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1. Supervised classification of slush and ponded water on Antarctic ice shelves using Landsat 8 imagery

   https://doi.org/10.1017/jog.2021.114  

   Dell, Rebecca L.; Banwell, Alison F.; Willis, Ian C.; Arnold, Neil S.; Halberstadt, Anna Ruth; Chudley, Thomas R.; Pritchard, Hamish D. (April 2022, Journal of Glaciology)

   Abstract Surface meltwater is becoming increasingly widespread on Antarctic ice shelves. It is stored within surface ponds and streams, or within firn pore spaces, which may saturate to form slush. Slush can reduce firn air content, increasing an ice-shelf's vulnerability to break-up. To date, no study has mapped the changing extent of slush across ice shelves. Here, we use Google Earth Engine and Landsat 8 images from six ice shelves to generate training classes using a k -means clustering algorithm, which are used to train a random forest classifier to identify both slush and ponded water. Validation using expert elicitation gives accuracies of 84% and 82% for the ponded water and slush classes, respectively. Errors result from subjectivity in identifying the ponded water/slush boundary, and from inclusion of cloud and shadows. We apply our classifier to the Roi Baudouin Ice Shelf for the entire 2013–20 Landsat 8 record. On average, 64% of all surface meltwater is classified as slush and 36% as ponded water. Total meltwater areal extent is greatest between late January and mid-February. This highlights the importance of mapping slush when studying surface meltwater on ice shelves. Future research will apply the classifier across all Antarctic ice shelves. 

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2. Lateral meltwater transfer across an Antarctic ice shelf

   https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-14-2313-2020  

   Dell, Rebecca; Arnold, Neil; Willis, Ian; Banwell, Alison; Williamson, Andrew; Pritchard, Hamish; Orr, Andrew (January 2020, The Cryosphere)

   null (Ed.)

   Abstract. Surface meltwater on ice shelves can exist as slush, it can pond in lakes orcrevasses, or it can flow in surface streams and rivers. The collapse of theLarsen B Ice Shelf in 2002 has been attributed to the sudden drainage of∼3000 surface lakes and has highlighted the potential forsurface water to cause ice-shelf instability. Surface meltwater systems havebeen identified across numerous Antarctic ice shelves, although the extentto which these systems impact ice-shelf instability is poorly constrained.To better understand the role of surface meltwater systems on ice shelves,it is important to track their seasonal development, monitoring thefluctuations in surface water volume and the transfer of water acrossice-shelf surfaces. Here, we use Landsat 8 and Sentinel-2 imagery to tracksurface meltwater across the Nivlisen Ice Shelf in the 2016–2017 meltseason. We develop the Fully Automated Supraglacial-Water Tracking algorithmfor Ice Shelves (FASTISh) and use it to identify and track the developmentof 1598 water bodies, which we classify as either circular or linear. Thetotal volume of surface meltwater peaks on 26 January 2017 at 5.5×107 m3. At this time, 63 % of the total volume is held withintwo linear surface meltwater systems, which are up to 27 km long, areorientated along the ice shelf's north–south axis, and follow the surfaceslope. Over the course of the melt season, they appear to migrate away fromthe grounding line, while growing in size and enveloping smaller waterbodies. This suggests there is large-scale lateral water transfer throughthe surface meltwater system and the firn pack towards the ice-shelf frontduring the summer. 

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3. Antarctic-wide ice-shelf firn emulation reveals robust future firn air depletion signal for the Antarctic Peninsula

   https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-024-01255-4  

   Dunmire, Devon; Wever, Nander; Banwell, Alison F.; Lenaerts, Jan T. M. (February 2024, Communications Earth & Environment)

   Abstract Antarctic firn is critical for ice-shelf stability because it stores meltwater that would otherwise pond on the surface. Ponded meltwater increases the risk of hydrofracture and subsequent potential ice-shelf collapse. Here, we use output from a firn model to build a computationally simpler emulator that uses a random forest to predict ice-shelf effective firn air content, which considers impermeable ice layers that make deeper parts of the firn inaccessible to meltwater, based on climate conditions. We find that summer air temperature and precipitation are the most important climatic features for predicting firn air content. Based on the climatology from an ensemble of Earth System Models, we find that the Larsen C Ice Shelf is most at risk of firn air depletion during the 21st century, while the larger Ross and Ronne-Filchner ice shelves are unlikely to experience substantial firn air content change. This work demonstrates the utility of emulation for computationally efficient estimations of complicated ice sheet processes. 

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4. Surface meltwater drainage and ponding on Amery Ice Shelf, East Antarctica, 1973–2019

   https://doi.org/10.1017/jog.2021.46  

   Spergel, Julian J.; Kingslake, Jonathan; Creyts, Timothy; van Wessem, Melchior; Fricker, Helen A. (January 2021, Journal of Glaciology)

   null (Ed.)

   Abstract Surface melting on Amery Ice Shelf (AIS), East Antarctica, produces an extensive supraglacial drainage system consisting of hundreds of lakes connected by surface channels. This drainage system forms most summers on the southern portion of AIS, transporting meltwater large distances northward, toward the ice front and terminating in lakes. Here we use satellite imagery, Landsat (1, 4 and 8), MODIS multispectral and Sentinel-1 synthetic aperture radar to examine the seasonal and interannual evolution of the drainage system over nearly five decades (1972–2019). We estimate seasonal meltwater input to one lake by integrating output from the regional climate model [Regional Atmospheric Climate Model (RACMO 2.3p2)] over its catchment defined using the Reference Elevation Model of Antarctica. We find only weak positive relationships between modeled seasonal meltwater input and lake area and between meltwater input and lake volume. Consecutive years of extensive melting lead to year-on-year expansion of the drainage system, potentially through a link between melt production, refreezing in firn and the maximum extent of the lakes at the downstream termini of drainage. These mechanisms are important when evaluating the potential of drainage systems to grow in response to increased melting, delivering meltwater to areas of ice shelves vulnerable to hydrofracture. 

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5. The 32-year record-high surface melt in 2019/2020 on the northern George VI Ice Shelf, Antarctic Peninsula

   https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-15-909-2021  

   Banwell, Alison F.; Datta, Rajashree Tri; Dell, Rebecca L.; Moussavi, Mahsa; Brucker, Ludovic; Picard, Ghislain; Shuman, Christopher A.; Stevens, Laura A. (January 2021, The Cryosphere)

   null (Ed.)

   Abstract. In the 2019/2020 austral summer, the surface melt duration andextent on the northern George VI Ice Shelf (GVIIS) was exceptional comparedto the 31 previous summers of distinctly lower melt. This finding is basedon analysis of near-continuous 41-year satellite microwave radiometer andscatterometer data, which are sensitive to meltwater on the ice shelfsurface and in the near-surface snow. Using optical satellite imagery fromLandsat 8 (2013 to 2020) and Sentinel-2 (2017 to 2020), record volumes ofsurface meltwater ponding were also observed on the northern GVIIS in2019/2020, with 23 % of the surface area covered by 0.62 km3 of ponded meltwater on 19 January. These exceptional melt andsurface ponding conditions in 2019/2020 were driven by sustained airtemperatures ≥0 ∘C for anomalously long periods (55 to 90 h)from late November onwards, which limited meltwater refreezing.The sustained warm periods were likely driven by warm, low-speed (≤7.5 m s−1) northwesterly and northeasterly winds and not by foehn windconditions, which were only present for 9 h total in the 2019/2020 meltseason. Increased surface ponding on ice shelves may threaten theirstability through increased potential for hydrofracture initiation; a riskthat may increase due to firn air content depletion in response tonear-surface melting. 

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