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Objective Sudden unexpected death in epilepsy (SUDEP) is the leading cause of epilepsy-related mortality. Although lots of effort has been made in identifying clinical risk factors for SUDEP in the literature, there are few validated methods to predict individual SUDEP risk. Prolonged postictal EEG suppression (PGES) is a potential SUDEP biomarker, but its occurrence is infrequent and requires epilepsy monitoring unit admission. We use machine learning methods to examine SUDEP risk using interictal EEG and ECG recordings from SUDEP cases and matched living epilepsy controls. Methods This multicenter, retrospective, cohort study examined interictal EEG and ECG recordings from 30 SUDEP cases and 58 age-matched living epilepsy patient controls. We trained machine learning models with interictal EEG and ECG features to predict the retrospective SUDEP risk for each patient. We assessed cross-validated classification accuracy and the area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUC) curve. Results The logistic regression (LR) classifier produced the overall best performance, outperforming the support vector machine (SVM), random forest (RF), and convolutional neural network (CNN). Among the 30 patients with SUDEP [14 females; mean age (SD), 31 (8.47) years] and 58 living epilepsy controls [26 females (43%); mean age (SD) 31 (8.5) years], the LR model achieved the median AUC of 0.77 [interquartile range (IQR), 0.73–0.80] in five-fold cross-validation using interictal alpha and low gamma power ratio of the EEG and heart rate variability (HRV) features extracted from the ECG. The LR model achieved the mean AUC of 0.79 in leave-one-center-out prediction. Conclusions Our results support that machine learning-driven models may quantify SUDEP risk for epilepsy patients, future refinements in our model may help predict individualized SUDEP risk and help clinicians correlate predictive scores with the clinical data. Low-cost and noninvasive interictal biomarkers of SUDEP risk may help clinicians to identify high-risk patients and initiate preventive strategies.
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Exploring Gut Microbiome in Predicting the Efficacy of Immunotherapy in Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer
We performed various analyses on the taxonomic and functional features of the gut microbiome from NSCLC patients treated with immunotherapy to establish a model that may predict whether a patient will benefit from immunotherapy. We collected 65 published whole metagenome shotgun sequencing samples along with 14 samples from our previous study. We systematically studied the taxonomical characteristics of the dataset and used both the random forest (RF) and the multilayer perceptron (MLP) neural network models to predict patients with progression-free survival (PFS) above 6 months versus those below 3 months. Our results showed that the RF classifier achieved the highest F-score (85.2%) and the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) (95%) using the protein families (Pfam) profile, and the MLP neural network classifier achieved a 99.9% F-score and 100% AUC using the same Pfam profile. When applying the model trained in the Pfam profile directly to predict the treatment response, we found that both trained RF and MLP classifiers significantly outperformed the stochastic predictor in F-score. Our results suggested that such a predictive model based on functional (e.g., Pfam) rather than taxonomic profile might be clinically useful to predict whether an NSCLC patient will benefit from immunotherapy, as both the F-score and AUC of functional profile outperform that of taxonomic profile. In addition, our model suggested that interactive biological processes such as methanogenesis, one-carbon, and amino acid metabolism might be important in regulating the immunotherapy response that warrants further investigation.
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- Award ID(s):
- 1943291
- PAR ID:
- 10405429
- Date Published:
- Journal Name:
- Cancers
- Volume:
- 14
- Issue:
- 21
- ISSN:
- 2072-6694
- Page Range / eLocation ID:
- 5401
- Format(s):
- Medium: X
- Sponsoring Org:
- National Science Foundation
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- Free Publicly Accessible Full Text
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Accepted Manuscript1.0
- Journal Article:
- https://doi.org/10.3390/cancers14215401
