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1. Reaction Coordinate and Thermodynamics of Base Flipping in RNA

   https://doi.org/10.1021/acs.jctc.0c01199  

   Levintov, Lev ; Paul, Sanjib ; Vashisth, Harish ( February 2021 , Journal of Chemical Theory and Computation)

   null (Ed.)

   Base flipping is a key biophysical event involved in recognition of various ligands by ribonucleic acid (RNA) molecules. However, the mechanism of base flipping in RNA remains poorly understood, in part due to the lack of atomistic details on complex rearrangements in neighboring bases. In this work, we applied transition path sampling (TPS) methods to study base flipping in a double-stranded RNA (dsRNA) molecule that is known to interact with RNA-editing enzymes through this mechanism. We obtained an ensemble of 1000 transition trajectories to describe the base-flipping process. We used the likelihood maximization method to determine the refined reaction coordinate (RC) consisting of two collective variables (CVs), a distance and a dihedral angle between nucleotides that form stacking interactions with the flipping base. The free energy profile projected along the refined RC revealed three minima, two corresponding to the initial and final states and one for a metastable state. We suggest that the metastable state likely represents a wobbled conformation of nucleobases observed in NMR studies that is often characterized as the flipped state. The analyses of reactive trajectories further revealed that the base flipping is coupled to a global conformational change in a stem-loop of dsRNA. 

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2. Data-Driven Transition Path Analysis Yields a Statistical Understanding of Sudden Stratospheric Warming Events in an Idealized Model

   https://doi.org/10.1175/JAS-D-21-0213.1  

   Finkel, Justin ; Webber, Robert J. ; Gerber, Edwin P. ; Abbot, Dorian S. ; Weare, Jonathan ( February 2023 , Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences)

   Abstract Atmospheric regime transitions are highly impactful as drivers of extreme weather events, but pose two formidable modeling challenges: predicting the next event (weather forecasting) and characterizing the statistics of events of a given severity (the risk climatology). Each event has a different duration and spatial structure, making it hard to define an objective “average event.” We argue here that transition path theory (TPT), a stochastic process framework, is an appropriate tool for the task. We demonstrate TPT’s capacities on a wave–mean flow model of sudden stratospheric warmings (SSWs) developed by Holton and Mass, which is idealized enough for transparent TPT analysis but complex enough to demonstrate computational scalability. Whereas a recent article (Finkel et al. 2021) studied near-term SSW predictability, the present article uses TPT to link predictability to long-term SSW frequency. This requires not only forecasting forward in time from an initial condition, but also backward in time to assess the probability of the initial conditions themselves. TPT enables one to condition the dynamics on the regime transition occurring, and thus visualize its physical drivers with a vector field called the reactive current . The reactive current shows that before an SSW, dissipation and stochastic forcing drive a slow decay of vortex strength at lower altitudes. The response of upper-level winds is late and sudden, occurring only after the transition is almost complete from a probabilistic point of view. This case study demonstrates that TPT quantities, visualized in a space of physically meaningful variables, can help one understand the dynamics of regime transitions. 

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3. Sampling-Dependent Transition Paths of Iceland–Scotland Overflow Water

   https://doi.org/10.1175/JPO-D-22-0172.1  

   Beron-Vera, F. J. ; Olascoaga, M. J. ; Helfmann, L. ; Miron, P. ( April 2023 , Journal of Physical Oceanography)

   Abstract In this note, we apply transition path theory (TPT) from Markov chains to shed light on the problem of Iceland–Scotland Overflow Water (ISOW) equatorward export. A recent analysis of observed trajectories of submerged floats demanded revision of the traditional abyssal circulation theory, which postulates that ISOW should steadily flow along a deep boundary current (DBC) around the subpolar North Atlantic prior to exiting it. The TPT analyses carried out here allow attention to be focused on the portions of flow from the origin of ISOW to the region where ISOW exits the subpolar North Atlantic and suggest that insufficient sampling may be biasing the aforementioned demand. The analyses, appropriately adapted to represent a continuous input of ISOW, are carried out on three time-homogeneous Markov chains modeling the ISOW flow. One is constructed using a high number of simulated trajectories homogeneously covering the flow domain. The other two use much fewer trajectories which heterogeneously cover the domain. The trajectories in the latter two chains are observed trajectories or simulated trajectories subsampled at the observed frequency. While the densely sampled chain supports a well-defined DBC, whether this is a peculiarity of the simulation considered or not, the more heterogeneously sampled chains do not, irrespective of the nature of the trajectories used, i.e., observed or simulated. Studying the sampling sensitivity of the Markov chains, we can give recommendations for enlarging the existing float dataset to improve the significance of conclusions about long-time-asymptotic aspects of the ISOW circulation. 

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4. Statistics and Bias-Free Sampling of Reaction Mechanisms from Reaction Network Models

   Rappoport, Dmitrij ( January 2023 , The journal of physical chemistry A)

   Selection bias is inevitable in manually curated computational reaction databases but can have a significant impact on generalizability of quantum chemical methods and machine learning models derived from these data sets. Here, we propose quasireaction subgraphs as a discrete, graph-based representation of reaction mechanisms that has a well-defined associated probability space and admits a similarity function using graph kernels. Quasireaction subgraphs are thus well suited for constructing representative or diverse data sets of reactions. Quasireaction subgraphs are defined as subgraphs of a network of formal bond breaks and bond formations (transition network) composed of all shortest paths between reactant and product nodes. However, due to their purely geometric construction, they do not guarantee that the corresponding reaction mechanisms are thermodynamically and kinetically feasible. As a result, a binary classification of feasible (reaction subgraphs) and infeasible (non-reactive subgraphs) must be applied after sampling. In this paper, we describe the construction and properties of quasireaction subgraphs and characterize the statistics of quasireaction subgraphs from CHO transition networks with up to six nonhydrogen atoms. We explore their clustering using Weisfeiler–Lehman graph kernels. 

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5. Computing committors via Mahalanobis diffusion maps with enhanced sampling data

   https://doi.org/10.1063/5.0122990  

   Evans, L. ; Cameron, M. K. ; Tiwary, P. ( December 2022 , The Journal of Chemical Physics)

   The study of phenomena such as protein folding and conformational changes in molecules is a central theme in chemical physics. Molecular dynamics (MD) simulation is the primary tool for the study of transition processes in biomolecules, but it is hampered by a huge timescale gap between the processes of interest and atomic vibrations that dictate the time step size. Therefore, it is imperative to combine MD simulations with other techniques in order to quantify the transition processes taking place on large timescales. In this work, the diffusion map with Mahalanobis kernel, a meshless approach for approximating the Backward Kolmogorov Operator (BKO) in collective variables, is upgraded to incorporate standard enhanced sampling techniques, such as metadynamics. The resulting algorithm, which we call the target measure Mahalanobis diffusion map (tm-mmap), is suitable for a moderate number of collective variables in which one can approximate the diffusion tensor and free energy. Imposing appropriate boundary conditions allows use of the approximated BKO to solve for the committor function and utilization of transition path theory to find the reactive current delineating the transition channels and the transition rate. The proposed algorithm, tm-mmap, is tested on the two-dimensional Moro–Cardin two-well system with position-dependent diffusion coefficient and on alanine dipeptide in two collective variables where the committor, the reactive current, and the transition rate are compared to those computed by the finite element method (FEM). Finally, tm-mmap is applied to alanine dipeptide in four collective variables where the use of finite elements is infeasible.

    

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