Abstract The El Niño‐Southern Oscillation (ENSO) in the equatorial Pacific is the dominant mode of global air‐sea carbon dioxide (CO2) flux interannual variability (IAV). Air‐sea CO2fluxes are driven by the difference between atmospheric and surface ocean pCO2, with variability of the latter driving flux variability. Previous studies found that models in Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) failed to reproduce the observed ENSO‐related pattern of CO2fluxes and had weak pCO2IAV, which were explained by both weak upwelling IAV and weak mean vertical dissolved inorganic carbon (DIC) gradients. We assess whether the latest generation of CMIP6 models can reproduce equatorial Pacific pCO2IAV by validating models against observations‐based data products. We decompose pCO2IAV into thermally and non‐thermally driven anomalies to examine the balance between these competing anomalies, which explain the total pCO2IAV. The majority of CMIP6 models underestimate pCO2IAV, while they overestimate sea surface temperature IAV. Insufficient compensation of non‐thermal pCO2to thermal pCO2IAV in models results in weak total pCO2IAV. We compare the relative strengths of the vertical transport of temperature and DIC and evaluate their contributions to thermal and non‐thermal pCO2anomalies. Model‐to‐observations‐based product comparisons reveal that modeled mean vertical DIC gradients are biased weak relative to their mean vertical temperature gradients, but upwelling acting on these gradients is insufficient to explain the relative magnitudes of thermal and non‐thermal pCO2anomalies.
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Strong Southern Ocean carbon uptake evident in airborne observations
The Southern Ocean plays an important role in determining atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO 2 ), yet estimates of air-sea CO 2 flux for the region diverge widely. In this study, we constrained Southern Ocean air-sea CO 2 exchange by relating fluxes to horizontal and vertical CO 2 gradients in atmospheric transport models and applying atmospheric observations of these gradients to estimate fluxes. Aircraft-based measurements of the vertical atmospheric CO 2 gradient provide robust flux constraints. We found an annual mean flux of –0.53 ± 0.23 petagrams of carbon per year (net uptake) south of 45°S during the period 2009–2018. This is consistent with the mean of atmospheric inversion estimates and surface-ocean partial pressure of CO 2 ( P co 2 )–based products, but our data indicate stronger annual mean uptake than suggested by recent interpretations of profiling float observations.
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- PAR ID:
- 10349239
- Author(s) / Creator(s):
- ; ; ; ; ; ; ; ; ; ; ; ; ; ; ; ; ; ; ; more »
- Date Published:
- Journal Name:
- Science
- Volume:
- 374
- Issue:
- 6572
- ISSN:
- 0036-8075
- Page Range / eLocation ID:
- 1275 to 1280
- Format(s):
- Medium: X
- Sponsoring Org:
- National Science Foundation
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