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We experimentally explore single-shot state identification using long alphabets of states and employing different modulation schemes. We use time-resolved quantum measurement and Bayesian inference to identify the input state and demonstrate the advantage of this single-shot measurement over classical state identification. For each single-shot measurement, we estimate the confidence of state identification based on the quantum measurement and demonstrate the physical significance of confidence estimates. Particularly, we show that a set of confidence values correctly represents the probabilities of successful state identification for a given experimental outcome. We investigate the alphabets of coherent states with different modulations and show that confidence estimates yield the reliability of each act of measurement independently of the modulation used.
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