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Fluctuating environmental conditions are ubiquitous in natural systems, and populations have evolved various strategies to cope with such fluctuations. The particular mechanisms that evolve profoundly influence subsequent evolutionary dynamics. One such mechanism is phenotypic plasticity, which is the ability of a single genotype to produce alternate phenotypes in an environmentally dependent context. Here, we use digital organisms (self-replicating computer programs) to investigate how adaptive phenotypic plasticity alters evolutionary dynamics and influences evolutionary outcomes in cyclically changing environments. Specifically, we examined the evolutionary histories of both plastic populations and non-plastic populations to ask: (1) Does adaptive plasticity promote or constrain evolutionary change? (2) Are plastic populations better able to evolve and then maintain novel traits? And (3), how does adaptive plasticity affect the potential for maladaptive alleles to accumulate in evolving genomes? We find that populations with adaptive phenotypic plasticity undergo less evolutionary change than non-plastic populations, which must rely on genetic variation from de novo mutations to continuously readapt to environmental fluctuations. Indeed, the non-plastic populations undergo more frequent selective sweeps and accumulate many more genetic changes. We find that the repeated selective sweeps in non-plastic populations drive the loss of beneficial traits and accumulation of maladaptive alleles, whereas phenotypic plasticity can stabilize populations against environmental fluctuations. This stabilization allows plastic populations to more easily retain novel adaptive traits than their non-plastic counterparts. In general, the evolution of adaptive phenotypic plasticity shifted evolutionary dynamics to be more similar to that of populations evolving in a static environment than to non-plastic populations evolving in an identical fluctuating environment. All natural environments subject populations to some form of change; our findings suggest that the stabilizing effect of phenotypic plasticity plays an important role in subsequent adaptive evolution.
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Optimal phenotypic adaptation in fluctuating environments
Phenotypic adaptation is a universal feature of biological systems navigating highly variable environments. Recent empirical data support the role of memory-driven decision making in cellular systems navigating uncertain future nutrient landscapes, wherein a distinct growth phenotype emerges in fluctuating conditions. We develop a simple stochastic mathematical model to describe memory-driven cellular adaptation required for systems to optimally navigate such uncertainty. In this framework, adaptive populations traverse dynamic environments by inferring future variation from a memory of prior states, and memory capacity imposes a fundamental trade-off between the speed and accuracy of adaptation to new fluctuating environments. Our results suggest that the observed growth reductions that occur in fluctuating environments are a direct consequence of optimal decision making and result from bet hedging and occasional phenotypic-environmental mismatch. We anticipate that this modeling framework will be useful for studying the role of memory in phenotypic adaptation, including in the design of temporally varying therapies against adaptive systems.
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- Award ID(s):
- 2019745
- PAR ID:
- 10512288
- Publisher / Repository:
- Biophysical Journal
- Date Published:
- Journal Name:
- Biophysical Journal
- Volume:
- 122
- Issue:
- 22
- ISSN:
- 0006-3495
- Page Range / eLocation ID:
- 4414 to 4424
- Format(s):
- Medium: X
- Sponsoring Org:
- National Science Foundation
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- Free Publicly Accessible Full Text
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Accepted Manuscript1.0
- Journal Article:
- https://doi.org/10.1016/j.bpj.2023.10.019
