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1. Global reconstruction reduces the uncertainty of oceanic nitrous oxide emissions and reveals a vigorous seasonal cycle

   https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1921914117  

   Yang, Simon ; Chang, Bonnie X. ; Warner, Mark J. ; Weber, Thomas S. ; Bourbonnais, Annie M. ; Santoro, Alyson E. ; Kock, Annette ; Sonnerup, Rolf E. ; Bullister, John L. ; Wilson, Samuel T. ; et al ( May 2020 , Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences)

   Assessment of the global budget of the greenhouse gas nitrous oxide (${\mathrm{N}}_2$O) is limited by poor knowledge of the oceanic${\mathrm{N}}_2$O flux to the atmosphere, of which the magnitude, spatial distribution, and temporal variability remain highly uncertain. Here, we reconstruct climatological${\mathrm{N}}_2$O emissions from the ocean by training a supervised learning algorithm with over 158,000${\mathrm{N}}_2$O measurements from the surface ocean—the largest synthesis to date. The reconstruction captures observed latitudinal gradients and coastal hot spots of${\mathrm{N}}_2$O flux and reveals a vigorous global seasonal cycle. We estimate an annual mean${\mathrm{N}}_2$O flux of 4.2 ± 1.0 Tg N$\cdot {\mathrm{y}}^{-1}$, 64% of which occurs in the tropics, and 20% in coastal upwelling systems that occupy less than 3% of the ocean area. This${\mathrm{N}}_2$O flux ranges from a low of 3.3 ± 1.3 Tg N$\cdot {\mathrm{y}}^{-1}$in the boreal spring to a high of 5.5 ± 2.0 Tg N$\cdot {\mathrm{y}}^{-1}$in the boreal summer. Much of the seasonal variations in global${\mathrm{N}}_2$O emissions can be traced to seasonal upwelling in the tropical ocean and winter mixing in the Southern Ocean. The dominant contribution to seasonality by productive, low-oxygen tropical upwelling systems (>75%) suggests a sensitivity of the global${\mathrm{N}}_2$O flux to El Niño–Southern Oscillation and anthropogenic stratification of the low latitude ocean. This ocean flux estimate is consistent with the range adopted by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, but reduces its uncertainty by more than fivefold, enabling more precise determination of other terms in the atmospheric${\mathrm{N}}_2$O budget.

    

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2. Greenhouse-gas forced changes in the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation and related worldwide sea-level change

   https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-022-06386-y  

   Couldrey, Matthew P. ; Gregory, Jonathan M. ; Dong, Xiao ; Garuba, Oluwayemi ; Haak, Helmuth ; Hu, Aixue ; Hurlin, William J. ; Jin, Jiangbo ; Jungclaus, Johann ; Köhl, Armin ; et al ( August 2022 , Climate Dynamics)

   The effect of anthropogenic climate change in the ocean is challenging to project because atmosphere-ocean general circulation models (AOGCMs) respond differently to forcing. This study focuses on changes in the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC), ocean heat content ($$\Delta$$$\Delta$OHC), and the spatial pattern of ocean dynamic sea level ($$\Delta \zeta$$$\Delta \zeta$). We analyse experiments following the FAFMIP protocol, in which AOGCMs are forced at the ocean surface with standardised heat, freshwater and momentum flux perturbations, typical of those produced by doubling$$\hbox {CO}_{{2}}$$${\text{CO}}_2$. Using two new heat-flux-forced experiments, we find that the AMOC weakening is mainly caused by and linearly related to the North Atlantic heat flux perturbation, and further weakened by a positive coupled heat flux feedback. The quantitative relationships are model-dependent, but few models show significant AMOC change due to freshwater or momentum forcing, or to heat flux forcing outside the North Atlantic. AMOC decline causes warming at the South Atlantic-Southern Ocean interface. It does not strongly affect the global-mean vertical distribution of$$\Delta$$$\Delta$OHC, which is dominated by the Southern Ocean. AMOC decline strongly affects$$\Delta \zeta$$$\Delta \zeta$in the North Atlantic, with smaller effects in the Southern Ocean and North Pacific. The ensemble-mean$$\Delta \zeta$$$\Delta \zeta$and$$\Delta$$$\Delta$OHC patterns are mostly attributable to the heat added by the flux perturbation, with smaller effects from ocean heat and salinity redistribution. The ensemble spread, on the other hand, is largely due to redistribution, with pronounced disagreement among the AOGCMs.

    

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3. Spectrally simplified approach for leveraging legacy geostationary oceanic observations

   https://doi.org/10.1364/AO.465491  

   Houskeeper, Henry F. ; Hooker, Stanford B. ; Cavanaugh, Kyle C. ( September 2022 , Applied Optics)

