Biological research often involves testing a growing number of null hypotheses as new data are accumulated over time. We study the problem of online control of the familywise error rate, that is testing an a priori unbounded sequence of hypotheses ( p-values) one by one over time without knowing the future, such that with high probability there are no false discoveries in the entire sequence. This paper unifies algorithmic concepts developed for offline (single batch) familywise error rate control and online false discovery rate control to develop novel online familywise error rate control methods. Though many offline familywise error ratemore »
THE EASE OF FITTING BUT FUTILITY OF TESTING A NONSTATIONARY POISSON PROCESSES FROM ONE SAMPLE PATH
The nonstationary Poisson process (NSPP) is a workhorse tool for modeling and simulating arrival processes
with time-dependent rates. In many applications only a single sequence of arrival times are observed. While
one sample path is sufficient for estimating the arrival rate or integrated rate function of the process—as
we illustrate in this paper—we show that testing for Poissonness, in the general case, is futile. In other
words, when only a single sequence of arrival data are observed then one can fit an NSPP to it, but the
choice of “NSPP” can only be justified by an understanding of the underlying process physics, or a leap
of faith, not by testing the data. This result suggests the need for sensitivity analysis when such a model
is used to generate arrivals in a simulation.
- Editors:
- Bae, K-H; Feng, B; Kim, S; Lazarova-Molnar, S; Zheng, Z; Roeder, T; Thiesing, R
- Award ID(s):
- 1854562
- Publication Date:
- NSF-PAR ID:
- 10233327
- Journal Name:
- Proceedings of the Winter Simulation Conference
- Page Range or eLocation-ID:
- 266-276
- ISSN:
- 1558-4305
- Sponsoring Org:
- National Science Foundation
More Like this
-
-
Abstract Pulsar timing is a process of iteratively fitting pulse arrival times to constrain the spindown, astrometric, and possibly binary parameters of a pulsar, by enforcing integer numbers of pulsar rotations between the arrival times. Phase connection is the process of unambiguously determining those rotation numbers between the times of arrival while determining a pulsar timing solution. Pulsar timing currently requires a manual process of step-by-step phase connection performed by individuals. In an effort to quantify and streamline this process, we created the Algorithmic Pulsar Timer (APT), an algorithm that can accurately phase connect and time isolate pulsars. Using themore »
-
Optical projection tomography (OPT) is a powerful imaging modality for attaining high resolution absorption and fluorescence imaging in tissue samples and embryos with a diameter of roughly 1 mm. Moving past this 1 mm limit, scattered light becomes the dominant fraction detected, adding significant “blur” to OPT. Time-domain OPT has been used to select out early-arriving photons that have taken a more direct route through the tissue to reduce detection of scattered photons in these larger samples, which are the cause of image domain blur1. In addition, it was recently demonstrated by our group that detection of scattered photons couldmore »
-
We consider the problem of accurately recovering a matrix B of size M by M, which represents a probability distribution over M^2 outcomes, given access to an observed matrix of "counts" generated by taking independent samples from the distribution B. How can structural properties of the underlying matrix B be leveraged to yield computationally efficient and information theoretically optimal reconstruction algorithms? When can accurate reconstruction be accomplished in the sparse data regime? This basic problem lies at the core of a number of questions that are currently being considered by different communities, including building recommendation systems and collaborative filtering inmore »
-
Green wireless networks Wake-up radio Energy harvesting Routing Markov decision process Reinforcement learning 1. Introduction With 14.2 billions of connected things in 2019, over 41.6 billions expected by 2025, and a total spending on endpoints and services that will reach well over $1.1 trillion by the end of 2026, the Internet of Things (IoT) is poised to have a transformative impact on the way we live and on the way we work [1–3]. The vision of this ‘‘connected continuum’’ of objects and people, however, comes with a wide variety of challenges, especially for those IoT networks whose devices rely onmore »