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Abstract Utilizing observations from the Electron Losses and Fields Investigation satellites, we present a statistical study of ∼2,000 events in 2019–2020 characterizing the occurrence in magnetic local time (MLT) and latitude of ≥50 keV electron isotropy boundaries (IBs) and associated electron precipitation. The isotropy boundary of an electron of a given energy is the magnetic latitude poleward of which persistent isotropized pitch angle distributions (Jprec/Jperp∼ 1) are first observed to occur, interpreted as resulting from magnetic field‐line curvature scattering in the equatorial magnetosphere. We find that energetic electron IBs can be well‐recognized on the nightside from dusk until dawn, under all geomagnetic activity conditions, with a peak occurrence rate of almost 90% near ∼22 hr in MLT, remaining above 80% from 21 to 01 MLT. The observed IBs span International Geophysical Reference Field (IGRF) magnetic latitudes of 60°–74° with a maximum occurrence between 66° and 71° (Lof 6–8), trending toward lower latitudes and premidnight local times with activity. The precipitating energy flux of ≥50 keV electrons averaged over the IB‐associated latitudes varies over four orders of magnitude, up to 1 erg/cm2‐s, and often includes wide‐energy electron spectra exceeding 1 MeV. The IB‐associated energies and precipitating fluxes also exhibit peak values near midnight for low activity, shifting toward premidnight for elevated activity. The average total precipitating power deposited over the high‐latitude nightside atmosphere (55°–80°; IGRFL ≥ 3) attributed to IBs is 10%–20%, or 10 MW, but at times can approach 100% of the total ≥50 keV electron energy deposition over the entire subauroral and auroral zone region, exceeding 1 GW.
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Validation of Inner Magnetosphere Particle Transport and Acceleration Model (IMPTAM) With Long‐Term GOES MAGED Measurements of keV Electron Fluxes at Geostationary Orbit
Abstract Surface charging by keV (kiloelectron Volt) electrons can pose a serious risk for satellites. There is a need for physical models with the correct and validated dynamical behavior. The 18.5‐month (2013–2015) output from the continuous operation online in real time as a nowcast of the Inner Magnetosphere Particle Transport and Acceleration Model (IMPTAM) is compared to the GOES 13 MAGnetospheric Electron Detector (MAGED) data for 40, 75, and 150 keV energies. The observed and modeled electron fluxes were organized by Magnetic Local Time (MLT) and IMPTAM driving parameters; the observed Interplanetary Magnetic Field (IMF)BZ,BY, and |B|; the solar wind speedVSW; the dynamic pressurePSW; andKpandSYM‐Hindices. The peaks for modeled fluxes are shifted toward midnight, but the ratio between the observed and modeled fluxes at around 06 MLT is close to 1. All the statistical patterns exhibit very similar features with the largest differences of about 1 order of magnitude at 18–24 MLT. Based on binary event analysis, 20–78% of threshold crossings are reproduced, but Heidke skill scores are low. The modeled fluxes are off by a factor of 2 in terms of the median symmetric accuracy. The direction of the error varies with energy: overprediction by 50% for 40 keV, overprediction by 2 for 75 keV, and underprediction by 18% for 150 keV. The revealed discrepancies are due to the boundary conditions developed for ions but used for electrons, absence of substorm effects, representations of electric and magnetic fields which can result in not enough adiabatic acceleration, and simple models for electron lifetimes.
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- Award ID(s):
- 1663770
- PAR ID:
- 10375102
- Publisher / Repository:
- DOI PREFIX: 10.1029
- Date Published:
- Journal Name:
- Space Weather
- Volume:
- 17
- Issue:
- 5
- ISSN:
- 1542-7390
- Page Range / eLocation ID:
- p. 687-708
- Format(s):
- Medium: X
- Sponsoring Org:
- National Science Foundation
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