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1. Improving lung cancer diagnosis and survival prediction with deep learning and CT imaging

   https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0323174  

   Wang, Xiawei; Sharpnack, James; Lee, Thomas CM (June 2025, PLOS One)

   Yanwu, Xu (Ed.)

   Lung cancer is a major cause of cancer-related deaths, and early diagnosis and treatment are crucial for improving patients’ survival outcomes. In this paper, we propose to employ convolutional neural networks to model the non-linear relationship between the risk of lung cancer and the lungs’ morphology revealed in the CT images. We apply a mini-batched loss that extends the Cox proportional hazards model to handle the non-convexity induced by neural networks, which also enables the training of large data sets. Additionally, we propose to combine mini-batched loss and binary cross-entropy to predict both lung cancer occurrence and the risk of mortality. Simulation results demonstrate the effectiveness of both the mini-batched loss with and without the censoring mechanism, as well as its combination with binary cross-entropy. We evaluate our approach on the National Lung Screening Trial data set with several 3D convolutional neural network architectures, achieving high AUC and C-index scores for lung cancer classification and survival prediction. These results, obtained from simulations and real data experiments, highlight the potential of our approach to improving the diagnosis and treatment of lung cancer. 

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2. Machine learning for suicide risk prediction in children and adolescents with electronic health records

   https://doi.org/10.1038/s41398-020-01100-0  

   Su, Chang; Aseltine, Robert; Doshi, Riddhi; Chen, Kun; Rogers, Steven C.; Wang, Fei (December 2020, Translational Psychiatry)

   null (Ed.)

   Abstract Accurate prediction of suicide risk among children and adolescents within an actionable time frame is an important but challenging task. Very few studies have comprehensively considered the clinical risk factors available to produce quantifiable risk scores for estimation of short- and long-term suicide risk for pediatric population. In this paper, we built machine learning models for predicting suicidal behavior among children and adolescents based on their longitudinal clinical records, and determining short- and long-term risk factors. This retrospective study used deidentified structured electronic health records (EHR) from the Connecticut Children’s Medical Center covering the period from 1 October 2011 to 30 September 2016. Clinical records of 41,721 young patients (10–18 years old) were included for analysis. Candidate predictors included demographics, diagnosis, laboratory tests, and medications. Different prediction windows ranging from 0 to 365 days were adopted. For each prediction window, candidate predictors were first screened by univariate statistical tests, and then a predictive model was built via a sequential forward feature selection procedure. We grouped the selected predictors and estimated their contributions to risk prediction at different prediction window lengths. The developed predictive models predicted suicidal behavior across all prediction windows with AUCs varying from 0.81 to 0.86. For all prediction windows, the models detected 53–62% of suicide-positive subjects with 90% specificity. The models performed better with shorter prediction windows and predictor importance varied across prediction windows, illustrating short- and long-term risks. Our findings demonstrated that routinely collected EHRs can be used to create accurate predictive models for suicide risk among children and adolescents. 

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3. A comprehensive review of cancer survival prediction using multi-omics integration and clinical variables

   https://doi.org/10.1093/bib/bbaf150  

   Tran, Dao; Nguyen, Ha; Pham, Van-Dung; Nguyen, Phuong; Nguyen_Luu, Hung; Minh_Phan, Liem; Blair_DeStefano, Christin; Jim_Yeung, Sai-Ching; Nguyen, Tin (April 2025, Briefings in Bioinformatics)

   Abstract Cancer is an umbrella term that includes a wide spectrum of disease severity, from those that are malignant, metastatic, and aggressive to benign lesions with very low potential for progression or death. The ability to prognosticate patient outcomes would facilitate management of various malignancies: patients whose cancer is likely to advance quickly would receive necessary treatment that is commensurate with the predicted biology of the disease. Former prognostic models based on clinical variables (age, gender, cancer stage, tumor grade, etc.), though helpful, cannot account for genetic differences, molecular etiology, tumor heterogeneity, and important host biological mechanisms. Therefore, recent prognostic models have shifted toward the integration of complementary information available in both molecular data and clinical variables to better predict patient outcomes: vital status (overall survival), metastasis (metastasis-free survival), and recurrence (progression-free survival). In this article, we review 20 survival prediction approaches that integrate multi-omics and clinical data to predict patient outcomes. We discuss their strategies for modeling survival time (continuous and discrete), the incorporation of molecular measurements and clinical variables into risk models (clinical and multi-omics data), how to cope with censored patient records, the effectiveness of data integration techniques, prediction methodologies, model validation, and assessment metrics. The goal is to inform life scientists of available resources, and to provide a complete review of important building blocks in survival prediction. At the same time, we thoroughly describe the pros and cons of each methodology, and discuss in depth the outstanding challenges that need to be addressed in future method development. 

