Sustainability has become a critical focus area across the technology industry, most notably in cloud data centers. In such shared-use computing environments, there is a need to account for the power consumption of individual users. Prior work on power prediction of individual user jobs in shared environments has often focused on workloads that stress a single resource, such as CPU or DRAM. These works typically employ a specific machine learning (ML) model to train and test on the target workload for high accuracy. However, modern workloads in data centers can stress multiple resources simultaneously, and cannot be assumed to always be available for training. This paper empirically evaluates the performance of various ML models under different model settings and training data assumptions for the per-job power prediction problem using a range of workloads. Our evaluation results provide key insights into the efficacy of different ML models. For example, we find that linear ML models suffer from poor prediction accuracy (as much as 25% prediction error), especially for unseen workloads. Conversely, non-linear models, specifically XGBoost and xRandom Forest, provide reasonable accuracy (7–9% error). We also find that data-normalization and the power-prediction model formulation affect the accuracy of individual ML models in different ways.
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This content will become publicly available on February 20, 2025
Deep energy-pressure regression for a thermodynamically consistent EOS model
In this paper, we aim to explore novel machine learning (ML) techniques to facilitate and accelerate the construction of universal equation-Of-State (EOS) models with a high accuracy while ensuring important thermodynamic consistency. When applying ML to fit a universal EOS model, there are two key requirements: (1) a high prediction accuracy to ensure precise estimation of relevant physics properties and (2) physical interpretability to support important physics-related downstream applications. We first identify a set of fundamental challenges from the accuracy perspective, including an extremely wide range of input/output space and highly sparse training data. We demonstrate that while a neural network (NN) model may fit the EOS data well, the black-box nature makes it difficult to provide physically interpretable results, leading to weak accountability of prediction results outside the training range and lack of guarantee to meet important thermodynamic consistency constraints. To this end, we propose a principled deep regression model that can be trained following a meta-learning style to predict the desired quantities with a high accuracy using scarce training data. We further introduce a uniquely designed kernel-based regularizer for accurate uncertainty quantification. An ensemble technique is leveraged to battle model overfitting with improved prediction stability. Auto-differentiation is conducted to verify that necessary thermodynamic consistency conditions are maintained. Our evaluation results show an excellent fit of the EOS table and the predicted values are ready to use for important physics-related tasks.
more » « less- Award ID(s):
- 2020249
- PAR ID:
- 10518332
- Publisher / Repository:
- iopscience.iop.org
- Date Published:
- Journal Name:
- Machine Learning: Science and Technology
- Volume:
- 5
- Issue:
- 1
- ISSN:
- 2632-2153
- Page Range / eLocation ID:
- 015031
- Format(s):
- Medium: X
- Sponsoring Org:
- National Science Foundation
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