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1. Extratropical storms induce carbon outgassing over the Southern Ocean

   https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-024-00657-7  

   Carranza, Magdalena M; Long, Matthew C; Di_Luca, Alejandro; Fassbender, Andrea J; Johnson, Kenneth S; Takeshita, Yui; Mongwe, Precious; Turner, Katherine E (December 2024, npj Climate and Atmospheric Science)

   Abstract The strength and variability of the Southern Ocean carbon sink is a significant source of uncertainty in the global carbon budget. One barrier to reconciling observations and models is understanding how synoptic weather patterns modulate air-sea carbon exchange. Here, we identify and track storms using atmospheric sea level pressure fields from reanalysis data to assess the role that storms play in driving air-sea CO₂exchange. We examine the main drivers of CO₂fluxes under storm forcing and quantify their contribution to Southern Ocean annual air-sea CO₂fluxes. Our analysis relies on a forced ocean-ice simulation from the Community Earth System Model, as well as CO₂fluxes estimated from Biogeochemical Argo floats. We find that extratropical storms in the Southern Hemisphere induce CO₂outgassing, driven by CO₂disequilibrium. However, this effect is an order of magnitude larger in observations compared to the model and caused by different reasons. Despite large uncertainties in CO₂fluxes and storm statistics, observations suggest a pivotal role of storms in driving Southern Ocean air-sea CO₂outgassing that remains to be well represented in climate models, and needs to be further investigated in observations. 

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2. Improved atmospheric constraints on Southern Ocean CO ₂ exchange

   https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2309333121  

   Jin, Yuming; Keeling, Ralph F; Stephens, Britton B; Long, Matthew C; Patra, Prabir K; Rödenbeck, Christian; Morgan, Eric J; Kort, Eric A; Sweeney, Colm (February 2024, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences)

   We present improved estimates of air–sea CO₂exchange over three latitude bands of the Southern Ocean using atmospheric CO₂measurements from global airborne campaigns and an atmospheric 4-box inverse model based on a mass-indexed isentropic coordinate (M_θe). These flux estimates show two features not clearly resolved in previous estimates based on inverting surface CO₂measurements: a weak winter-time outgassing in the polar region and a sharp phase transition of the seasonal flux cycles between polar/subpolar and subtropical regions. The estimates suggest much stronger summer-time uptake in the polar/subpolar regions than estimates derived through neural-network interpolation of pCO₂data obtained with profiling floats but somewhat weaker uptake than a recent study by Long et al. [Science374, 1275–1280 (2021)], who used the same airborne data and multiple atmospheric transport models (ATMs) to constrain surface fluxes. Our study also uses moist static energy (MSE) budgets from reanalyses to show that most ATMs tend to have excessive diabatic mixing (transport across moist isentrope, θ_e, or M_θesurfaces) at high southern latitudes in the austral summer, which leads to biases in estimates of air–sea CO₂exchange. Furthermore, we show that the MSE-based constraint is consistent with an independent constraint on atmospheric mixing based on combining airborne and surface CO₂observations. 

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3. The Importance of Contemporaneous Wind and p CO ₂ Measurements for Regional Air‐Sea CO ₂ Flux Estimates

   https://doi.org/10.1029/2023JC020744  

   Nickford, S; Palter, J B; Mu, L (June 2024, Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans)

   Abstract Few observational platforms are able to sustain direct measurements of all the key variables needed in the bulk calculation of air‐sea carbon dioxide (CO₂) exchange, a capability newly established for some Uncrewed Surface Vehicles (USVs). Western boundary currents are particularly challenging observational regions due to strong variability and dangerous sea states but are also known hot spots for CO₂uptake, making air‐sea exchange quantification in this region both difficult and important. Here, we present new observations collected by Saildrone USVs in the Gulf Stream during the winters of 2019 and 2022. We compared Saildrone data across co‐located vehicles and against the Pioneer Array moorings to validate the data quality. We explored how CO₂flux estimates differ when all variables needed to calculate fluxes from the bulk formulas are simultaneously measured on the same platform, relative to the situation where in situ observations must be combined with publicly‐available data products. We systematically replaced variables in the bulk formula with those often used for local and regional flux estimates. The analysis revealed that when using the ERA‐5 reanalysis wind speed in place of in situ observations, the ocean uptake of CO₂is underestimated by 8%; this underestimate grows to 9% if the NOAA Marine Boundary Layer atmospheric CO₂product and ERA‐5 significant wave height are also used in place of in situ observations. Overall our findings point to the importance of collecting contemporaneous observations of wind speed and oceanpCO₂to reduce biases in estimates of regional CO₂flux, especially during high wind events. 

