Title: Baptism of Fire: Modeling the Effects of Prescribed Fire on Lyme Disease
Recently, tick-borne illnesses have been trending upward and are an increasing source of risk to people’s health in the United States. This is due to range expansion in tick habitats as a result of climate change. Thus, it is imperative to find a practical and cost-efficient way of managing tick populations. Prescribed burns are a common form of land management that can be cost-efficient if properly managed and can be applied across large amounts of land. In this study, we present a compartmental model for ticks carrying Lyme disease and uniquely incorporate the effects of prescribed fire using an impulsive system to investigate the effects of prescribed fire intensity (high and low) and the duration between burns. Our study found that fire intensity has a larger impact in reducing tick population than the frequency between burns. Furthermore, burning at high intensity is preferable to burning at low intensity whenever possible, although high-intensity burns may be unrealistic due to environmental factors. Annual burns resulted in the most significant reduction in infectious nymphs, which are the primary carriers of Lyme disease. more »« less
Fulk, Alexander; Huang, Weizhang; Agusto, Folashade
(, Computational and Mathematical Methods in Medicine)
Supriatna, Asep Kuswandi
(Ed.)
Lyme disease is one of the most prominent tick-borne diseases in the United States, and prevalence of the disease has been steadily increasing over the past several decades due to a number of factors, including climate change. Methods for control of the disease have been considered, one of which is prescribed burning. In this paper, the effects of prescribed burns on the abundance of ticks present in a spatial domain are assessed. A spatial stage-structured tick-host model with an impulsive differential equation system is developed to simulate the effect that controlled burning has on tick populations. Subsequently, a global sensitivity analysis is performed to evaluate the effect of various model parameters on the prevalence of infectious nymphs. Results indicate that while ticks can recover relatively quickly following a burn, yearly, high-intensity prescribed burns can reduce the prevalence of ticks in and around the area that is burned. The use of prescribed burns in preventing the establishment of ticks into new areas is also explored, and it is observed that frequent burning can slow establishment considerably.
Hurd, Stephanie N; Ballman, Elissa S; Leahy, Jessica E; Schierer, Megan L; Gardner, Allison M
(, Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences)
Hard-bodied ticks (Acari: Ixodidae) pose a major public health threat, transmitting multiple pathogens among humans and wildlife worldwide. Research has investigated how anthropogenic land use change impacts tick density and infection prevalence in temperate forests, including the effects of active forest management practices like prescribed burning, invasive vegetation removal and timber harvesting. However, studies’ results are inconsistent and seemingly context-dependent, making it difficult for land managers, landowners and policy makers to identify whether management addresses the public health concern. We performed a systematic review and meta-analysis and documented a net decrease in tick density correlating with prescribed burns and invasive vegetation removal, but no effect on tick infection prevalence. Our review of a substantially smaller number of timber harvesting-focused studies showed the same pattern. Through a systematic literature review, we explored potential causal pathways between these management practices and lower tick density, including microclimate- and host-driven mechanisms. We recommend that future research explore mechanisms for tick infection prevalence and, for prescribed burn studies, employ standardized measurements of burn intensity and consider long-term effects post-burn.
Prescribed burning by Indigenous people was once ubiquitous throughout California. Settler colonialism brought immense investments in fire suppression by the United States Forest Service and the California Department of Forestry and Fire Prevention (CAL FIRE) to protect timber and structures, effectively limiting prescribed burning in California. Despite this, fire-dependent American Indian communities such as the Karuk and Yurok peoples, stalwartly advocate for expanding prescribed burning as a part of their efforts to revitalize their culture and sovereignty. To examine the political ecology of prescribed burning in Northern California, we coupled participant observation of prescribed burning in Karuk and Yurok territories (2015–2019) with 75 surveys and 18 interviews with Indigenous and non-Indigenous fire managers to identify political structures and material conditions that facilitate and constrain prescribed fire expansion. Managers report that interagency partnerships have provided supplemental funding and personnel to enable burning, and that decentralized prescribed burn associations facilitate prescribed fire. However, land dispossession and centralized state regulations undermine Indigenous and local fire governance. Excessive investment in suppression and the underfunding of prescribed fire produces a scarcity of personnel to implement and plan burns. Where Tribes and local communities have established burning infrastructure, authorities should consider the devolution of decision-making and land repatriation to accelerate prescribed fire expansion.
Johnson, Megan_M; Garcia-Menendez, Fernando
(, Environmental Research Letters)
Abstract Although prescribed fire is frequently used in the Southeastern United States, land managers in the region and across the country plan to expand burning to mitigate wildfire and achieve other ecological goals. However, smoke management is often considered a barrier to prescribed fire. Additionally, climate change will likely affect the frequency of acceptable meteorological conditions for prescribed burning, potentially restricting the use of the practice. Here, we examine the air quality impacts from prescribed fire and wildfire in the Southeastern U.S., the populations affected by smoke in the region, and how these impacts may change under climate change. We rely on projections of wildfire burn area and climate-driven shifts in the frequency of meteorological conditions adequate for prescribed burning, as well as a survey of Southeastern land managers investigating their anticipated response to these changes. Based on this information, we use chemical transport modeling to assess the contributions of wildfire and prescribed fire to air pollution, and project how smoke impacts may vary due to climate change and different land manager responses. We find that prescribed fire is responsible for a significant fraction of regional particulate matter pollution. Populations exposed to the most smoke tend to have higher fractions of people of color and low income. Depending on how land managers respond to changes in atmospheric conditions under climate change, prescribed fire smoke may decrease slightly in the areas with the heaviest burning or increase across much of the Southeast. Projections also show that climate-driven changes in wildfire and prescribed burning may impact compliance with recently updated air quality standards. The analysis assesses the potential consequences of climate change on air pollution over a region in which wildland fire is extensively managed, providing insight into land management strategies that call for increased application of prescribed fire.
