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Monte Carlo algorithms, such as Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) and Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC), are routinely used for Bayesian inference; however, these algorithms are prohibitively slow in massive data settings because they require multiple passes through the full data in every iteration. Addressing this problem, we develop a scalable extension of these algorithms using the divide‐and‐conquer (D&C) technique that divides the data into a sufficiently large number of subsets, draws parameters in parallel on the subsets using apoweredlikelihood and produces Monte Carlo draws of the parameter by combining parameter draws obtained from each subset. The combined parameter draws play the role of draws from the original sampling algorithm. Our main contributions are twofold. First, we demonstrate through diverse simulated and real data analyses focusing on generalized linear models (GLMs) that our distributed algorithm delivers comparable results as the current state‐of‐the‐art D&C algorithms in terms of statistical accuracy and computational efficiency. Second, providing theoretical support for our empirical observations, we identify regularity assumptions under which the proposed algorithm leads to asymptotically optimal inference. We also provide illustrative examples focusing on normal linear and logistic regressions where parts of our D&C algorithm are analytically tractable.
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Distributed Bayesian Varying Coefficient Modeling Using a Gaussian Process Prior
Varying coefficient models (VCMs) are widely used for estimating nonlinear regression functions for functional data. Their Bayesian variants using Gaussian process priors on the functional coefficients, however, have received limited attention in massive data applications, mainly due to the prohibitively slow posterior computations using Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms. We address this problem using a divide-and-conquer Bayesian approach. We first create a large number of data subsamples with much smaller sizes. Then, we formulate the VCM as a linear mixed-effects model and develop a data augmentation algorithm for obtaining MCMC draws on all the subsets in parallel. Finally, we aggregate the MCMC-based estimates of subset posteriors into a single Aggregated Monte Carlo (AMC) posterior, which is used as a computationally efficient alternative to the true posterior distribution. Theoretically, we derive minimax optimal posterior convergence rates for the AMC posteriors of both the varying coefficients and the mean regression function. We provide quantification on the orders of subset sample sizes and the number of subsets. The empirical results show that the combination schemes that satisfy our theoretical assumptions, including the AMC posterior, have better estimation performance than their main competitors across diverse simulations and in a real data analysis.
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- Award ID(s):
- 2220840
- PAR ID:
- 10326938
- Editor(s):
- McCulloch, R.
- Date Published:
- Journal Name:
- Journal of machine learning research
- Volume:
- 23
- Issue:
- 84
- ISSN:
- 1533-7928
- Page Range / eLocation ID:
- 1-59
- Format(s):
- Medium: X
- Sponsoring Org:
- National Science Foundation
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