skip to main content
US FlagAn official website of the United States government
dot gov icon
Official websites use .gov
A .gov website belongs to an official government organization in the United States.
https lock icon
Secure .gov websites use HTTPS
A lock ( lock ) or https:// means you've safely connected to the .gov website. Share sensitive information only on official, secure websites.

Explore Research Products in the PAR
It may take a few hours for recently added research products to appear in PAR search results.


Title: Sampling-Dependent Transition Paths of Iceland–Scotland Overflow Water
Abstract In this note, we apply transition path theory (TPT) from Markov chains to shed light on the problem of Iceland–Scotland Overflow Water (ISOW) equatorward export. A recent analysis of observed trajectories of submerged floats demanded revision of the traditional abyssal circulation theory, which postulates that ISOW should steadily flow along a deep boundary current (DBC) around the subpolar North Atlantic prior to exiting it. The TPT analyses carried out here allow attention to be focused on the portions of flow from the origin of ISOW to the region where ISOW exits the subpolar North Atlantic and suggest that insufficient sampling may be biasing the aforementioned demand. The analyses, appropriately adapted to represent a continuous input of ISOW, are carried out on three time-homogeneous Markov chains modeling the ISOW flow. One is constructed using a high number of simulated trajectories homogeneously covering the flow domain. The other two use much fewer trajectories which heterogeneously cover the domain. The trajectories in the latter two chains are observed trajectories or simulated trajectories subsampled at the observed frequency. While the densely sampled chain supports a well-defined DBC, whether this is a peculiarity of the simulation considered or not, the more heterogeneously sampled chains do not, irrespective of the nature of the trajectories used, i.e., observed or simulated. Studying the sampling sensitivity of the Markov chains, we can give recommendations for enlarging the existing float dataset to improve the significance of conclusions about long-time-asymptotic aspects of the ISOW circulation.  more » « less
Award ID(s):
1851097
PAR ID:
10424969
Author(s) / Creator(s):
; ; ;
Date Published:
Journal Name:
Journal of Physical Oceanography
Volume:
53
Issue:
4
ISSN:
0022-3670
Page Range / eLocation ID:
1151 to 1160
Format(s):
Medium: X
Sponsoring Org:
National Science Foundation
More Like this
  1. ; ; (, Journal of Atmospheric and Oceanic Technology)
    Abstract Recently introduced in oceanography to interpret the near surface circulation, Transition Path Theory ( TPT ) is a methodology that rigorously characterizes ensembles of trajectory pieces flowing out from a source last and into a target next, i.e., those that most productively contribute to transport. Here we use TPT to frame, in a statistically more robust fashion than earlier analysis, equatorward routes of North Atlantic Deep Water (NADW) in the subpolar North Atlantic. TPT is applied on all available RAFOS and Argo floats in the area by means of a discretization of the Lagrangian dynamics described by their trajectories. By considering floats at different depths, we investigate transition paths of NADW in its upper (UNADW) and lower (LNADW) layers. We find that the majority of UNADW transition paths sourced in the Labrador and southwestern Irminger Seas reach the western side of a target arranged zonally along the southern edge of the subpolar North Atlantic domain visited by the floats. This is accomplished in the form of a well-organized deep boundary current (DBC). LNADW transition paths sourced west of the Reykjanes Ridge reveal a similar pattern, while those sourced east of the ridge are found to hit the western side of the target via a DBC and also several other places along it in a less organized fashion, indicating southward flow along the eastern and western flanks of the Mid-Atlantic Ridge. Naked-eye inspection of trajectories suggest generally much more diffusive equatorward NADW routes. A source-independent dynamical decomposition of the flow domain into analogous backward-time basins of attraction, beyond the reach of direct inspection of trajectories, reveals a much wider influence of the western side of the target for UNADW than for LNADW. For UNADW, the average expected duration of the pathways from the Labrador and Irminger Seas was found to be of 2 to 3 years. For LNADW, the duration was found to be influenced by the Reykjanes Ridge, being as long as 8 years from the western side of the ridge and of about 3 years on average from its eastern side. 