   The use of multispectral geostationary satellites to study aquatic ecosystems improves the temporal frequency of observations and mitigates cloud obstruction, but no operational capability presently exists for the coastal and inland waters of the United States. The Advanced Baseline Imager (ABI) on the current iteration of the Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellites, termed the$R$Series (GOES-R), however, provides sub-hourly imagery and the opportunity to overcome this deficit and to leverage a large repository of existing GOES-R aquatic observations. The fulfillment of this opportunity is assessed herein using a spectrally simplified, two-channel aquatic algorithm consistent with ABI wave bands to estimate the diffuse attenuation coefficient for photosynthetically available radiation,$K_d(\mathrm{P}\mathrm{A}\mathrm{R})$. First, anin situABI dataset was synthesized using a globally representative dataset of above- and in-water radiometric data products. Values of$K_d(\mathrm{P}\mathrm{A}\mathrm{R})$were estimated by fitting the ratio of the shortest and longest visible wave bands from thein situABI dataset to coincident,in situ$K_d(\mathrm{P}\mathrm{A}\mathrm{R})$data products. The algorithm was evaluated based on an iterative cross-validation analysis in which 80% of the dataset was randomly partitioned for fitting and the remaining 20% was used for validation. The iteration producing the median coefficient of determination ($R^2$) value (0.88) resulted in a root mean square difference of$0.319{\mathrm{m}}^{-<\#comment/>1}$, or 8.5% of the range in the validation dataset. Second, coincident mid-day images of central and southern California from ABI and from the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) were compared using Google Earth Engine (GEE). GEE default ABI reflectance values were adjusted based on a near infrared signal. Matchups between the ABI and MODIS imagery indicated similar spatial variability ($R^2=0.60$) between ABI adjusted blue-to-red reflectance ratio values and MODIS default diffuse attenuation coefficient for spectral downward irradiance at 490 nm,$K_d(490)$, values. This work demonstrates that if an operational capability to provide ABI aquatic data products was realized, the spectral configuration of ABI would potentially support a sub-hourly, visible aquatic data product that is applicable to water-mass tracing and physical oceanography research.

    

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4. Understanding uncertainties in contemporary and future extreme wave events for broad-scale impact and adaptation planning

   https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.ade3170  

   Morim, Joao ; Wahl, Thomas ; Vitousek, Sean ; Santamaria-Aguilar, Sara ; Young, Ian ; Hemer, Mark ( January 2023 , Science Advances)

   Understanding uncertainties in extreme wind-wave events is essential for offshore/coastal risk and adaptation estimates. Despite this, uncertainties in contemporary extreme wave events have not been assessed, and projections are still limited. Here, we quantify, at global scale, the uncertainties in contemporary extreme wave estimates across an ensemble of widely used global wave reanalyses/hindcasts supported by observations. We find that contemporary uncertainties in 50-year return period wave heights ($H_s^{50}$) reach (on average) ~2.5 m in regions adjacent to coastlines and are primarily driven by atmospheric forcing. Furthermore, we show that uncertainties in contemporary$H_s^{50}$estimates dominate projected 21st-century changes in$H_s^{50}$across ~80% of global ocean and coastlines. When translated into broad-scale coastal risk analysis, these uncertainties are comparable to those from storm surges and projected sea level rise. Thus, uncertainties in contemporary extreme wave events need to be combined with those of projections to fully assess potential impacts.

    

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5. Electron Heating in 2D Particle-in-cell Simulations of Quasi-perpendicular Low-beta Shocks

   https://doi.org/10.3847/1538-4357/ad1f69  

   Tran, Aaron ; Sironi, Lorenzo ( April 2024 , The Astrophysical Journal)

   We measure the thermal electron energization in 1D and 2D particle-in-cell simulations of quasi-perpendicular, low-beta (β_p= 0.25) collisionless ion–electron shocks with mass ratiom_i/m_e= 200, fast Mach number${\mathcal{M}}_{\mathrm{ms}}=1$–4, and upstream magnetic field angleθ_Bn= 55°–85° from the shock normal$\hat{\mathit{n}}$. It is known that shock electron heating is described by an ambipolar,B-parallel electric potential jump, Δϕ_∥, that scales roughly linearly with the electron temperature jump. Our simulations have$\mathrm{\Delta }{\varphi }_{\parallel }/(0.5m_{\mathrm{i}}{u_{\mathrm{sh}}}^2)\sim 0.1$–0.2 in units of the pre-shock ions’ bulk kinetic energy, in agreement with prior measurements and simulations. Different ways to measureϕ_∥, including the use of de Hoffmann–Teller frame fields, agree to tens-of-percent accuracy. Neglecting off-diagonal electron pressure tensor terms can lead to a systematic underestimate ofϕ_∥in our low-β_pshocks. We further focus on twoθ_Bn= 65° shocks: a${\mathcal{M}}_{\mathrm{s}}=4$(${\mathcal{M}}_{\mathrm{A}}=1.8$) case with a long, 30d_iprecursor of whistler waves along$\hat{\mathit{n}}$, and a${\mathcal{M}}_{\mathrm{s}}=7$(${\mathcal{M}}_{\mathrm{A}}=3.2$) case with a shorter, 5d_iprecursor of whistlers oblique to both$\hat{\mathit{n}}$andB;d_iis the ion skin depth. Within the precursors,ϕ_∥has a secular rise toward the shock along multiple whistler wavelengths and also has localized spikes within magnetic troughs. In a 1D simulation of the${\mathcal{M}}_{\mathrm{s}}=4$,θ_Bn= 65° case,ϕ_∥shows a weak dependence on the electron plasma-to-cyclotron frequency ratioω_pe/Ω_ce, andϕ_∥decreases by a factor of 2 asm_i/m_eis raised to the true proton–electron value of 1836.

    

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