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The latitudinal temperature gradient is a fundamental state parameter of the climate system tied to the dynamics of heat transport and radiative transfer. Thus, it is a primary target for temperature proxy reconstructions and global climate models. However, reconstructing the latitudinal temperature gradient in past climates remains challenging due to the scarcity of appropriate proxy records and large proxy–model disagreements. Here, we develop methods leveraging an extensive compilation of planktonic foraminifera δ 18 O to reconstruct a continuous record of the latitudinal sea-surface temperature (SST) gradient over the last 95 million years (My). We find that latitudinal SST gradients ranged from 26.5 to 15.3 °C over a mean global SST range of 15.3 to 32.5 °C, with the highest gradients during the coldest intervals of time. From this relationship, we calculate a polar amplification factor (PAF; the ratio of change in >60° S SST to change in global mean SST) of 1.44 ± 0.15. Our results are closer to model predictions than previous proxy-based estimates, primarily because δ 18 O-based high-latitude SST estimates more closely track benthic temperatures, yielding higher gradients. The consistent covariance of δ 18 O values in low- and high-latitude planktonic foraminifera and in benthic foraminifera, across numerous climate states, suggests a fundamental constraint on multiple aspects of the climate system, linking deep-sea temperatures, the latitudinal SST gradient, and global mean SSTs across large changes in atmospheric CO 2 , continental configuration, oceanic gateways, and the extent of continental ice sheets. This implies an important underlying, internally driven predictability of the climate system in vastly different background states.
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A Dynamical Framework for Interpreting Ancient Sea Surface Temperatures
Abstract Efforts to estimate past global mean temperature and latitudinal gradients must contend with spatial heterogeneity in sea surface temperatures (SSTs). Here, we use modern SSTs to show that the environments from which most paleoclimatic data are drawn, shallow epeiric seas and continental margins, are systematically offset from zonal mean temperatures. Epeiric seas are warmer and more seasonal than open‐ocean values from the same latitudes, while continental margins exhibit consistent and predictable deviations related to gyre circulation. Warm temperatures inferred from Paleozoic proxy data may largely reflect that these data derive almost entirely from epeiric seas. Moreover, pseudoproxy analysis using Paleogene sampling localities demonstrates how undersampling of the full range of dynamical environments associated with gyre circulation can generate spurious estimates of latitudinal temperature gradients. Recognition of these global patterns permits a predictive framework within which to more robustly interpret proxy data, improve Earth system models, and reconstruct ancient dynamic regimes.
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- Award ID(s):
- 1903148
- PAR ID:
- 10452689
- Publisher / Repository:
- DOI PREFIX: 10.1029
- Date Published:
- Journal Name:
- Geophysical Research Letters
- Volume:
- 47
- Issue:
- 15
- ISSN:
- 0094-8276
- Format(s):
- Medium: X
- Sponsoring Org:
- National Science Foundation
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