    more » « less
  2. ; ; ; ; (, Nature communications)
    Iceland-Scotland Overflow Water (ISOW) is a primary deep water mass exported from the Norwegian Sea into the North Atlantic as part of the global Meridional Overturning Circulation. ISOW has historically been depicted as flowing counter-clockwise in a deep boundary current around the subpolar North Atlantic, but this single-boundary-following pathway is being challenged by new Lagrangian observations and model simulations. We show here that ISOW leaves the boundary and spreads into the interior towards the central Labrador and Irminger basins after flowing through the Charlie-Gibbs Fracture Zone. We also describe a newly observed southward pathway of ISOW along the western flank of the Mid-Atlantic Ridge. The partitioning of these pathways is shown to be influenced by deep-reaching eddies and meanders of the North Atlantic Current. Our results, in tandem with previous studies, call for a revision in the historical depiction of ISOW pathways throughout the North Atlantic. 
    more » « less
  3. ; ; ; ; (, Nature Communications)
    Abstract Iceland-Scotland Overflow Water (ISOW) is a primary deep water mass exported from the Norwegian Sea into the North Atlantic as part of the global Meridional Overturning Circulation. ISOW has historically been depicted as flowing counter-clockwise in a deep boundary current around the subpolar North Atlantic, but this single-boundary-following pathway is being challenged by new Lagrangian observations and model simulations. We show here that ISOW leaves the boundary and spreads into the interior towards the central Labrador and Irminger basins after flowing through the Charlie-Gibbs Fracture Zone. We also describe a newly observed southward pathway of ISOW along the western flank of the Mid-Atlantic Ridge. The partitioning of these pathways is shown to be influenced by deep-reaching eddies and meanders of the North Atlantic Current. Our results, in tandem with previous studies, call for a revision in the historical depiction of ISOW pathways throughout the North Atlantic. 
    more » « less
  4. ; ; ; ; (, Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans)
    Abstract This study presents the first continuous observations of Iceland Scotland Overflow Water (ISOW) passing through the Bight Fracture Zone (BFZ), the northernmost deep bathymetric channel across the Reykjanes Ridge between the Iceland and Irminger Basins in the subpolar North Atlantic. Data from two 2‐year moorings, measuring temperature, salinity, and current velocity from 2015 to 2017, along with a set of deep ISOW‐embedded RAFOS floats, are used to investigate ISOW transport and water property variability through the BFZ, as well as advective pathways between the Iceland and Irminger Basins. The mooring‐derived record‐mean ISOW transport through the BFZ was −0.59 ± 0.27 × 1e6 m3/s (westward) and varied seasonally with weaker transport in winter and stronger transport in summer. Flow direction of ISOW through the BFZ was consistently westward except in winter, when week‐long flow reversals were frequently observed. The previously reported subpolar North Atlantic freshening event of the 2010s is evident in the BFZ mooring records beginning about January 2017. About one‐quarter of floats deployed in ISOW at 1800‐m depth upstream in the Iceland Basin show a direct advective pathway into the BFZ that appears to be primarily determined by bathymetry. Another quarter of the floats crossed over the ridge to the Irminger Sea through other gaps prior to reaching the Charlie‐Gibbs Fracture Zone. 
    more » « less
  5. ; (, Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans)
    Abstract The Iceland Scotland Overflow Water (ISOW) plume supplies approximately a third of the production of North Atlantic Deep Water and is a key component of the meridional overturning circulation (MOC). The Overturning in the Subpolar North Atlantic Program (OSNAP) mooring array in the Iceland Basin has provided high‐resolution observations of ISOW from 2014 to 2020. The ISOW plume forms a deep western boundary current along the eastern flank of Reykjanes Ridge, and its total transport varies by greater than a factor of two on intra‐seasonal timescales. EOF analysis of moored current meter records reveal two dominant modes of velocity variance. The first mode explains roughly 20% of the variance and shows a bottom intensified structure concentrated in the rift valley that runs parallel to the ridge axis. The transport anomaly reconstructed from the first mode explains nearly 80% of the total ISOW plume transport variance. The second mode accounts for 15% of velocity variance, but only 5% of the transport variance. The geostrophically estimated transport (2.9 Sv) recovers only 70% of the total ISOW transport along the ridge flank estimated from the direct current meter observations (4.2 Sv), implying a significant ageostrophic component of ISOW mean transport and variability. Ageostrophic flow is strongly linked to the leading mode of velocity variability within the rift valley. The ISOW transport variability along the upper and middle part of the ridge is further shown to correlate with changes in the strength of deep MOC limb across the basin‐wide OSNAP array. 
    more » « less
  • Citation Formats
  • MLA
  • APA
  • Chicago
  • BibTeX
  • Save / Share this Record
  • Send to Email