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4. A Neoteric Feature Extraction Technique to Predict the Survival of Gastric Cancer Patients

   https://doi.org/10.3390/diagnostics14090954  

   Islam, Warid; Abdoli, Neman; Alam, Tasfiq E; Jones, Meredith; Mutembei, Bornface M; Yan, Feng; Tang, Qinggong (May 2024, Diagnostics)

   Background: At the time of cancer diagnosis, it is crucial to accurately classify malignant gastric tumors and the possibility that patients will survive. Objective: This study aims to investigate the feasibility of identifying and applying a new feature extraction technique to predict the survival of gastric cancer patients. Methods: A retrospective dataset including the computed tomography (CT) images of 135 patients was assembled. Among them, 68 patients survived longer than three years. Several sets of radiomics features were extracted and were incorporated into a machine learning model, and their classification performance was characterized. To improve the classification performance, we further extracted another 27 texture and roughness parameters with 2484 superficial and spatial features to propose a new feature pool. This new feature set was added into the machine learning model and its performance was analyzed. To determine the best model for our experiment, Random Forest (RF) classifier, Support Vector Machine (SVM), K-Nearest Neighbors (KNN), and Naïve Bayes (NB) (four of the most popular machine learning models) were utilized. The models were trained and tested using the five-fold cross-validation method. Results: Using the area under ROC curve (AUC) as an evaluation index, the model that was generated using the new feature pool yields AUC = 0.98 ± 0.01, which was significantly higher than the models created using the traditional radiomics feature set (p < 0.04). RF classifier performed better than the other machine learning models. Conclusions: This study demonstrated that although radiomics features produced good classification performance, creating new feature sets significantly improved the model performance. 

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5. An Interpretable Machine Learning Framework for Rare Disease: A Case Study to Stratify Infection Risk in Pediatric Leukemia

   https://doi.org/10.3390/jcm13061788  

   Al-Hussaini, Irfan; White, Brandon; Varmeziar, Armon; Mehra, Nidhi; Sanchez, Milagro; Lee, Judy; DeGroote, Nicholas P.; Miller, Tamara P.; Mitchell, Cassie S. (March 2024, Journal of Clinical Medicine)

   Background: Datasets on rare diseases, like pediatric acute myeloid leukemia (AML) and acute lymphoblastic leukemia (ALL), have small sample sizes that hinder machine learning (ML). The objective was to develop an interpretable ML framework to elucidate actionable insights from small tabular rare disease datasets. Methods: The comprehensive framework employed optimized data imputation and sampling, supervised and unsupervised learning, and literature-based discovery (LBD). The framework was deployed to assess treatment-related infection in pediatric AML and ALL. Results: An interpretable decision tree classified the risk of infection as either “high risk” or “low risk” in pediatric ALL (n = 580) and AML (n = 132) with accuracy of ∼79%. Interpretable regression models predicted the discrete number of developed infections with a mean absolute error (MAE) of 2.26 for bacterial infections and an MAE of 1.29 for viral infections. Features that best explained the development of infection were the chemotherapy regimen, cancer cells in the central nervous system at initial diagnosis, chemotherapy course, leukemia type, Down syndrome, race, and National Cancer Institute risk classification. Finally, SemNet 2.0, an open-source LBD software that links relationships from 33+ million PubMed articles, identified additional features for the prediction of infection, like glucose, iron, neutropenia-reducing growth factors, and systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE). Conclusions: The developed ML framework enabled state-of-the-art, interpretable predictions using rare disease tabular datasets. ML model performance baselines were successfully produced to predict infection in pediatric AML and ALL. 

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