Abstract Climate change is causing rapid, unexpected changes to ecosystems through alteration to environmental regimes, modification of species interactions, and increased frequency and magnitude of disturbances. Yet, how the type of disturbance affects food webs remains ambiguous. Long‐term studies capturing ecosystem responses to extreme events are necessary to understand climate effects on species interactions and ecosystem resilience but remain rare. In the Gulf of Mexico, our 8‐year study captured two disturbances that had contrasting effects on predator abundance and cascading effects on estuarine food webs. In 2017, Hurricane Harvey destroyed fishing infrastructure, fishing activity declined, and sportfish populations increased ~40% while intermediate trophic levels that sportfish prey upon declined ~50%. Then, in 2021, a fish kill caused by freezing temperatures during Winter Storm Uri reduced sportfish populations by ~60% and intermediate trophic levels increased by over 250%. Sportfish abundance affected the abundance and size of oyster reef mesopredators. Excluding fish predators significantly altered oyster reef community structure. These results demonstrate how extreme events shape communities and influence their resilience based on their effects on top predators. Moreover, top‐down forces from sportfish are important in estuaries, persist through disturbances, and influence community resilience, highlighting the necessity of proper recreational fisheries management through extreme events. 
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                            Recovery potential of fish and coral populations following ecological disturbance
                        
                    
    
            Abstract The health of coral reef benthic and fish communities is implicitly connected, yet typically studied and managed separately. By developing a coupled reef population model that connects coral populations and reef fish biomass through the habitat complexity that corals build and fish live among, we aim to address this gap by holistically quantifying ecological feedbacks and responses to ecological stressors. We explored the impacts of fishing effort in conjunction with three types of ecological disturbances as they propagated through a coral reef ecosystem: (1) a disturbance that disproportionately affected small, bio‐energetically vulnerable colonies, (2) a disturbance that predominantly affected large, mechanically vulnerable colonies, and (3) a disturbance that affected colonies of all sizes randomly. We found that joint coral and fish population recovery was fastest and most complete under events affecting small colonies, followed by recovery from disturbances affecting random sizes, and lastly large‐colony disturbances. These results suggest that the retention versus loss of large coral colonies with high reproductive potential critically influenced population recovery. Low fishing levels maintained fish and coral populations and allowed for recovery after disturbances, whereas high fishing levels prevented recovery due to greater fish‐dependent coral mortality. Finally, we tested various formulations of the relationship between coral size and habitat complexity (i.e., exponential, linear, logarithmic) that constrain fish carrying capacity. All formulations led to similar population projections in most disturbance scenarios, but there were exceptions where the timing and trajectory of recovery differed, such as faster and greater recovery potential when complexity is logarithmic with respect to coral size. These findings suggest that fishing and habitat complexity mediate the recovery of coral reef populations, emphasizing the importance of describing linkages between coral size distribution and reef habitat structure. Furthermore, our results highlight the utility of the coupled‐model framework for understanding and managing the impact of disturbances at ecosystem scales. 
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                            - PAR ID:
- 10517850
- Publisher / Repository:
- Wiley Blackwell (John Wiley & Sons)
- Date Published:
- Journal Name:
- Ecosphere
- Volume:
- 15
- Issue:
- 6
- ISSN:
- 2150-8925
- Format(s):
- Medium: X
- Sponsoring Org:
- National Science Foundation
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