision agents that are advantageously directed toward locations of information extraction based on the current state estimate. This combination of uncertain sources is performed under the evidence-based Dempster’s rule of combination and is then used to enact sensor reconfiguration based on the updated estimate. This research finds that the evidential belief combination vastly outperforms the standard forecasting approach (where no sensor data are incorporated) in the presence of imprecise environmental parameters. 

This paper considers path planning with resource constraints and dynamic obstacles for an unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV), modeled as a Dubins agent. Incorporating these complex constraints at the guidance stage expands the scope of operations of UAVs in challenging environments containing path-dependent integral constraints and time-varying obstacles. Path-dependent integral constraints, also known as resource constraints, can occur when the UAV is subject to a hazardous environment that exposes it to cumulative damage over its traversed path. The noise penalty function was selected as the resource constraint for this study, which was modeled as a path integral that exerts a path-dependent load on the UAV, stipulated to not exceed an upper bound. Weather phenomena such as storms, turbulence and ice are modeled as dynamic obstacles. In this paper, ice data from the Aviation Weather Service is employed to create training data sets for learning the dynamics of ice phenomena. Dynamic mode decomposition (DMD) is used to learn and forecast the evolution of ice conditions at flight level. This approach is presented as a computationally scalable means of propagating obstacle dynamics. The reduced order DMD representation of time-varying ice obstacles is integrated with a recently developed backtracking hybridA∗ graph search algorithm. The backtracking mechanism allows us to determine a feasible path in a computationally scalable manner in the presence of resource constraints. Illustrative numerical results are presented to demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed path-planning method. 

This work provides a finite-time stable disturbance observer design for the discretized dynamics of an unmanned vehicle in three-dimensional translational and rotational motion. The dynamics of this vehicle is discretized using a Lie group variational integrator as a grey box dynamics model that also accounts for unknown additive disturbance force and torque. Therefore, the input-state dynamics is partly known. The unknown dynamics is lumped into a single disturbance force and a single disturbance torque, both of which are estimated using the disturbance observer we design. This disturbance observer is finite-time stable (FTS) and works like a real-time machine learning scheme for the unknown dynamics. 

This paper considers resource constrained path planning for a Dubins agent. Resource constraints are modeled as path integrals that exert a path-dependent load on the agent that must not exceed an upper bound. A backtracking mechanism is proposed for the Hybrid-A* graph search algorithm to determine the minimum time path in the presence of the path loading constraint. The new approach is built on the premise that inadmissibility of a node on the graph must depend on the loading accumulated along the path taken to arrive at its location. Conventional hybrid-A* does not account for this fact, causing it to become suboptimal or even infeasible in the presence of resource constraints. The new approach helps "reset'' the graph search by backing away from a node when the loading constraint is exceeded, and redirecting the search to explore alternate routes to arrive at the same location, while keeping the path load under its stipulated threshold. Backtracking Stopping criterion is based on relaxation of the path load along the search path. Case studies are presented and numerical comparisons are made with the Lagrange relaxation method to solving equivalent resource-constrained shortest path problems.