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1. Pacific Northwest conifer forest stand carrying capacity under future climate scenarios

   https://doi.org/10.1111/nrm.12381  

   Heiderman, Ryan R. ; Kimsey, Mark J. ( November 2023 , Natural Resource Modeling)

   Maximum stand density index (SDI_MAX) represents the carrying capacity of a forest stand based on the relationship between the number of trees and their size. Plot‐level inventory data provided through a collaborative network of federal, state, and private forest management groups were utilized to develop SDI_MAXmodels for important Pacific Northwest conifers of western Washington and Oregon, USA. The influence of site‐specific climatic and environmental variables was explored within an ensemble learning model. Future climate projections based on global circulation models under different representative CO₂concentration pathways (RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5) and timeframes (2050s and 2080s) were utilized in a space‐for‐time substitution to understand potential shifts in modeled SDI_MAX. A majority of the region showed decreases in carrying capacity under future climate conditions. Modeled mean SDI_MAXdecreased 5.4% and 11.4% for Douglas‐fir (Pseudotsuga menziesii(Mirb.) Franco) dominated forests and decreased 6.6% and 8.9% for western hemlock (Tsuga heterophylla(Raf.) Sarg.) and Pacific silver fir (Abies amabilis), dominated forests under the RCP 4.5 in the 2050s and RCP 8.5 in the 2080s, respectively. Projected future conditions often fall outside the range of any contemporary climate profile, resulting in what may be referred to as extramural conditions. Within the study region, 45% and 46% of climate variables included in the final model were extramural for the Douglas‐fir and hemlock models, respectively, under RCP 8.5 in the 2080s. Although extrapolating beyond the range of input data is not appropriate and many unknowns remain regarding future climate projections, these results allow for general interpretations of the direction and magnitude of potential shifts in forest carrying capacity.

    

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2. Bee diversity decreases rapidly with time since harvest in intensively managed conifer forests

   https://doi.org/10.1002/eap.2855  

   Zitomer, Rachel A. ; Galbraith, Sara M. ; Betts, Matthew G. ; Moldenke, Andrew R. ; Progar, Robert A. ; Rivers, James W. ( May 2023 , Ecological Applications)

   Despite widespread concerns about the anthropogenic drivers of global pollinator declines, little information is available about the impacts of land management practices on wild bees outside of agricultural systems, including in forests managed intensively for wood production. We assessed changes in wild bee communities with time since harvest in 60 intensively managed Douglas‐fir (Pseudotsuga menziesii) stands across a gradient in stand ages spanning a typical harvest rotation. We measured bee abundance, species richness, and alpha and beta diversity, as well as habitat characteristics (i.e., floral resources, nesting substrates, understory vegetation, and early seral forest in the surrounding landscape) during the spring and summer of 2018 and 2019. We found that bee abundance and species richness declined rapidly with stand age, decreasing by 61% and 48%, respectively, for every 5 years since timber harvest. Asymptotic estimates of Shannon and Simpson diversity were highest in stands 6–10 years post‐harvest and lowest after the forest canopy had closed, ~11 years post‐harvest. Bee communities in older stands were nested subsets of bee communities found in younger stands, indicating that changes were due to species loss rather than turnover as the stands aged. Bee abundance—but not species richness—was positively associated with floral resource density, and neither metric was associated with floral richness. The amount of early seral forest in the surrounding landscape seemed to enhance bee species richness in older, closed‐canopy stands, but otherwise had little effect. Changes in the relative abundance of bee species did not relate to bee functional characteristics such as sociality, diet breadth, or nesting substrate. Our study demonstrates that Douglas‐fir plantations develop diverse communities of wild bees shortly after harvest, but those communities erode rapidly over time as forest canopies close. Therefore, stand‐scale management activities that prolong the precanopy closure period and enhance floral resources during the initial stage of stand regeneration will provide the greatest opportunity to enhance bee diversity in landscapes dominated by intensively managed conifer forests.

