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1. A Multi-Proxy Speleothem Approach to Understanding the South American Monsoon System During the Last Glacial Cycle

   Parmenter, D; Olson, E J; Velasquez, H; Clavel, A; Verheyden, A; Piccirillo, L; Rodbell, DT; Gillikin, DP; Edwards, RL (December 2023, American Geophysical Union)

   For the past few decades, many researchers have sought to understand how tropical hydroclimate responds to climate change via lakes, marine sediments, and speleothems records. Speleothem δ18O records throughout South America have shown that regional rainfall responds to Northern Hemisphere forcing on the millennial scale. Areas under the influence of the South Atlantic Convergence Zone (SACZ) have also shown a close relationship with local insolation on longer timescales. However, apart from the Cruz et al. (2007) record in Southern Brazil, long-term speleothem records throughout the continent have relied primarily on stable oxygen isotopes and are therefore limited to describing large-scale regional variability in rainfall. As such, many areas in South America still lack long-term records of local hydroclimate, which is critical to understanding how different components of the monsoon system respond to orbital and millennial-scale climate change. One proxy that has gained more attention in recent years is trace metal-to-calcium ratios (TM/Ca). Sr, Mg, and Ba to Ca ratios in speleothems are known in certain situations to respond to the degree of Prior Calcite Precipitation (PCP) above a drip site, a phenomenon directly tied to local aridity. In this study, we have obtained high-resolution TM/Ca measurements to pair with stable isotopes from samples spanning 23 to 66 ka from Huagapo Cave in the Peruvian Andes (11.27°S; 75.79°W). TM/Ca ratios in these samples are strongly correlated (R2>0.89), making them suitable for use as PCP proxies. We see that decreases in δ18O during Heinrich events are accompanied by a drop in TM/Ca. The period defined by the MIS 4/3 transition is accompanied by a simultaneous increase in TM/Ca and δ18O. TM/Ca and δ18O negatively correlate with local insolation for the entire record. Interestingly, the Paraíso Cave record from the Amazon Basin shows no correlation between regional or local hydroclimate and insolation during the last glacial period. The discrepancy between the two records and the close relationship between TM/Ca, δ18O, and local insolation in Huagapo samples, may call for a revised interpretation of Andes speleothem δ18O variability, which was originally thought to reflect rainout over the Amazon Basin. 

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2. Pacific decadal oscillation and ENSO forcings of northerly low-level jets in South America

   https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-024-00852-6  

   Mu, Ye; Jones, Charles; Carvalho, Leila_M_V; Xue, Lulin; Liu, Changhai; Ding, Qinghua (December 2024, npj Climate and Atmospheric Science)

   Abstract The hydrological cycle in South America during austral summer, including extreme precipitation and floods, is significantly influenced by northerly low-level jets (LLJs) along the eastern Andes. These synoptic weather events have been associated with three different types of LLJs (Central, Northern, and Andes) and are sensitive to remote large-scale forcings. This study investigates how tropical forcings related to El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) regulate the duration and frequency of each LLJ type and their impacts on extreme precipitation. Our analysis reveals that ENSO and PDO are important in driving the variability of LLJs over the past 65 years. Specifically, the Central LLJ type is more prevalent during El Niño and Warm/Neutral PDO phases, leading to heightened extreme precipitation in southern South America. Conversely, La Niña years during Cold PDO phases tend to favor the Northern and Andes LLJs, which are associated with increased precipitation extremes in the western Amazon and southeastern South America. Central and Andes LLJs tend to persist longer during these favored conditions, causing more pronounced precipitation events in the areas under their influence. This study enhances our understanding of the influence of large-scale atmospheric forcings on the regional precipitation dynamics in South America. 

