In this work, we present a new approach for latent system dynamics and remaining useful life (RUL) estimation of complex degrading systems using generative modeling and reinforcement learning. The main contributions of the proposed method are two-fold. First, we show how a deep generative model can approximate the functionality of high-fidelity simulators and, thus, is able to substitute expensive and complex physics-based models with data-driven surrogate ones. In other words, we can use the generative model in lieu of the actual system as a surrogate model of the system. Furthermore, we show how to use such surrogate models for predictive analytics. Our method follows two main steps. First, we use a deep variational autoencoder (VAE) to learn the distribution over the latent state-space that characterizes the dynamics of the system under monitoring. After model training, the probabilistic VAE decoder becomes the surrogate system model. Then, we develop a scalable reinforcement learning framework using the decoder as the environment, to train an agent for identifying adequate approximate values of the latent dynamics, as well as the RUL.To our knowledge, the method presented in this paper is the first in industrial prognostics that utilizes generative models and reinforcement learning in that capacity. While the process requires extensive data preprocessing and environment tailored design, which is not always possible, it demonstrates the ability of generative models working in conjunction with reinforcement learning to provide proper value estimations for system dynamics and their RUL. To validate the quality of the proposed method, we conducted numerical experiments using the train_FD002 dataset provided by the NASA CMAPSS data repository. Different subsets were used to train the VAE and the RL agent, and a leftover set was then used for model validation. The results shown prove the merit of our method and will further assist us in developing a data-driven RL environment that incorporates more complex latent dynamic layers, such as normal/faulty operating conditions and hazard processes.
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Detecting outliers in astronomical images with deep generative networks
ABSTRACT With the advent of future big-data surveys, automated tools for unsupervised discovery are becoming ever more necessary. In this work, we explore the ability of deep generative networks for detecting outliers in astronomical imaging data sets. The main advantage of such generative models is that they are able to learn complex representations directly from the pixel space. Therefore, these methods enable us to look for subtle morphological deviations which are typically missed by more traditional moment-based approaches. We use a generative model to learn a representation of expected data defined by the training set and then look for deviations from the learned representation by looking for the best reconstruction of a given object. In this first proof-of-concept work, we apply our method to two different test cases. We first show that from a set of simulated galaxies, we are able to detect ${\sim}90{{\ \rm per\ cent}}$ of merging galaxies if we train our network only with a sample of isolated ones. We then explore how the presented approach can be used to compare observations and hydrodynamic simulations by identifying observed galaxies not well represented in the models. The code used in this is available at https://github.com/carlamb/astronomical-outliers-WGAN.
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- Award ID(s):
- 1816330
- NSF-PAR ID:
- 10234815
- Date Published:
- Journal Name:
- Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society
- Volume:
- 496
- Issue:
- 2
- ISSN:
- 0035-8711
- Page Range / eLocation ID:
- 2346 to 2361
- Format(s):
- Medium: X
- Sponsoring Org:
- National Science Foundation
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- Free Publicly Accessible Full Text
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Accepted Manuscript1.0
- Journal Article:
- https://doi.org/10.1093/mnras/staa1647
