ABSTRACT Brook Trout (Salvelinus fontinalis) populations have experienced marked declines throughout their native range and are presently threatened due to isolation in small habitat fragments, land use changes, and climate change. The existence of numerous, spatially distinct populations poses substantial challenges for monitoring population status (e.g., abundance, recruitment, or occupancy). Genetic monitoring with estimates of effective number of breeders (Nb) provides a potentially powerful metric to complement existing population monitoring, assessment, and prioritization. We estimatedNbfor 71 Brook Trout habitat units in mid‐Atlantic region of the United States and obtained a meanNbof 73.2 (range 6.90–493). Our modeling approach tested whetherNbestimates were sensitive to differences in habitat size, presence of non‐native salmonids, base flow index, temperature, acidic precipitation, and indices of anthropogenic disturbance. We found significant support for three of our hypotheses including the positive influences of available habitat and base flow index and negative effect of temperature. Our results are consistent with presently observed and predicted future impacts of climate change on populations of this cold‐water fish. Importantly, these findings support the use ofNbin population assessments as an index of relative population status.
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Climate change and expanding invasive species drive widespread declines of native trout in the northern Rocky Mountains, USA
Climate change and invasive species are major threats to native biodiversity, but few empirical studies have examined their combined effects at large spatial and temporal scales. Using 21,917 surveys collected over 30 years, we quantified the impacts of climate change on the past and future distributions of five interacting native and invasive trout species throughout the northern Rocky Mountains, USA. We found that the occupancy of native bull trout and cutthroat trout declined by 18 and 6%, respectively (1993–2018), and was predicted to decrease by an additional 39 and 16% by 2080. However, reasons for these occupancy reductions markedly differed among species: Climate-driven increases in water temperature and decreases in summer flow likely caused declines of bull trout, while climate-induced expansion of invasive species largely drove declines of cutthroat trout. Our results demonstrate that climate change can affect ecologically similar, co-occurring native species through distinct pathways, necessitating species-specific management actions.
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- Award ID(s):
- 1652278
- PAR ID:
- 10318973
- Date Published:
- Journal Name:
- Science Advances
- Volume:
- 7
- Issue:
- 52
- ISSN:
- 2375-2548
- Format(s):
- Medium: X
- Sponsoring Org:
- National Science Foundation
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