skip to main content
US FlagAn official website of the United States government
dot gov icon
Official websites use .gov
A .gov website belongs to an official government organization in the United States.
https lock icon
Secure .gov websites use HTTPS
A lock ( lock ) or https:// means you've safely connected to the .gov website. Share sensitive information only on official, secure websites.


Title: Atmospheric CO 2 over the Past 66 Million Years from Marine Archives
Throughout Earth's history, CO 2 is thought to have exerted a fundamental control on environmental change. Here we review and revise CO 2 reconstructions from boron isotopes in carbonates and carbon isotopes in organic matter over the Cenozoic—the past 66 million years. We find close coupling between CO 2 and climate throughout the Cenozoic, with peak CO 2 levels of ∼1,500 ppm in the Eocene greenhouse, decreasing to ∼500 ppm in the Miocene, and falling further into the ice age world of the Plio–Pleistocene. Around two-thirds of Cenozoic CO 2 drawdown is explained by an increase in the ratio of ocean alkalinity to dissolved inorganic carbon, likely linked to a change in the balance of weathering to outgassing, with the remaining one-third due to changing ocean temperature and major ion composition. Earth system climate sensitivity is explored and may vary between different time intervals. The Cenozoic CO 2 record highlights the truly geological scale of anthropogenic CO 2 change: Current CO 2 levels were last seen around 3 million years ago, and major cuts in emissions are required to prevent a return to the CO 2 levels of the Miocene or Eocene in the coming century. ▪  CO 2 reconstructions over the past 66 Myr from boron isotopes and alkenones are reviewed and re-evaluated. ▪  CO 2 estimates from the different proxies show close agreement, yielding a consistent picture of the evolution of the ocean-atmosphere CO 2 system over the Cenozoic. ▪  CO 2 and climate are coupled throughout the past 66 Myr, providing broad constraints on Earth system climate sensitivity. ▪  Twenty-first-century carbon emissions have the potential to return CO 2 to levels not seen since the much warmer climates of Earth's distant past.  more » « less
Award ID(s):
1806015
PAR ID:
10232685
Author(s) / Creator(s):
; ; ; ; ;
Date Published:
Journal Name:
Annual Review of Earth and Planetary Sciences
Volume:
49
Issue:
1
ISSN:
0084-6597
Page Range / eLocation ID:
609 to 641
Format(s):
Medium: X
Sponsoring Org:
National Science Foundation
More Like this
  1. Globally, the middle Cenozoic (Oligocene to early Miocene, ~33.9–15.97 Ma) was characterized by a warmer, wetter climate than present. Reconstructing the climate of this stratigraphic interval helps us to better understand the implications of present and future anthropogenically-driven climate change in an Earth system with an established Antarctic ice mass and comparable pCO2 levels (400–700 ppm). Relative to mainland Europe, little palaeoclimate work has been done on the British Isles for this time interval. Compiled middle Cenozoic palynology records from across the British Isles were used to quantitatively reconstruct palaeoclimate, which was then used to define Köppen-Geiger signatures for each palynomorph assemblage. These reconstructions were used to show the presence of a temperate, dry-winter and hot-summer (Cwa) Köppen-Geiger climate type before 31.8 Ma, which was possibly a short-lived event driven by precessional (~26 k.y.) forcing. We attribute reconstructions with dry-winter Köppen-Geiger classifications to combined eccentricity-obliquity-precession (~405 k.y.) forcing, after the Eocene-Oligocene Transition. Declines in Mean Annual Temperature, in Chattian sections, are associated with the Svalbardella-2 and 3 North Sea cooling events. The late Oligocene warming event is shown to have produced tropical rainforest (Af) Köppen-Geiger classification types in the British Isles. Following early Miocene glaciation, a temperate, no-dry-season, warm-summer (Cfb) signature was reconstructed. We suggest the present-day climate of the northwest margin of Europe is comparable to the early Miocene palaeoclimate. Under increased pCO2 concentrations, based on projected twenty-first century anthropogenic warming scenarios, there is potential for wetter summers becoming more prevalent within the next century. 
