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Abstract Understanding the relationship between precipitation (PPT) and aboveground net primary productivity (ANPP) is essential for modeling the global carbon cycle. Across grassland to forest gradients, the PPT‐ANPP relationship is well defined and nonlinear. Temporal patterns within a site over time are more variable and nearly always linear. Linear relationships, however, are inconsistent with positive asymmetry, where increases in ANPP during wet years exceed declines in dry years. The double asymmetry model predicts that concave‐down nonlinearities will occur when extreme high and low PPT years are included in a time series. We tested this prediction using long‐term observational ANPP data along with rainfall manipulation experiments. By combining observational records with experimental treatments, including drought, water addition, and nitrogen addition, we found some support for the double asymmetry model. However, the response under high precipitation coupled with nitrogen addition was concave‐up, not down. By experimentally extending the range of monsoon precipitation, we found a weak but significant, nonlinear PPT‐ANPP relationship, but only when nutrient limitation was alleviated. Our results demonstrate that multiple interacting factors govern the PPT‐ANPP relationship within a site over time, challenging our ability to predict how ANPP will respond to changes in precipitation in the future. 

ABSTRACT Ecological stability plays a crucial role in determining the sustainability of ecosystem functioning and nature's contribution to people. Although the disruptive effects of extreme drought on ecosystem structure and functions are widely recognized, their effect on the stability of above‐ and belowground productivity remains understudied. We assessed the effects of drought on ecosystem stability using a 3‐year drought experiment established in six Eurasian steppe grasslands. The treatments imposed included ambient precipitation, chronic drought (66% reduction in precipitation throughout the growing season), and intense drought (complete exclusion of precipitation for two months during the growing season). We found that drought, irrespective of how it was imposed, reduced the stability of aboveground net primary productivity (ANPP) but had little impact on belowground net primary productivity (BNPP) stability. Reduced ANPP stability under drought was primarily attributed to changes in subordinate species stability, with mean annual precipitation (MAP) and its variability, historical drought frequency, and the aridity index (AI) also influencing responses to extreme drought. In contrast, BNPP stability was not related to any community factor investigated, but it was influenced by MAP variability and AI. Our findings that above‐ and belowground productivity stability in grasslands are differentially sensitive to multi‐year extreme drought under both common (MAP and AI) as well as unique drivers (plant community changes) highlight the complexity of predicting carbon cycle dynamics as hydrological extremes become more severe. 

ABSTRACT Extreme droughts are intensifying, yet their impact on temporal variability of grassland functioning and its drivers remains poorly understood. We imposed a 6‐year extreme drought in two semiarid grasslands to explore how drought influences the temporal variability of ANPP and identify potential stabilising mechanisms. Drought decreased ANPP while increasing its temporal variability across grasslands. In the absence of drought, ANPP variability was strongly driven by the dominant plant species (i.e., mass‐ratio effects), as captured by community‐weighted traits and species stability. However, drought decreased the dominance of perennial grasses, providing opportunities for subordinate species to alter the stability of productivity through compensatory dynamics. Specifically, under drought, species asynchrony emerged as a more important correlate of ANPP variability than community‐weighted traits or species stability. Our findings suggest that in grasslands, prolonged, extreme droughts may decrease the relative contribution of mass‐ratio effects versus compensatory dynamics to productivity stability by reducing the influence of dominant species. 

The primary mechanism driving plant species loss after nitrogen (N) addition has been often hypothesized to be asymmetric competition for light, resulting from increased aboveground biomass. However, it is largely unknown whether plants’ access to soil water at different depths would affect their responses, fate, and community composition under nitrogen addition. In a semiarid grassland exposed to 8-years of N addition, we measured plant aboveground biomass and diversity under four nitrogen addition rates (0, 4, 10, and 16 g m 2 year 1), and evaluated plant use of water across the soil profile using oxygen isotope. Aboveground biomass increased significantly, but diversity and shallow soil-water content decreased, with increasing rate of nitrogen addition. The water isotopic signature for both plant and soil water at the high N rate indicated that Leymus secalinus (a perennial grass) absorbed 7% more water from the subsurface soil layer (20e100 cm) compared to Elymus dahuricus (a perennial grass) and Artemisia annua (an annual forb). L. secalinus thus had a significantly larger biomass and was more abundant than the other two species at the high N rate but did not differ significantly from the other two species under ambient and the low N rate. Species that could use water from deeper soil layers became dominant when water in the shallow layers was insufficient to meet the demands of increased aboveground plant biomass. Our study highlights the importance of water across soil depths as key driver of plant growth and dominance in grasslands under N addition. 

Background and aims: Nutrient addition increases plant aboveground production but causes species richness decline in many herbaceous communities. Asymmetric competition for light and detrimental effects of nitrogen have been shown to cause species richness decline in mesic ecosystems. However, it remains unclear whether and how other limiting factors may also play a role in the decline of species richness, especially in ecosystems where soil water could be more limiting. Methods: We conducted a meta-analysis of > 1600 experiments on nutrient and water addition across grasslands worldwide. Results: We find that nitrogen addition, alone or combined with other nutrients, significantly increases aboveground production but decreases species richness. However, water addition can avoid species loss when nutrients were added, indicating that water is a crucial limiting resource in driving species richness decline under nutrient addition. Overall, water limitation may be the primary driver of species richness decline under nutrient addition in approximately 70% of global grassland areas where mean annual soil water content is ≤ 30%. Therefore, as nutrient availability increases in global grasslands, soil moisture limitation may be responsible for the decline of species richness in regions. Conclusion: Our study quantifies the soil water threshold below which plant species is mainly driven by water limitation, and highlights a novel and widespread mechanism driving species richness decline in global grasslands under nutrient addition. 

Extreme droughts generally decrease productivity in grassland ecosystems1,2,3 with negative consequences for nature’s contribution to people4,5,6,7. The extent to which this negative effect varies among grassland types and over time in response to multi-year extreme drought remains unclear. Here, using a coordinated distributed experiment that simulated four years of growing-season drought (around 66% rainfall reduction), we compared drought sensitivity within and among six representative grasslands spanning broad precipitation gradients in each of Eurasia and North America—two of the Northern Hemisphere’s largest grass-dominated regions. Aboveground plant production declined substantially with drought in the Eurasian grasslands and the effects accumulated over time, while the declines were less severe and more muted over time in the North American grasslands. Drought effects on species richness shifted from positive to negative in Eurasia, but from negative to positive in North America over time. The differing responses of plant production in these grasslands were accompanied by less common (subordinate) plant species declining in Eurasian grasslands but increasing in North American grasslands. Our findings demonstrate the high production sensitivity of Eurasian compared with North American grasslands to extreme drought (43.6% versus 25.2% reduction), and the key role of subordinate species in determining impacts of extreme drought on grassland productivity.