skip to main content
US FlagAn official website of the United States government
dot gov icon
Official websites use .gov
A .gov website belongs to an official government organization in the United States.
https lock icon
Secure .gov websites use HTTPS
A lock ( lock ) or https:// means you've safely connected to the .gov website. Share sensitive information only on official, secure websites.


Title: Emergence of the London Millennium Bridge instability without synchronisation
Abstract The pedestrian-induced instability of the London Millennium Bridge is a widely used example of Kuramoto synchronisation. Yet, reviewing observational, experimental, and modelling evidence, we argue that increased coherence of pedestrians’ foot placement is a consequence of, not a cause of the instability. Instead, uncorrelated pedestrians produce positive feedback, through negative damping on average, that can initiate significant lateral bridge vibration over a wide range of natural frequencies. We present a simple general formula that quantifies this effect, and illustrate it through simulation of three mathematical models, including one with strong propensity for synchronisation. Despite subtle effects of gait strategies in determining precise instability thresholds, our results show that average negative damping is always the trigger. More broadly, we describe an alternative to Kuramoto theory for emergence of coherent oscillations in nature; collective contributions from incoherent agents need not cancel, but can provide positive feedback on average, leading to global limit-cycle motion.  more » « less
Award ID(s):
1909924
PAR ID:
10360911
Author(s) / Creator(s):
; ; ; ; ; ;
Publisher / Repository:
Nature Publishing Group
Date Published:
Journal Name:
Nature Communications
Volume:
12
Issue:
1
ISSN:
2041-1723
Format(s):
Medium: X
Sponsoring Org:
National Science Foundation
More Like this
  1. Precise synchronisation of transmitters and receivers is particularly challenging in diffusive molecular communication environments. To this end, a point-to-point molecular communication system is examined wherein the design of the transceiver offers resilience to synchronisation errors. In particular, the development of a sequential probability ratio test-based detector, which allows for additional observations in the presence of uncertainty due to mis-synchronisation at the receiver, and a modulation design which is optimised for this receiver strategy, is considered. The structure of the probability of molecules hitting a receiver within a particular time slot is exploited. An approximate maximum log-likelihood estimator for the synchronisation error is derived and the Cramér-Rao bound (CRB) computed, to show that the performance of the proposed estimator is close to the CRB at low transmission rates. The proposed receiver and modulation designs achieve strongly improved asynchronous detection performance for the same data rate as a decision feedback based receiver by a factor of 3 to 5 on average. 
    more » « less
  2. Abstract Plant–soil feedback (PSF) is an important mechanism determining plant community dynamics and structure. Understanding the geographic patterns and drivers of PSF is essential for understanding the mechanisms underlying geographic plant diversity patterns. We compiled a large dataset containing 5969 observations of PSF from 202 studies to demonstrate the global patterns and drivers of PSF for woody and non‐woody species. Overall, PSF was negative on average and was influenced by plant attributes and environmental settings. Woody species PSFs did not vary with latitude, but non‐woody PSFs were more negative at higher latitudes. PSF was consistently more positive with increasing aridity for both woody and non‐woody species, likely due to increased mutualistic microbes relative to soil‐borne pathogens. These findings were consistent between field and greenhouse experiments, suggesting that PSF variation can be driven by soil legacies from climates. Our findings call for caution to use PSF as an explanation of the latitudinal diversity gradient and highlight that aridity can influence plant community dynamics and structure across broad scales through mediating plant–soil microbe interactions. 
    more » « less
  3. Abstract 150 kilometer echoes are strong, coherent echoes observed by equatorial radars looking close to perpendicular to Earth's magnetic field. Observations over a day show a distinct necklace pattern with echoes descending from 170 km at sunrise to 130 km at noon, before rising again and disappearing overnight. This paper shows that the upper hybrid instability will convert photoelectron energy into plasma wave energy through inverse Landau damping. Using parameters from a WACCM‐X simulation, the upper hybrid wave growth rates over a day show a nearly identical necklace pattern, with bands of positive growth rate following contours of the plasma frequency. Small gaps in altitude with no echoes are explained by thermal electrons Landau damping the instability where the upper hybrid frequency is a multiple of the gyrofrequency. This theory provides a mechanism that likely plays a crucial role in solving a long‐standing mystery on the origin of 150‐km echoes. 
    more » « less
  4. Abstract Freshwater discharge from ice sheets induces surface atmospheric cooling and subsurface ocean warming, which are associated with negative and positive feedbacks respectively. However, uncertainties persist regarding these feedbacks’ relative strength and combined effect. Here we assess associated feedbacks in a coupled ice sheet-climate model, and show that for the Antarctic Ice Sheet the positive feedback dominates in moderate future warming scenarios and in the early stage of ice sheet retreat, but is overwhelmed by the negative feedback in intensive warming scenarios when the West Antarctic Ice Sheet undergoes catastrophic collapse. The Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation is affected by freshwater discharge from both the Greenland and the Antarctic ice sheets and, as an interhemispheric teleconnection bridge, exacerbates the opposing ice sheet’s retreat via the Bipolar Seesaw. These results highlight the crucial role of ice sheet-climate interactions via freshwater flux in future ice sheet retreat and associated sea-level rise. 
    more » « less
  5. Abstract Radiative‐convective equilibrium (RCE) is particularly well suited for studying tropical deep‐convection, a regime of clouds that contributes some of the highest uncertainties to the estimates of total cloud feedback. In order to perform a comprehensive calculation and decomposition of cloud feedbacks in cloud‐permitting models, previously primarily done in global climate models, the configuration of a satellite simulator for use with offline data was successfully implemented. The resultant total cloud feedback is slightly positive, primarily driven by the longwave effects of increases in cloud altitude. The high‐cloud altitude feedback is robustly positive and has a central value and uncertainty well‐matched with prior estimates. Reductions in high cloud amount drive a tropical anvil cloud area feedback that is on average negative, consistent with prior estimates. However, a subset of models with finer horizontal grid spacing indicate that a positive tropical anvil cloud area feedback cannot be ruled out. Even though RCE is only applicable to tropical deep‐convective clouds, the RCE total cloud feedback is within the range of prior comprehensive estimates of the global total cloud feedback. This emphasizes that the tropics heavily influence the behavior of global cloud feedbacks and that RCE can be exploited to learn more about how processes related to deep convection control cloud feedbacks. 
    more » « less