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Abstract Human–robot collaboration (HRC) has become an integral element of many manufacturing and service industries. A fundamental requirement for safe HRC is understanding and predicting human trajectories and intentions, especially when humans and robots operate nearby. Although existing research emphasizes predicting human motions or intentions, a key challenge is predicting both human trajectories and intentions simultaneously. This paper addresses this gap by developing a multi-task learning framework consisting of a bi-long short-term memory-based encoder–decoder architecture that obtains the motion data from both human and robot trajectories as inputs and performs two main tasks simultaneously: human trajectory prediction and human intention prediction. The first task predicts human trajectories by reconstructing the motion sequences, while the second task tests two main approaches for intention prediction: supervised learning, specifically a support vector machine, to predict human intention based on the latent representation, and, an unsupervised learning method, the hidden Markov model, that decodes the latent features for human intention prediction. Four encoder designs are evaluated for feature extraction, including interaction-attention, interaction-pooling, interaction-seq2seq, and seq2seq. The framework is validated through a case study of a desktop disassembly task with robots operating at different speeds. The results include evaluating different encoder designs, analyzing the impact of incorporating robot motion into the encoder, and detailed visualizations. The findings show that the proposed framework can accurately predict human trajectories and intentions. 

Abstract This paper presents a deep learning enhanced adaptive unscented Kalman filter (UKF) for predicting human arm motion in the context of manufacturing. Unlike previous network-based methods that solely rely on captured human motion data, which is represented as bone vectors in this paper, we incorporate a human arm dynamic model into the motion prediction algorithm and use the UKF to iteratively forecast human arm motions. Specifically, a Lagrangian-mechanics-based physical model is employed to correlate arm motions with associated muscle forces. Then a Recurrent Neural Network (RNN) is integrated into the framework to predict future muscle forces, which are transferred back to future arm motions based on the dynamic model. Given the absence of measurement data for future human motions that can be input into the UKF to update the state, we integrate another RNN to directly predict human future motions and treat the prediction as surrogate measurement data fed into the UKF. A noteworthy aspect of this study involves the quantification of uncertainties associated with both the data-driven and physical models in one unified framework. These quantified uncertainties are used to dynamically adapt the measurement and process noises of the UKF over time. This adaption, driven by the uncertainties of the RNN models, addresses inaccuracies stemming from the data-driven model and mitigates discrepancies between the assumed and true physical models, ultimately enhancing the accuracy and robustness of our predictions. One unique point of our method is that it integrates a dynamic model of human arms and two RNN models, and uses Monte Carlo dropout sampling to quantify the uncertainties inherent in our RNN prediction models and transforms them into the covariances of the UKF’s measurement and process noises respectively. Compared to the traditional RNN-based prediction, our method demonstrates improved accuracy and robustness in extensive experimental validations of various types of human motions.