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Abstract Water temperature, ice cover, and lake stratification are important physical properties of lakes and reservoirs that control mixing as well as bio-geo-chemical processes and thus influence the water quality. We used an ensemble of vertical one-dimensional hydrodynamic lake models driven with regional climate projections to calculate water temperature, stratification, and ice cover under the A1B emission scenario for the German drinking water reservoir Lichtenberg. We used an analysis of variance method to estimate the contributions of the considered sources of uncertainty on the ensemble output. For all simulated variables, epistemic uncertainty, which is related to the model structure, is the dominant source throughout the simulation period. Nonetheless, the calculated trends are coherent among the five models and in line with historical observations. The ensemble predicts an increase in surface water temperature of 0.34 K per decade, a lengthening of the summer stratification of 3.2 days per decade, as well as decreased probabilities of the occurrence of ice cover and winter inverse stratification by 2100. These expected changes are likely to influence the water quality of the reservoir. Similar trends are to be expected in other reservoirs and lakes in comparable regions.
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Remote Sensing of Water Quantity and Quality in Geospatial Education: Lake Sidney Lanier, Georgia, USA
To increase geospatial awareness about local water resources, our team developed learning resources for the 150 km² Lake Sidney Lanier reservoir located in North Georgia, USA. The reservoir is vital for hydroelectric power generation, recreation, tourism, and consumptive uses. Using geospatial analysis in Google Earth Engine (GEE), we analyzed precipitation trends in the watershed using Climate Hazards Group InfraRed Precipitation with Station (CHIRPS) data. We also quantified expansion and contraction of reservoir surface area using Landsat-derived Global Surface Water data. As Lake Sidney Lanier is a managed reservoir, surface water extent fluctuations are related to climatic variables, consumptive use, and hydropower generation. Water temperature varies based on seasonality, water depth, water clarity, and lake stratification. Changing temperature dynamics affect ecosystem health and determine other important water quality parameters such as dissolved oxygen concentrations. Landsat 8 Thermal Infrared Sensor (TIRS) data were used to examine temperature trends over multiple years and investigate the timing of lake stratification and mixing. Highly turbid waters are associated with pollutants and lower water quality and can affect ecosystem productivity by minimizing sunlight penetration into the water column. Sentinel 2 MSI data were processed using a turbidity algorithm to analyze temporal trends and spatial correlations with reservoir inflows. Finally, high concentrations of chlorophyll a were used as a proxy to identify harmful algal blooms. The spatial differences in headwaters and near-dam locations were examined and near real-time satellite data were explored for potential development of early-warning systems to protect ecosystem and human health.
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- Award ID(s):
- 1700568
- PAR ID:
- 10377229
- Date Published:
- Journal Name:
- Apalachicola-Chattahoochee-Flint Waters Conference: Shared Resources in Changing Times. Albany, GA
- Format(s):
- Medium: X
- Sponsoring Org:
- National Science Foundation
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