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In this paper, we present OpenWaters, a real-time open-source underwater simulation kit for generating photorealistic underwater scenes. OpenWaters supports creation of massive amount of underwater images by emulating diverse real-world conditions. It allows for fine controls over every variable in a simulation instance, including geometry, rendering parameters like ray-traced water caustics, scattering, and ground-truth labels. Using underwater depth (distance between camera and object) estimation as the use-case, we showcase and validate the capabilities of OpenWaters to model underwater scenes that are used to train a deep neural network for depth estimation. Our experimental evaluation demonstrates depth estimation using synthetic underwater images with high accuracy, and feasibility of transfer-learning of features from synthetic to real-world images.
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Deep Probability Estimation
Reliable probability estimation is of crucial importance in many real-world applications where there is inherent (aleatoric) uncertainty. Probability-estimation models are trained on observed outcomes (e.g. whether it has rained or not, or whether a patient has died or not), because the ground-truth probabilities of the events of interest are typically unknown. The problem is therefore analogous to binary classification, with the difference that the objective is to estimate probabilities rather than predicting the specific outcome. This work investigates probability estimation from high-dimensional data using deep neural networks. There exist several methods to improve the probabilities generated by these models but they mostly focus on model (epistemic) uncertainty. For problems with inherent uncertainty, it is challenging to evaluate performance without access to ground-truth probabilities. To address this, we build a synthetic dataset to study and compare different computable metrics. We evaluate existing methods on the synthetic data as well as on three real-world probability estimation tasks, all of which involve inherent uncertainty: precipitation forecasting from radar images, predicting cancer patient survival from histopathology images, and predicting car crashes from dashcam videos. We also give a theoretical analysis of a model for high-dimensional probability estimation which reproduces several of the phenomena evinced in our experiments. Finally, we propose a new method for probability estimation using neural networks, which modifies the training process to promote output probabilities that are consistent with empirical probabilities computed from the data. The method outperforms existing approaches on most metrics on the simulated as well as real-world data.
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- Award ID(s):
- 1922658
- PAR ID:
- 10342862
- Date Published:
- Journal Name:
- Proceedings of Machine Learning Research
- Volume:
- 162
- ISSN:
- 2640-3498
- Page Range / eLocation ID:
- 13746-13781
- Format(s):
- Medium: X
- Sponsoring Org:
- National Science Foundation
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- Free Publicly Accessible Full Text
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Accepted Manuscript1.0
- Conference Paper:
- https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2111.10734