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3. Response of coastal California hydroclimate to the Paleocene–Eocene Thermal Maximum

   https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-20-1615-2024  

   Zhang, Xiaodong; Tipple, Brett J; Zhu, Jiang; Rush, William D; Shields, Christian A; Novak, Joseph B; Zachos, James C (January 2024, Climate of the Past)

   Abstract. The effects of anthropogenic warming on the hydroclimate of California are becoming more pronounced with the increased frequency of multi-year droughts and flooding. As a past analog for the future, the Paleocene–Eocene Thermal Maximum (PETM) is a unique natural experiment for assessing global and regional hydroclimate sensitivity to greenhouse gas warming. Globally, extensive evidence (i.e., observations and climate models with high pCO2) demonstrates hydrological intensification with significant variability from region to region (i.e., drier or wetter, greater frequency, and/or intensity of extreme events). Central California (paleolatitude ∼ 42° N), roughly at the boundary between dry subtropical highs and mid-latitude low-pressure systems, would have been particularly susceptible to shifts in atmospheric circulation and precipitation patterns/intensity. Here, we present new observations and climate model output on regional/local hydroclimate responses in central California during the PETM. Our findings, based on multi-proxy evidence within the context of model outputs, suggest a transition to an overall drier climate punctuated by increased precipitation during summer months along central coastal California during the PETM. 

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4. Response of Coastal California Hydroclimate to the Paleocene-Eocene Thermal Maximum

   https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-2023-89  

   Zhang, Xiaodong; Tipple, Brett J; Zhu, Jiang; Rush, William D; Shields, Christian A; Novak, Joseph B; Zachos, James C (November 2023, European Geosciences Union)

   Abstract. The effects of anthropogenic warming on the hydroclimate of California are becoming more pronounced, with increased frequency of multi-year droughts and flooding. As a past analog for the future, the Paleocene-Eocene Thermal Maximum (PETM) is a unique natural experiment for assessing global and regional hydroclimate sensitivity to greenhouse gas warming. Globally, extensive evidence (i.e., observations, climate models with high pCO2) demonstrates hydrological intensification with significant variability from region to region (i.e., dryer or wetter, or greater frequency and/or intensity of extreme events). Central California (paleolatitude ~42° N), roughly at the boundary between dry subtropical highs and mid-latitude low pressure systems, would have been particularly susceptible to shifts in atmospheric circulation and precipitation patterns/intensity. Here, we present new observations and climate model output on regional/local hydroclimate responses in central California during PETM. Our findings based on multi-proxy evidence within the context of model output suggest a transition to an overall drier climate punctuated by increased precipitation during summer months along the central coastal California during the PETM. 

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5. Variability and Controls on δ ¹⁸ O, d‐excess, and ∆′ ¹⁷ O in Southern Peruvian Precipitation

   https://doi.org/10.1029/2020JD034009  

   Aron, Phoebe G.; Poulsen, Christopher J.; Fiorella, Richard P.; Levin, Naomi E.; Acosta, Rene P.; Yanites, Brian J.; Cassel, Elizabeth J. (December 2021, Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres)

   Abstract The isotopic composition of precipitation is used to trace water cycling and climate change, but interpretations of the environmental information recorded in central Andean precipitation isotope ratios are hindered by a lack of multi‐year records, poor spatial distribution of observations, and a predominant focus on Rayleigh distillation. To better understand isotopic variability in central Andean precipitation, we present a three‐year record of semimonthly δ¹⁸O_pand δ²H_pvalues from 15 stations in southern Peru and triple oxygen isotope data, expressed as ∆′¹⁷O_p, from 32 precipitation samples. Consistent with previous work, we find that elevation correlates negatively with δ¹⁸O_pand that seasonal δ¹⁸O_pvariations are related to upstream rainout and local convection. Spatial δ¹⁸O_pvariations and atmospheric back trajectories show that both eastern‐ and western‐derived air masses bring precipitation to southern Peru. Seasonal d‐excess_pcycles record moisture recycling and relative humidity at remote moisture sources, and both d‐excess_pand ∆′¹⁷O_pclearly differentiate evaporated and non‐evaporated samples. These results begin to establish the natural range of unevaporated ∆′¹⁷O_pvalues in the central Andes and set the foundation for future paleoclimate and paleoaltimetry studies in the region. This study highlights the hydrologic understanding that comes from a combination of δ¹⁸O_p, d‐excess_p, and ∆′¹⁷O_pdata and helps identify the evaporation, recycling, and rainout processes that drive water cycling in the central Andes. 

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