Novak, Erin N.; Bertelsen, Michelle; Davis, Dick; Grobert, Devin M.; Lyons, Kelly G.; Martina, Jason P.; McCaw, W. Matt; O'Toole, Matthew; Veldman, Joseph W.
(, Ecosphere)
Abstract Fire exclusion and mismanaged grazing are globally important drivers of environmental change in mesic C4grasslands and savannas. Although interest is growing in prescribed fire for grassland restoration, we have little long‐term experimental evidence of the influence of burn season on the recovery of herbaceous plant communities, encroachment by trees and shrubs, and invasion by exotic grasses. We conducted a prescribed fire experiment (seven burns between 2001 and 2019) in historically fire‐excluded and overgrazed grasslands of central Texas. Sites were assigned to one of four experimental treatments: summer burns (warm season, lightning season), fall burns (early cool season), winter burns (late cool season), or unburned (fire exclusion). To assess restoration outcomes of the experiment, in 2019, we identified old‐growth grasslands to serve as reference sites. Herbaceous‐layer plant communities in all experimental sites were compositionally and functionally distinct from old‐growth grasslands, with little recovery of perennial C4grasses and long‐lived forbs. Unburned sites were characterized by several species of tree, shrub, and vine; summer sites were characterized by certain C3grasses and forbs; and fall and winter sites were intermediate in composition to the unburned and summer sites. Despite compositional differences, all treatments had comparable plot‐level plant species richness (range 89–95 species/1000 m2). At the local‐scale, summer sites (23 species/m2) and old‐growth grasslands (20 species/m2) supported greater richness than unburned sites (15 species/m2), but did not differ significantly from fall or winter sites. Among fire treatments, summer and winter burns most consistently produced the vegetation structure of old‐growth grasslands (e.g., mean woody canopy cover of 9%). But whereas winter burns promoted the invasive grassBothriochloa ischaemumby maintaining areas with low canopy cover, summer burns simultaneously limited woody encroachment and controlledB. ischaemuminvasion. Our results support a growing body of literature that shows that prescribed fire alone, without the introduction of plant propagules, cannot necessarily restore old‐growth grassland community composition. Nonetheless, this long‐term experiment demonstrates that prescribed burns implemented in the summer can benefit restoration by preventing woody encroachment while also controlling an invasive grass. We suggest that fire season deserves greater attention in grassland restoration planning and ecological research.
Guo, Emily, and Agusto, Folashade B. Baptism of Fire: Modeling the Effects of Prescribed Fire on Lyme Disease. Retrieved from https://par.nsf.gov/biblio/10402451. Canadian Journal of Infectious Diseases and Medical Microbiology 2022. Web. doi:10.1155/2022/5300887.
Guo, Emily, & Agusto, Folashade B. Baptism of Fire: Modeling the Effects of Prescribed Fire on Lyme Disease. Canadian Journal of Infectious Diseases and Medical Microbiology, 2022 (). Retrieved from https://par.nsf.gov/biblio/10402451. https://doi.org/10.1155/2022/5300887
Guo, Emily, and Agusto, Folashade B.
"Baptism of Fire: Modeling the Effects of Prescribed Fire on Lyme Disease". Canadian Journal of Infectious Diseases and Medical Microbiology 2022 (). Country unknown/Code not available. https://doi.org/10.1155/2022/5300887.https://par.nsf.gov/biblio/10402451.
@article{osti_10402451,
place = {Country unknown/Code not available},
title = {Baptism of Fire: Modeling the Effects of Prescribed Fire on Lyme Disease},
url = {https://par.nsf.gov/biblio/10402451},
DOI = {10.1155/2022/5300887},
abstractNote = {Recently, tick-borne illnesses have been trending upward and are an increasing source of risk to people’s health in the United States. This is due to range expansion in tick habitats as a result of climate change. Thus, it is imperative to find a practical and cost-efficient way of managing tick populations. Prescribed burns are a common form of land management that can be cost-efficient if properly managed and can be applied across large amounts of land. In this study, we present a compartmental model for ticks carrying Lyme disease and uniquely incorporate the effects of prescribed fire using an impulsive system to investigate the effects of prescribed fire intensity (high and low) and the duration between burns. Our study found that fire intensity has a larger impact in reducing tick population than the frequency between burns. Furthermore, burning at high intensity is preferable to burning at low intensity whenever possible, although high-intensity burns may be unrealistic due to environmental factors. Annual burns resulted in the most significant reduction in infectious nymphs, which are the primary carriers of Lyme disease.},
journal = {Canadian Journal of Infectious Diseases and Medical Microbiology},
volume = {2022},
author = {Guo, Emily and Agusto, Folashade B.},
editor = {Di Luca, Marco}
}
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