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The Mississippi River is the largest commercial waterway in North America and one of the most heavily engineered rivers in the world. Future alteration of the river’s hydrology by climate change may increase the vulnerability of flood mitigation and navigation infrastructure implemented to constrain 20^thcentury discharge conditions. Here, we evaluate changes in Lower Mississippi River basin hydroclimate and discharge from 1920–2100 C.E. by integrating river gauge observations and climate model ensemble simulations from CESM1.2 under multiple greenhouse gas emissions scenarios. We show that the Lower Mississippi River’s flood regime is highly sensitive to emissions scenario; specifically, the return period of flood discharge exceeding existing flood mitigation infrastructure decreases from approximately 1000 years to 31 years by the year 2100 under RCP8.5 forcing, primarily driven by increasing precipitation and runoff within the basin. Without aggressive reductions in greenhouse gas emissions, flood mitigation infrastructure may require substantial retrofitting to avoid disruptions to industries and communities along the Lower Mississippi River.

An inexpensive and compact underwater digital camera imaging system was developed to collect in situ high resolution images of flocculated suspended sediment at depths of up to 60 meters. The camera has a field of view of 3.7 × 2.8 mm and can resolve particles down to 5 . Depending on the degree of flocculation, the system is capable of accurately sizing particles to concentrations up to 500 mg/L. The system is fast enough to allow for profiling whereby size distributions of suspended particles and flocs can be provided at multiple verticals within the water column over a relatively short amount of time (approximately 15 min for a profile of 15 m). Using output from image processing routines, methods are introduced to estimate the mass suspended sediment concentration (SSC) from the images and to separate identified particles into sand and mud floc populations. The combination of these two methods allows for the size and concentration estimates of each fraction independently. The camera and image analysis methods are used in both the laboratory and the Mississippi River for development and testing. Output from both settings are presented in this study.