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4. Ocean Carbon Dioxide Uptake in the Tailpipe of Industrialized Continents

   https://doi.org/10.1029/2023GL104822  

   Palter, J B; Nickford, S; Mu, L (November 2023, Geophysical Research Letters)

   Abstract A simplifying assumption in many studies of ocean carbon uptake is that the atmosphere is well‐mixed, such that zonal variations in its carbon dioxide (CO₂) content can be neglected in the calculation of air‐sea fluxes. Here, we examine this assumption at various scales to quantify the errors it introduces. For global annual averages, we find that positive and negative errors effectively cancel, so the use of atmospheric zonal‐average CO₂introduces reassuringly small errors in fluxes. However, for millions of square kilometers of the North Pacific and Atlantic that are downwind of the highly industrialized northern hemisphere continents, these biases average to over 6% of the annual ocean uptake and can cause errors of up to 30% on a given day. This work highlights the need to use a high quality, spatially‐resolved atmospheric CO₂product for process studies and for accurate long‐term average maps of ocean carbon uptake. 

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5. Utilizing the Drake Passage Time-series to understand variability and change in subpolar Southern Ocean <i>p</i>CO₂

   https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-15-3841-2018  

   Fay, Amanda R.; Lovenduski, Nicole S.; McKinley, Galen A.; Munro, David R.; Sweeney, Colm; Gray, Alison R.; Landschützer, Peter; Stephens, Britton B.; Takahashi, Taro; Williams, Nancy (January 2018, Biogeosciences)

   Abstract. The Southern Ocean is highly under-sampled for the purpose of assessing total carbon uptake and its variability. Since this region dominates the mean global ocean sink for anthropogenic carbon, understanding temporal change is critical. Underway measurements of pCO2 collected as part of the Drake Passage Time-series (DPT) program that began in 2002 inform our understanding of seasonally changing air–sea gradients in pCO2, and by inference the carbon flux in this region. Here, we utilize available pCO2 observations to evaluate how the seasonal cycle, interannual variability, and long-term trends in surface ocean pCO2 in the Drake Passage region compare to that of the broader subpolar Southern Ocean. Our results indicate that the Drake Passage is representative of the broader region in both seasonality and long-term pCO2 trends, as evident through the agreement of timing and amplitude of seasonal cycles as well as trend magnitudes both seasonally and annually. The high temporal density of sampling by the DPT is critical to constraining estimates of the seasonal cycle of surface pCO2 in this region, as winter data remain sparse in areas outside of the Drake Passage. An increase in winter data would aid in reduction of uncertainty levels. On average over the period 2002–2016, data show that carbon uptake has strengthened with annual surface ocean pCO2 trends in the Drake Passage and the broader subpolar Southern Ocean less than the global atmospheric trend. Analysis of spatial correlation shows Drake Passage pCO2 to be representative of pCO2 and its variability up to several hundred kilometers away from the region. We also compare DPT data from 2016 and 2017 to contemporaneous pCO2 estimates from autonomous biogeochemical floats deployed as part of the Southern Ocean Carbon and Climate Observations and Modeling project (SOCCOM) so as to highlight the opportunity for evaluating data collected on autonomous observational platforms. Though SOCCOM floats sparsely sample the Drake Passage region for 2016–2017 compared to the Drake Passage Time-series, their pCO2 estimates fall within the range of underway observations given the uncertainty on the estimates. Going forward, continuation of the Drake Passage Time-series will reduce uncertainties in Southern Ocean carbon uptake seasonality, variability, and trends, and provide an invaluable independent dataset for post-deployment assessment of sensors on autonomous floats. Together, these datasets will vastly increase our ability to monitor change in the ocean carbon sink. 

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