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1. Heat stored in the Earth system 1960–2020: where does the energy go?

   https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-15-1675-2023  

   von Schuckmann, Karina ; Minière, Audrey ; Gues, Flora ; Cuesta-Valero, Francisco José ; Kirchengast, Gottfried ; Adusumilli, Susheel ; Straneo, Fiammetta ; Ablain, Michaël ; Allan, Richard P. ; Barker, Paul M. ; et al ( January 2023 , Earth System Science Data)

   Abstract. The Earth climate system is out of energy balance, and heat hasaccumulated continuously over the past decades, warming the ocean, the land,the cryosphere, and the atmosphere. According to the Sixth Assessment Reportby Working Group I of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change,this planetary warming over multiple decades is human-driven and results inunprecedented and committed changes to the Earth system, with adverseimpacts for ecosystems and human systems. The Earth heat inventory providesa measure of the Earth energy imbalance (EEI) and allows for quantifyinghow much heat has accumulated in the Earth system, as well as where the heat isstored. Here we show that the Earth system has continued to accumulateheat, with 381±61 ZJ accumulated from 1971 to 2020. This is equivalent to aheating rate (i.e., the EEI) of 0.48±0.1 W m−2. The majority,about 89 %, of this heat is stored in the ocean, followed by about 6 %on land, 1 % in the atmosphere, and about 4 % available for meltingthe cryosphere. Over the most recent period (2006–2020), the EEI amounts to0.76±0.2 W m−2. The Earth energy imbalance is the mostfundamental global climate indicator that the scientific community and thepublic can use as the measure of how well the world is doing in the task ofbringing anthropogenic climate change under control. Moreover, thisindicator is highly complementary to other established ones like global meansurface temperature as it represents a robust measure of the rate of climatechange and its future commitment. We call for an implementation of theEarth energy imbalance into the Paris Agreement's Global Stocktake based onbest available science. The Earth heat inventory in this study, updated fromvon Schuckmann et al. (2020), is underpinned by worldwide multidisciplinarycollaboration and demonstrates the critical importance of concertedinternational efforts for climate change monitoring and community-basedrecommendations and we also call for urgently needed actions for enablingcontinuity, archiving, rescuing, and calibrating efforts to assure improvedand long-term monitoring capacity of the global climate observing system. The data for the Earth heat inventory are publicly available, and more details are provided in Table 4. 

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2. 20th century cooling of the deep ocean contributed to delayed acceleration of Earth’s energy imbalance

   https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-021-24472-3  

   Bagnell, A. ; DeVries, T. ( December 2021 , Nature Communications)

   Abstract The historical evolution of Earth’s energy imbalance can be quantified by changes in the global ocean heat content. However, historical reconstructions of ocean heat content often neglect a large volume of the deep ocean, due to sparse observations of ocean temperatures below 2000 m. Here, we provide a global reconstruction of historical changes in full-depth ocean heat content based on interpolated subsurface temperature data using an autoregressive artificial neural network, providing estimates of total ocean warming for the period 1946-2019. We find that cooling of the deep ocean and a small heat gain in the upper ocean led to no robust trend in global ocean heat content from 1960-1990, implying a roughly balanced Earth energy budget within −0.16 to 0.06 W m −2 over most of the latter half of the 20th century. However, the past three decades have seen a rapid acceleration in ocean warming, with the entire ocean warming from top to bottom at a rate of 0.63 ± 0.13 W m −2 . These results suggest a delayed onset of a positive Earth energy imbalance relative to previous estimates, although large uncertainties remain. 

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3. Less atmospheric radiative heating by dust due to the synergy of coarser size and aspherical shape

   https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-21-16869-2021  

   Ito, Akinori ; Adebiyi, Adeyemi A. ; Huang, Yue ; Kok, Jasper F. ( January 2021 , Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics)

