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Abstract Recent work suggests that storm track diagnostics such as eddy heat fluxes and eddy kinetic energies have very small signatures in the first annular mode of zonal mean zonal wind, suggesting a lack of co‐variability between the locations of the extratropical jet and storm tracks. The frequency‐dependence of this apparent decoupling is explored in ERA‐Interim reanalysis data. The annular modes show similar spatial characteristics in the different frequency ranges considered. Cancellation between the signatures of storm track diagnostics in the leading low‐pass and high‐pass filtered annular modes is evident, partly explaining their small signature in the total. It is shown that at timescales greater than 30 days, the first zonal wind mode describes latitudinal shifts of both the midlatitude jet and its associated storm tracks, and it appears that the persistence of zonal wind anomalies is sustained primarily by a baroclinic feedback.
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An Eddy–Zonal Flow Feedback Model for Propagating Annular Modes
Abstract The variability of the zonal-mean large-scale extratropical circulation is often studied using individual modes obtained from empirical orthogonal function (EOF) analyses. The prevailing reduced-order model of the leading EOF (EOF1) of zonal-mean zonal wind, called the annular mode, consists of an eddy–mean flow interaction mechanism that results in a positive feedback of EOF1 onto itself. However, a few studies have pointed out that under some circumstances in observations and GCMs, strong couplings exist between EOF1 and EOF2 at some lag times, resulting in decaying-oscillatory, or propagating, annular modes. Here, we introduce a reduced-order model for coupled EOF1 and EOF2 that accounts for potential cross-EOF eddy–zonal flow feedbacks. Using the analytical solution of this model, we derive conditions for the existence of the propagating regime based on the feedback strengths. Using this model, and idealized GCMs and stochastic prototypes, we show that cross-EOF feedbacks play an important role in controlling the persistence of the annular modes by setting the frequency of the oscillation. We find that stronger cross-EOF feedbacks lead to less persistent annular modes. Applying the coupled-EOF model to the Southern Hemisphere reanalysis data shows the existence of strong cross-EOF feedbacks. The results highlight the importance of considering the coupling of EOFs and cross-EOF feedbacks to fully understand the natural and forced variability of the zonal-mean large-scale circulation.
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- Award ID(s):
- 1921413
- PAR ID:
- 10281420
- Date Published:
- Journal Name:
- Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences
- Volume:
- 78
- Issue:
- 1
- ISSN:
- 0022-4928
- Page Range / eLocation ID:
- 249 to 267
- Format(s):
- Medium: X
- Sponsoring Org:
- National Science Foundation
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- Free Publicly Accessible Full Text
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Accepted Manuscript1.0
- Journal Article:
- https://doi.org/10.1175/JAS-D-20-0214.1