    

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3. Restoration Thinning in a Drought‐Prone Idaho Forest Creates a Persistent Carbon Deficit

   https://doi.org/10.1029/2020JG005815  

   Stenzel, J. E. ; Berardi, D. M. ; Walsh, E. S. ; Hudiburg, T. W. ( March 2021 , Journal of Geophysical Research: Biogeosciences)

   Western US forests represent a carbon sink that contributes to meeting regional and global greenhouse gas targets. Forest thinning is being implemented as a strategy for reducing forest vulnerability to disturbance, including mortality from fire, insects, and drought, as well as protecting human communities. However, the terrestrial carbon balance impacts of thinning remain uncertain across regions, spatiotemporal scales, and treatment types. Continuous and in situ long‐term measurements of partial harvest impacts to stand‐scale carbon and water cycle dynamics are nonetheless rare. Here, we examine post‐thinning carbon and water flux impacts in a young ponderosa pine forest in Northern Idaho. We examine in situ stock and flux impacts during the 3 years after treatment as well as simulate the forest sector carbon balance through 2050, including on and off‐site net emissions. During the observation period, increases in tree‐scale net primary production (NPP) and water use persistence through summer drought did not overcome the impacts of density reduction, leading to 45% annual reductions of NPP. Growth duration remained constrained by summer drought in control and thinned stands. Ecosystem model and life cycle assessment estimates demonstrated a net forest sector carbon deficit relative to control stands of 27.0 Mg C ha⁻¹in 2050 due to emissions from dead biomass pools despite increases to net ecosystem production. Our results demonstrate dynamics resulting in carbon losses from forest thinning, providing a baseline with which to inform landscape‐scale modeling and assess tradeoffs between harvest losses and potential gains from management practices.

    

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4. Relative density of United States forests has shifted to higher levels over last two decades with important implications for future dynamics

   https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-021-98244-w  

   Woodall, C. W. ; Weiskittel, A. R. ( December 2021 , Scientific Reports)

   null (Ed.)

   Abstract Tree size-density dynamics can inform key trends in forest productivity along with opportunities to increase ecosystem resiliency. Here, we employ a novel approach to estimate the relative density (RD, range 0–1) of any given forest based on its current size-density relationship compared to a hypothetical maximum using the coterminous US national forest inventory between 1999 and 2020. The analysis suggests a static forest land area in the US with less tree abundance but greatly increased timber volume and tree biomass. Coupled with these resource trends, an increase in RD was identified with 90% of US forest land now reaching a biologically-relevant threshold of canopy closure and/or self-thinning induced mortality (RD > 0.3), particularly in areas prone to future drought conditions (e.g., West Coast). Notably, the area of high RD stands (RD > 0.6) has quintupled over the past 20 years while the least stocked stands (RD < 0.3) have decreased 3%. The evidence from the coterminous US forest RD distribution suggest opportunities to increase live tree stocking in understocked stands, while using density management to address tree mortality and resilience to disturbances in increasingly dense forests. 

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5. From individual leaves to forest stands: importance of niche, distance decay, and stochasticity vary by ecosystem type and functional group for fungal community composition

   https://doi.org/10.1093/femsec/fiae016  

   Gacura, Matthew D. ; Zak, Donald R. ; Blackwood, Christopher B. ( February 2024 , FEMS Microbiology Ecology)

   Community assembly is influenced by environmental niche processes as well as stochastic processes that can be spatially dependent (e.g. dispersal limitation) or independent (e.g. priority effects). Here, we sampled senesced tree leaves as unit habitats to investigate fungal community assembly at two spatial scales: (i) small neighborhoods of overlapping leaves from differing tree species and (ii) forest stands of differing ecosystem types. Among forest stands, ecosystem type explained the most variation in community composition. Among adjacent leaves within stands, variability in fungal composition was surprisingly high. Leaf type was more important in stands with high soil fertility and dominated by differing tree mycorrhizal types (sugar maple vs. basswood or red oak), whereas distance decay was more important in oak-dominated forest stands with low soil fertility. Abundance of functional groups was explained by environmental factors, but predictors of taxonomic composition within differing functional groups were highly variable. These results suggest that fungal community assembly processes are clearest for functional group abundances and large spatial scales. Understanding fungal community assembly at smaller spatial scales will benefit from further study focusing on differences in drivers for different ecosystems and functional groups, as well as the importance of spatially independent factors such as priority effects.

    

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