   Abstract. Mineral dust aerosols cool and warm the atmosphere byscattering and absorbing solar (shortwave: SW) and thermal (longwave: LW)radiation. However, significant uncertainties remain in dust radiativeeffects, largely due to differences in the dust size distribution andspectral optical properties simulated in Earth system models. Dust modelstypically underestimate the coarse dust load (more than 2.5 µm indiameter) and assume a spherical shape, which leads to an overestimate ofthe fine dust load (less than 2.5 µm) after the dust emissions in themodels are scaled to match observed dust aerosol optical depth at 550 nm(DAOD550). Here, we improve the simulated dust properties with data setsthat leverage measurements of size-resolved dust concentration, asphericityfactor, and refractive index in a coupled global chemical transport modelwith a radiative transfer module. After the adjustment of size-resolved dustconcentration and spectral optical properties, the global and annual averageof DAOD550 from the simulation increases from 0.023 to 0.029 and fallswithin the range of a semi-observationally based estimate (0.030 ± 0.005). The reduction of fine dust load after the adjustment leads to areduction of the SW cooling at the top of the atmosphere (TOA). To improveagreement against a semi-observationally based estimate of the radiativeeffect efficiency at TOA, we find that a less absorptive SW dust refractiveindex is required for coarser aspherical dust. Thus, only a minor differenceis estimated for the net global dust radiative effect at TOA (−0.08 vs.−0.00 W m−2 on a global scale). Conversely, our sensitivitysimulations reveal that the surface warming is substantially enhanced nearthe strong dust source regions (less cooling to −0.23 from −0.60 W m−2 on a global scale). Thus, less atmospheric radiativeheating is estimated near the major source regions (less heating to 0.15from 0.59 W m−2 on a global scale), because of enhanced LWwarming at the surface by the synergy of coarser size and aspherical shape. 

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4. Closure of Earth’s Global Seasonal Cycle of Energy Storage

   https://doi.org/10.1007/s10712-023-09797-6  

   Johnson, Gregory C. ; Landerer, Felix W. ; Loeb, Norman G. ; Lyman, John M. ; Mayer, Michael ; Swann, Abigail L. S. ; Zhang, Jinlun ( July 2023 , Surveys in Geophysics)

   The global seasonal cycle of energy in Earth’s climate system is quantified using observations and reanalyses. After removing long-term trends, net energy entering and exiting the climate system at the top of the atmosphere (TOA) should agree with the sum of energy entering and exiting the ocean, atmosphere, land, and ice over the course of an average year. Achieving such a balanced budget with observations has been challenging. Disagreements have been attributed previously to sparse observations in the high-latitude oceans. However, limiting the local vertical integration of new global ocean heat content estimates to the depth to which seasonal heat energy is stored, rather than integrating to 2000 m everywhere as done previously, allows closure of the global seasonal energy budget within statistical uncertainties. The seasonal cycle of energy storage is largest in the ocean, peaking in April because ocean area is largest in the Southern Hemisphere and the ocean’s thermal inertia causes a lag with respect to the austral summer solstice. Seasonal cycles in energy storage in the atmosphere and land are smaller, but peak in July and September, respectively, because there is more land in the Northern Hemisphere, and the land has more thermal inertia than the atmosphere. Global seasonal energy storage by ice is small, so the atmosphere and land partially offset ocean energy storage in the global integral, with their sum matching time-integrated net global TOA energy fluxes over the seasonal cycle within uncertainties, and both peaking in April.

    

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5. A Comparison of the Variability and Changes in Global Ocean Heat Content from Multiple Objective Analysis Products During the Argo Period

   https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0794.1  

   Liang, Xinfeng ; Liu, Chao ; Ponte, Rui M. ; Chambers, Don P. ( July 2021 , Journal of Climate)

   null (Ed.)

   Abstract Ocean heat content (OHC) is key to estimating the energy imbalance of the earth system. Over the past two decades, an increasing number of OHC studies were conducted using oceanic objective analysis (OA) products. Here we perform an intercomparison of OHC from eight OA products with a focus on their robust features and significant differences over the Argo period (2005-2019), when the most reliable global scale oceanic measurements are available. For the global ocean, robust warming in the upper 2000 m is confirmed. The 0-300 m layer shows the highest warming rate but is heavily modulated by interannual variability, particularly the El Niño–Southern Oscillation. The 300-700 m and 700-2000 m layers, on the other hand, show unabated warming. Regionally, the Southern Ocean and mid-latitude North Atlantic show a substantial OHC increase, and the subpolar North Atlantic displays an OHC decrease. A few apparent differences in OHC among the examined OA products were identified. In particular, temporal means of a few OA products that incorporated other ocean measurements besides Argo show a global-scale cooling difference, which is likely related to the baseline climatology fields used to generate those products. Large differences also appear in the interannual variability in the Southern Ocean and in the long-term trends in the subpolar North Atlantic. These differences remind us of the possibility of product-dependent conclusions on OHC variations. Caution is therefore warranted when using merely one OA product to conduct OHC studies, particularly in regions and on timescales that display significant differences. 

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