    more » « less
  2. The late Paleocene and early Eocene (LPEE) are characterized by long-term (million years, Myr) global warming and by transient, abrupt (kiloyears, kyr) warming events, termed hyperthermals. Although both have been attributed to greenhouse (CO2) forcing, the longer-term trend in climate was likely influenced by additional forcing factors (i.e., tectonics) and the extent to which warming was driven by atmospheric CO2remains unclear. Here, we use a suite of new and existing observations from planktic foraminifera collected at Pacific Ocean Drilling Program Sites 1209 and 1210 and inversion of a multiproxy Bayesian hierarchical model to quantify sea surface temperature (SST) and atmospheric CO2over a 6-Myr interval. Our reconstructions span the initiation of long-term LPEE warming (~58 Ma), and the two largest Paleogene hyperthermals, the Paleocene–Eocene Thermal Maximum (PETM, ~56 Ma) and Eocene Thermal Maximum 2 (ETM-2, ~54 Ma). Our results show strong coupling between CO2and temperature over the long- (LPEE) and short-term (PETM and ETM-2) but differing Pacific climate sensitivities over the two timescales. Combined CO2and carbon isotope trends imply the carbon source driving CO2increase was likely methanogenic, organic, or mixed for the PETM and organic for ETM-2, whereas a source with higher δ13C values (e.g., volcanic degassing) is associated with the long-term LPEE. Reconstructed emissions for the PETM (5,800 Gt C) and ETM-2 (3,800 Gt C) are comparable in mass to future emission scenarios, reinforcing the value of these events as analogs of anthropogenic change. 
    more » « less
  3. null (Ed.)
    Abstract. Cenozoic stable carbon (δ13C) and oxygen (δ18O)isotope ratios of deep-sea foraminiferal calcite co-vary with the 405 kyreccentricity cycle, suggesting a link between orbital forcing, the climatesystem, and the carbon cycle. Variations in δ18O are partlyforced by ice-volume changes that have mostly occurred since the Oligocene.The cyclic δ13C–δ18O co-variation is found inboth ice-free and glaciated climate states, however. Consequently, thereshould be a mechanism that forces the δ13C cyclesindependently of ice dynamics. In search of this mechanism, we simulate theresponse of several key components of the carbon cycle to orbital forcing inthe Long-term Ocean-atmosphere-Sediment CArbon cycle Reservoir model(LOSCAR). We force the model by changing the burial of organic carbon in theocean with various astronomical solutions and noise and study the responseof the main carbon cycle tracers. Consistent with previous work, thesimulations reveal that low-frequency oscillations in the forcing arepreferentially amplified relative to higher frequencies. However, whileoceanic δ13C mainly varies with a 405 kyr period in themodel, the dynamics of dissolved inorganic carbon in the oceans and ofatmospheric CO2 are dominated by the 2.4 Myr cycle of eccentricity.This implies that the total ocean and atmosphere carbon inventory is stronglyinfluenced by carbon cycle variability that exceeds the timescale of the405 kyr period (such as silicate weathering). To test the applicability ofthe model results, we assemble a long (∼22 Myr) δ13C andδ18O composite record spanning the Eocene to Miocene(34–12 Ma) and perform spectral analysis to assess the presence of the2.4 Myr cycle. We find that, while the 2.4 Myr cycle appears to beovershadowed by long-term changes in the composite record, it is present asan amplitude modulator of the 405 and 100 kyr eccentricity cycles. 
