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Abstract We propose a combined model, which integrates the latent factor model and a sparse graphical model, for network data. It is noticed that neither a latent factor model nor a sparse graphical model alone may be sufficient to capture the structure of the data. The proposed model has a latent (i.e., factor analysis) model to represent the main trends (a.k.a., factors), and a sparse graphical component that captures the remaining ad‐hoc dependence. Model selection and parameter estimation are carried out simultaneously via a penalized likelihood approach. The convexity of the objective function allows us to develop an efficient algorithm, while the penalty terms push towards low‐dimensional latent components and a sparse graphical structure. The effectiveness of our model is demonstrated via simulation studies, and the model is also applied to four real datasets: Zachary's Karate club data, Kreb's U.S. political book dataset (http://www.orgnet.com), U.S. political blog dataset , and citation network of statisticians; showing meaningful performances in practical situations.
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Learning Latent Factors From Diversified Projections and Its Applications to Over-Estimated and Weak Factors
Estimations and applications of factor models often rely on the crucial condition that the number of latent factors is consistently estimated, which in turn also requires that factors be relatively strong, data are stationary and weakly serially dependent, and the sample size be fairly large, although in practical applications, one or several of these conditions may fail. In these cases, it is difficult to analyze the eigenvectors of the data matrix. To address this issue, we propose simple estimators of the latent factors using cross-sectional projections of the panel data, by weighted averages with predetermined weights. These weights are chosen to diversify away the idiosyncratic components, resulting in “diversified factors.” Because the projections are conducted cross-sectionally, they are robust to serial conditions, easy to analyze and work even for finite length of time series. We formally prove that this procedure is robust to over-estimating the number of factors, and illustrate it in several applications, including post-selection inference, big data forecasts, large covariance estimation, and factor specification tests. We also recommend several choices for the diversified weights.
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- PAR ID:
- 10326337
- Date Published:
- Journal Name:
- Journal of the American Statistical Association
- ISSN:
- 0162-1459
- Page Range / eLocation ID:
- 1 to 16
- Format(s):
- Medium: X
- Sponsoring Org:
- National Science Foundation
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- Free Publicly Accessible Full Text
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Accepted Manuscript1.0
- Journal Article:
- https://doi.org/10.1080/01621459.2020.1831927
