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1. Linear Time GPs for Inferring Latent Trajectories from Neural Spike Trains

   Dowling, Matthew; Zhao, Yuan; Park, Il Memming (April 2023, International Conference on Machine Learning)

   Latent Gaussian process (GP) models are widely used in neuroscience to uncover hidden state evolutions from sequential observations, mainly in neural activity recordings. While latent GP models provide a principled and powerful solution in theory, the intractable posterior in non-conjugate settings necessitates approximate inference schemes, which may lack scalability. In this work, we propose cvHM, a general inference framework for latent GP models leveraging Hida-Matérn kernels and conjugate computation variational inference (CVI). With cvHM, we are able to perform variational inference of latent neural trajectories with linear time complexity for arbitrary likelihoods. The reparameterization of stationary kernels using Hida-Matérn GPs helps us connect the latent variable models that encode prior assumptions through dynamical systems to those that encode trajectory assumptions through GPs. In contrast to previous work, we use bidirectional information filtering, leading to a more concise implementation. Furthermore, we employ the Whittle approximate likelihood to achieve highly efficient hyperparameter learning. 

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2. A Gaussian latent variable model for incomplete mixed type data

   M. Ajirak and P. M Djurić (January 2023, Conference record IEEE International Conference on Acoustics Speech and Signal Processing)

   In many machine learning problems, one has to work with data of different types, including continuous, discrete, and categorical data. Further, it is often the case that many of these data are missing from the database. This paper proposes a Gaussian process framework that efficiently captures the information from mixed numerical and categorical data that effectively incorporates missing variables. First, we propose a generative model for the mixed-type data. The generative model exploits Gaussian processes with kernels constructed from the latent vectors. We also propose a method for inference of the unknowns, and in its implementation, we rely on a sparse spectrum approximation of the Gaussian processes and variational inference. We demonstrate the performance of the method for both supervised and unsupervised tasks. First, we investigate the imputation of missing variables in an unsupervised setting, and then we show the results of joint imputation and classification on IBM employee data. 

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3. Statistical Guarantees for Transformation Based Models with applications to Implicit Variational Inference

   Plummer, Sean; Zhou, Shuang; Bhattacharya, Anirban; Dunson, David; Pati, Debdeep (April 2021, Proceedings of Machine Learning Research)

   null (Ed.)

   Transformation-based methods have been an attractive approach in non-parametric inference for problems such as unconditional and conditional density estimation due to their unique hierarchical structure that models the data as flexible transformation of a set of common latent variables. More recently, transformation-based models have been used in variational inference (VI) to construct flexible implicit families of variational distributions. However, their use in both nonparametric inference and variational inference lacks theoretical justification. We provide theoretical justification for the use of non-linear latent variable models (NL-LVMs) in non-parametric inference by showing that the support of the transformation induced prior in the space of densities is sufficiently large in the L1 sense. We also show that, when a Gaussian process (GP) prior is placed on the transformation function, the posterior concentrates at the optimal rate up to a logarithmic factor. Adopting the flexibility demonstrated in the non-parametric setting, we use the NL-LVM to construct an implicit family of variational distributions, deemed GP-IVI. We delineate sufficient conditions under which GP-IVI achieves optimal risk bounds and approximates the true posterior in the sense of the Kullback–Leibler divergence. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first work on providing theoretical guarantees for implicit variational inference. 

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4. Dynamical Gaussian Process Latent Variable Model for Representation Learning from Longitudinal Data

   https://doi.org/10.1145/3412815.3416894  

   Le, Thanh; Honavar, Vasant (January 2020, ACM/IMS Conference on Foundations of Data Science)

   null (Ed.)

   Many real-world applications involve longitudinal data, consisting of observations of several variables, where different subsets of variables are sampled at irregularly spaced time points. We introduce the Longitudinal Gaussian Process Latent Variable Model (L-GPLVM), a variant of the Gaussian Process Latent Variable Model, for learning compact representations of such data. L-GPLVM overcomes a key limitation of the Dynamic Gaussian Process Latent Variable Model and its variants, which rely on the assumption that the data are fully observed over all of the sampled time points. We describe an effective approach to learning the parameters of L-GPLVM from sparse observations, by coupling the dynamical model with a Multitask Gaussian Process model for sampling of the missing observations at each step of the gradient-based optimization of the variational lower bound. We further show the advantage of the Sparse Process Convolution framework to learn the latent representation of sparsely and irregularly sampled longitudinal data with minimal computational overhead relative to a standard Latent Variable Model. We demonstrated experiments with synthetic data as well as variants of MOCAP data with varying degrees of sparsity of observations that show that L-GPLVM substantially and consistently outperforms the state-of-the-art alternatives in recovering the missing observations even when the available data exhibits a high degree of sparsity. The compact representations of irregularly sampled and sparse longitudinal data can be used to perform a variety of machine learning tasks, including clustering, classification, and regression. 

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5. Bayesian Pyramids: identifiable multilayer discrete latent structure models for discrete data

   https://doi.org/10.1093/jrsssb/qkad010  

   Gu, Yuqi; Dunson, David B (March 2023, Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B: Statistical Methodology)

   Abstract High-dimensional categorical data are routinely collected in biomedical and social sciences. It is of great importance to build interpretable parsimonious models that perform dimension reduction and uncover meaningful latent structures from such discrete data. Identifiability is a fundamental requirement for valid modeling and inference in such scenarios, yet is challenging to address when there are complex latent structures. In this article, we propose a class of identifiable multilayer (potentially deep) discrete latent structure models for discrete data, termed Bayesian Pyramids. We establish the identifiability of Bayesian Pyramids by developing novel transparent conditions on the pyramid-shaped deep latent directed graph. The proposed identifiability conditions can ensure Bayesian posterior consistency under suitable priors. As an illustration, we consider the two-latent-layer model and propose a Bayesian shrinkage estimation approach. Simulation results for this model corroborate the identifiability and estimatability of model parameters. Applications of the methodology to DNA nucleotide sequence data uncover useful discrete latent features that are highly predictive of sequence types. The proposed framework provides a recipe for interpretable unsupervised learning of discrete data and can be a useful alternative to popular machine learning methods. 

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