Abstract. Since the middle Miocene (15 Ma, million years ago), the Earth's climate has undergone a long-term cooling trend, characterised by a reduction in ocean temperatures of up to 7–8 ∘C. The causes of this cooling are primarily thought to be due to tectonic plate movements driving changes in large-scale ocean circulation patterns, and hence heat redistribution, in conjunction with a drop in atmospheric greenhouse gas forcing (and attendant ice-sheet growth and feedback). In this study, we assess the potential to constrain the evolving patterns of global ocean circulation and cooling over the last 15 Ma by assimilating a variety of marine sediment proxy data in an Earth system model. We do this by first compiling surface and benthic ocean temperature and benthic carbon-13 (δ13C) data in a series of seven time slices spaced at approximately 2.5 Myr intervals. We then pair this with a corresponding series of tectonic and climate boundary condition reconstructions in the cGENIE (“muffin” release) Earth system model, including alternative possibilities for an open vs. closed Central American Seaway (CAS) from 10 Ma onwards. In the cGENIE model, we explore uncertainty in greenhouse gas forcing and the magnitude of North Pacific to North Atlantic salinity flux adjustment required in the model to create an Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) of a specific strength, via a series of 12 (one for each tectonic reconstruction) 2D parameter ensembles. Each ensemble member is then tested against the observed global temperature and benthic δ13C patterns. We identify that a relatively high CO2 equivalent forcing of 1120 ppm is required at 15 Ma in cGENIE to reproduce proxy temperature estimates in the model, noting that this CO2 forcing is dependent on the cGENIE model's climate sensitivity and that it incorporates the effects of all greenhouse gases. We find that reproducing the observed long-term cooling trend requires a progressively declining greenhouse gas forcing in the model. In parallel to this, the strength of the AMOC increases with time despite a reduction in the salinity of the surface North Atlantic over the cooling period, attributable to falling intensity of the hydrological cycle and to lowering polar temperatures, both caused by CO2-driven global cooling. We also find that a closed CAS from 10 Ma to present shows better agreement between benthic δ13C patterns and our particular series of model configurations and data. A final outcome of our analysis is a pronounced ca. 1.5 ‰ decline occurring in atmospheric (and ca. 1 ‰ ocean surface) δ13C that could be used to inform future δ13C-based proxy reconstructions.
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A Tale of Two LIP- (Large-Igneous Province) Induced Hyperthermals: The end-Triassic extinction (ETE) and Toarcian OAE (T-OAE)
Although many sources of atmospheric CO2 have been identified, the major sinks are best understood in a deep-time context. Here, we focus on two Large Igneous Provinces (LIPs), the Central Atlantic Magmatic Province (CAMP) situated in the low latitude humid zone ~201.6 Ma and the Karoo-Ferrar located at high southern latitudes ~183 Ma. We use soil carbonate, lithologic, δD of n-alkanes, Sr data, and modeling to examine how these eruptions, hydrological cycling, and weathering impacted global atmospheric CO2, carbon cycling, and biotic extinction at the ETE and T-OAE hyperthermals.
CAMP largely erupted in the tropics, doubled atmospheric CO2 from ~2,500 – 5,000 ppm at the ETE (observed in soil carbonates with an onset <1000 and a duration of <~20 ky) and rapidly sequestered CO2 (< 2,500 ppm) as recorded in Newark Supergroup basins (eastern US). These same strata preserve variations in the lake level expression of the climatic precession cycle based on lithology and δD. High cyclicity variance tracked high pCO2 (>~4000 ppm) and drove insolation-paced increases in precipitation. Leaf wax δD shows significant variability, reflecting an enhanced hydrological cycle at the ETE with repeated sudden shifts in relative evaporation for ~1 Myr. In marine strata, 87Sr/86Sr and 187Os/188Os values track changes in pCO2, suggesting a terrestrial/marine linkage through continental weathering, CO2, and runoff. Despite the northward movement of these basins into the arid belt, our data suggest lower evaporation relative to precipitation driven by lower temperatures, consistent with lower pCO2 due to CAMP weathering, which modeling estimates to have increased 6 to 10-fold for >1.6 Myr after the eruptive phase.
Release of CO2 from the Karoo-Ferrar LIP similarly enhanced the hydrological cycle as evidenced from sedimentary observations (e.g., fine-scale turbidites and debris flow deposits) in Yorkshire (UK). The onset of the carbon isotope excursion at the T-OAE lasts 0.5 Myr with a 1.5 Myr duration modulated by astronomical pacing. Our leaf wax δD from the same strata show a transient enhancement in the hydrological cycle. Although the Karoo-Ferrar has a limited drawdown potential when compared with CAMP‐type basalts because of its higher latitude location, Toarcian weathering rates may have increased 2 to 5-fold, acting as a net sink 1–2 Myr after eruptions ceased.
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- Award ID(s):
- 1654088
- NSF-PAR ID:
- 10174840
- Date Published:
- Journal Name:
- American Geophysical Union Annual Conference
- Format(s):
- Medium: X
- Sponsoring Org:
- National Science Foundation
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