    more » « less
  4. Beaufort, Luc (Ed.)
    Abstract. The evolution of the Cenozoic cryosphere from unipolar to bipolar over the past 30 million years (Myr) is broadly known. Highly resolved records of carbonate (CaCO3) content provide insight into the evolution of regional and global climate, cryosphere, and carbon cycle dynamics. Here, we generate the first Southeast Atlantic CaCO3 content record spanning the last 30 Myr, derived from X-ray fluorescence (XRF) ln(Ca/Fe) data collected at Ocean Drilling Program Site 1264 (Walvis Ridge, SE Atlantic Ocean). We present a comprehensive and continuous depth and age model for the entirety of Site 1264 (~316 m; 30 Myr). This constitutes a key reference framework for future palaeoclimatic and palaeoceanographic studies at this location. We identify three phases with distinctly different orbital controls on Southeast Atlantic CaCO3 deposition, corresponding to major developments in climate, the cryosphere and the carbon cycle: (1) strong ~110 kyr eccentricity pacing prevails during Oligocene–Miocene global warmth (~30–13 Ma), (2) increased eccentricity-modulated precession pacing appears after the middle Miocene ClimateTransition (mMCT) (~14–8 Ma), and (3) pervasive obliquity pacing appears in the late Miocene (~7.7–3.3 Ma) following greater importance of high-latitude processes, such as increased glacial activity and high-latitude cooling. The lowest CaCO3 content (92 %–94 %) occurs between 18.5 and 14.5 Ma, potentially reflecting dissolution caused by widespread early Miocene warmth and preceding Antarctic deglaciation across the Miocene Climatic Optimum (~17–14.5 Ma) by 1.5 Myr. The emergence of precession pacing of CaCO3 deposition at Site 1264 after ~14 Ma could signal a reorganisation of surface and/or deep-water circulation in this region following Antarctic reglaciation at the mMCT. The increased sensitivity to precession at Site 1264 between 14 and 13 Ma is associated with an increase in mass accumulation rates (MARs) and reflects increased regional CaCO3 productivity and/or recurrent influxes of cooler, less corrosive deep waters. The highest carbonate content (%CaCO3) and MARs indicate that the late Miocene–early PlioceneBiogenic Bloom (LMBB) occurs between ~7.8 and 3.3Ma at Site 1264; broadly contemporaneous with the LMBB in the equatorial Pacific Ocean. At Site 1264, the onset of the LMBB roughly coincides with appearance of strong obliquity pacing of %CaCO3, reflecting increased high-latitude forcing. The global expression of the LMBB may reflect increased nutrient input into the global ocean resulting from enhanced aeolian dust and/or glacial/chemical weathering fluxes, due to enhanced glacial activity and increased meridional temperature gradients. Regional variability in the timing and amplitude of the LMBB may be driven by regional differences in cooling, continental aridification and/or changes in ocean circulation in the late Miocene. 
    more » « less
  5. Abstract The Miocene epoch (23.03–5.33 Ma) was a time interval of global warmth, relative to today. Continental configurations and mountain topography transitioned toward modern conditions, and many flora and fauna evolved into the same taxa that exist today. Miocene climate was dynamic: long periods of early and late glaciation bracketed a ∼2 Myr greenhouse interval—the Miocene Climatic Optimum (MCO). Floras, faunas, ice sheets, precipitation,pCO2, and ocean and atmospheric circulation mostly (but not ubiquitously) covaried with these large changes in climate. With higher temperatures and moderately higherpCO2(∼400–600 ppm), the MCO has been suggested as a particularly appropriate analog for future climate scenarios, and for assessing the predictive accuracy of numerical climate models—the same models that are used to simulate future climate. Yet, Miocene conditions have proved difficult to reconcile with models. This implies either missing positive feedbacks in the models, a lack of knowledge of past climate forcings, or the need for re‐interpretation of proxies, which might mitigate the model‐data discrepancy. Our understanding of Miocene climatic, biogeochemical, and oceanic changes on broad spatial and temporal scales is still developing. New records documenting the physical, chemical, and biotic aspects of the Earth system are emerging, and together provide a more comprehensive understanding of this important time interval. Here, we review the state‐of‐the‐art in Miocene climate, ocean circulation, biogeochemical cycling, ice sheet dynamics, and biotic adaptation research as inferred through proxy observations and modeling studies. 
    more » « less