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Abstract The use of digital twins (DTs) has proliferated across various fields and industries, with a recent surge in the healthcare sector. The concept of digital twin for health (DT4H) holds great promise to revolutionize the entire healthcare system, including management and delivery, disease treatment and prevention, and health well-being maintenance, ultimately improving human life. The rapid growth of big data and continuous advancement in data science (DS) and artificial intelligence (AI) have the potential to significantly expedite DT research and development by providing scientific expertise, essential data, and robust cybertechnology infrastructure. Although various DT initiatives have been underway in the industry, government, and military, DT4H is still in its early stages. This paper presents an overview of the current applications of DTs in healthcare, examines consortium research centers and their limitations, and surveys the current landscape of emerging research and development opportunities in healthcare. We envision the emergence of a collaborative global effort among stakeholders to enhance healthcare and improve the quality of life for millions of individuals worldwide through pioneering research and development in the realm of DT technology. 

Abstract Objective. This study proposes and evaluates a new figure of merit (FOMn) for dose optimization of Dual-energy cone-beam CT (DE-CBCT) scanning protocols based on size-dependent modeling of radiation dose and multi-scale image quality.Approach. FOMn was defined using Z-score normalization and was proportional to the dose efficiency providing better multi-scale image quality, including comprehensive contrast-to-noise ratio (CCNR) and electron density (CED) for CatPhan604 inserts of various materials. Acrylic annuluses were combined with CatPhan604 to create four phantom sizes (diameters of the long axis are 200 mm, 270 mm, 350 mm, and 380 mm, respectively). DE-CBCT was decomposed using image-domain iterative methods based on Varian kV-CBCT images acquired using 25 protocols (100 kVp and 140 kVp combined with 5 tube currents).Main results. The accuracy of CED was approximately 1% for all protocols, but degraded monotonically with the increased phantom sizes. Combinations of lower voltage + higher current and higher voltage + lower current were optimal protocols balancing CCNR and dose. The most dose-efficient protocols for CED and CCNR were inconsistent, underlining the necessity of including multi-scale image quality in the evaluation and optimization of DE-CBCT. Pediatric and adult anthropomorphic phantom tests confirmed dose-efficiency of FOMn-recommended protocols.Significance. FOMn is a comprehensive metric that collectively evaluates radiation dose and multi-scale image quality for DE-CBCT. The models and data can also serve as lookup tables, suggesting personalized dose-efficient protocols for specific clinical imaging purposes. 

Abstract Survival and second malignancy prediction models can aid clinical decision making. Most commonly, survival analysis studies are performed using traditional proportional hazards models, which require strong assumptions and can lead to biased estimates if violated. Therefore, this study aims to implement an alternative, machine learning (ML) model for survival analysis: Random Survival Forest (RSF). In this study, RSFs were built using the U.S. Surveillance Epidemiology and End Results to (1) predict 30-year survival in pediatric, adolescent, and young adult cancer survivors; and (2) predict risk and site of a second tumor within 30 years of the first tumor diagnosis in these age groups. The final RSF model for pediatric, adolescent, and young adult survival has an average Concordance index (C-index) of 92.9%, 94.2%, and 94.4% and average time-dependent area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) at 30-years since first diagnosis of 90.8%, 93.6%, 96.1% respectively. The final RSF model for pediatric, adolescent, and young adult second malignancy has an average C-index of 86.8%, 85.2%, and 88.6% and average time-dependent AUC at 30-years since first diagnosis of 76.5%, 88.1%, and 99.0% respectively. This study suggests the robustness and potential clinical value of ML models to alleviate physician burden by quickly identifying highest risk individuals. 

We are rapidly approaching a future in which cancer patient digital twins will reach their potential to predict cancer prevention, diagnosis, and treatment in individual patients. This will be realized based on advances in high performance computing, computational modeling, and an expanding repertoire of observational data across multiple scales and modalities. In 2020, the US National Cancer Institute, and the US Department of Energy, through a trans-disciplinary research community at the intersection of advanced computing and cancer research, initiated team science collaborative projects to explore the development and implementation of predictive Cancer Patient Digital Twins. Several diverse pilot projects were launched to provide key insights into important features of this emerging landscape and to determine the requirements for the development and adoption of cancer patient digital twins. Projects included exploring approaches to using a large cohort of digital twins to perform deep phenotyping and plan treatments at the individual level, prototyping self-learning digital twin platforms, using adaptive digital twin approaches to monitor treatment response and resistance, developing methods to integrate and fuse data and observations across multiple scales, and personalizing treatment based on cancer type. Collectively these efforts have yielded increased insights into the opportunities and challenges facing cancer patient digital twin approaches and helped define a path forward. Given the rapidly growing interest in patient digital twins, this manuscript provides a valuable early progress report of several CPDT pilot projects commenced in common, their overall aims, early progress, lessons learned and future directions that will increasingly involve the broader research community.