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1. Decadal increases in carbon uptake offset by respiratory losses across northern permafrost ecosystems

   https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-024-02057-4  

   See, Craig R; Virkkala, Anna-Maria; Natali, Susan M; Rogers, Brendan M; Mauritz, Marguerite; Biasi, Christina; Bokhorst, Stef; Boike, Julia; Bret-Harte, M Syndonia; Celis, Gerardo; et al (August 2024, Nature Climate Change)

   Abstract Tundra and boreal ecosystems encompass the northern circumpolar permafrost region and are experiencing rapid environmental change with important implications for the global carbon (C) budget. We analysed multi-decadal time series containing 302 annual estimates of carbon dioxide (CO₂) flux across 70 permafrost and non-permafrost ecosystems, and 672 estimates of summer CO₂flux across 181 ecosystems. We find an increase in the annual CO₂sink across non-permafrost ecosystems but not permafrost ecosystems, despite similar increases in summer uptake. Thus, recent non-growing-season CO₂losses have substantially impacted the CO₂balance of permafrost ecosystems. Furthermore, analysis of interannual variability reveals warmer summers amplify the C cycle (increase productivity and respiration) at putatively nitrogen-limited sites and at sites less reliant on summer precipitation for water use. Our findings suggest that water and nutrient availability will be important predictors of the C-cycle response of these ecosystems to future warming. 

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2. Persistent net release of carbon dioxide and methane from an Alaskan lowland boreal peatland complex

   https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.17139  

   Euskirchen, Eugénie_S; Edgar, Colin_W; Kane, Evan_S; Waldrop, Mark_P; Neumann, Rebecca_B; Manies, Kristen_L; Douglas, Thomas_A; Dieleman, Catherine; Jones, Miriam_C; Turetsky, Merritt_R (January 2024, Global Change Biology)

   Abstract Permafrost degradation in peatlands is altering vegetation and soil properties and impacting net carbon storage. We studied four adjacent sites in Alaska with varied permafrost regimes, including a black spruce forest on a peat plateau with permafrost, two collapse scar bogs of different ages formed following thermokarst, and a rich fen without permafrost. Measurements included year‐round eddy covariance estimates of net carbon dioxide (CO₂), mid‐April to October methane (CH₄) emissions, and environmental variables. From 2011 to 2022, annual rainfall was above the historical average, snow water equivalent increased, and snow‐season duration shortened due to later snow return. Seasonally thawed active layer depths also increased. During this period, all ecosystems acted as slight annual sources of CO₂(13–59 g C m⁻² year⁻¹) and stronger sources of CH₄(11–14 g CH₄ m⁻²from ~April to October). The interannual variability of net ecosystem exchange was high, approximately ±100 g C m⁻² year⁻¹, or twice what has been previously reported across other boreal sites. Net CO₂release was positively related to increased summer rainfall and winter snow water equivalent and later snow return. Controls over CH₄emissions were related to increased soil moisture and inundation status. The dominant emitter of carbon was the rich fen, which, in addition to being a source of CO₂, was also the largest CH₄emitter. These results suggest that the future carbon‐source strength of boreal lowlands in Interior Alaska may be determined by the area occupied by minerotrophic fens, which are expected to become more abundant as permafrost thaw increases hydrologic connectivity. Since our measurements occur within close proximity of each other (≤1 km²), this study also has implications for the spatial scale and data used in benchmarking carbon cycle models and emphasizes the necessity of long‐term measurements to identify carbon cycle process changes in a warming climate. 

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3. Dynamic global vegetation models underestimate net CO ₂ flux mean and inter-annual variability in dryland ecosystems

   https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac1a38  

   MacBean, Natasha; Scott, Russell L; Biederman, Joel A; Peylin, Philippe; Kolb, Thomas; Litvak, Marcy E; Krishnan, Praveena; Meyers, Tilden P; Arora, Vivek K; Bastrikov, Vladislav; et al (August 2021, Environmental Research Letters)

   Abstract Despite their sparse vegetation, dryland regions exert a huge influence over global biogeochemical cycles because they cover more than 40% of the world surface (Schimel 2010 Science 327 418–9). It is thought that drylands dominate the inter-annual variability (IAV) and long-term trend in the global carbon (C) cycle (Poulter et al 2014 Nature 509 600–3, Ahlstrom et al 2015 Science 348 895–9, Zhang et al 2018 Glob. Change Biol . 24 3954–68). Projections of the global land C sink therefore rely on accurate representation of dryland C cycle processes; however, the dynamic global vegetation models (DGVMs) used in future projections have rarely been evaluated against dryland C flux data. Here, we carried out an evaluation of 14 DGVMs (TRENDY v7) against net ecosystem exchange (NEE) data from 12 dryland flux sites in the southwestern US encompassing a range of ecosystem types (forests, shrub- and grasslands). We find that all the models underestimate both mean annual C uptake/release as well as the magnitude of NEE IAV, suggesting that improvements in representing dryland regions may improve global C cycle projections. Across all models, the sensitivity and timing of ecosystem C uptake to plant available moisture was at fault. Spring biases in gross primary production (GPP) dominate the underestimate of mean annual NEE, whereas models’ lack of GPP response to water availability in both spring and summer monsoon are responsible for inability to capture NEE IAV. Errors in GPP moisture sensitivity at high elevation forested sites were more prominent during the spring, while errors at the low elevation shrub and grass-dominated sites were more important during the monsoon. We propose a range of hypotheses for why model GPP does not respond sufficiently to changing water availability that can serve as a guide for future dryland DGVM developments. Our analysis suggests that improvements in modeling C cycle processes across more than a quarter of the Earth’s land surface could be achieved by addressing the moisture sensitivity of dryland C uptake. 

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4. FLUXNET-CH ₄ Synthesis Activity: Objectives, Observations, and Future Directions

   https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-18-0268.1  

   Knox, Sara H.; Jackson, Robert B.; Poulter, Benjamin; McNicol, Gavin; Fluet-Chouinard, Etienne; Zhang, Zhen; Hugelius, Gustaf; Bousquet, Philippe; Canadell, Josep G.; Saunois, Marielle; et al (December 2019, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society)

   This paper describes the formation of, and initial results for, a new FLUXNET coordination network for ecosystem-scale methane (CH 4 ) measurements at 60 sites globally, organized by the Global Carbon Project in partnership with other initiatives and regional flux tower networks. The objectives of the effort are presented along with an overview of the coverage of eddy covariance (EC) CH 4 flux measurements globally, initial results comparing CH 4 fluxes across the sites, and future research directions and needs. Annual estimates of net CH 4 fluxes across sites ranged from −0.2 ± 0.02 g C m –2 yr –1 for an upland forest site to 114.9 ± 13.4 g C m –2 yr –1 for an estuarine freshwater marsh, with fluxes exceeding 40 g C m –2 yr –1 at multiple sites. Average annual soil and air temperatures were found to be the strongest predictor of annual CH 4 flux across wetland sites globally. Water table position was positively correlated with annual CH 4 emissions, although only for wetland sites that were not consistently inundated throughout the year. The ratio of annual CH 4 fluxes to ecosystem respiration increased significantly with mean site temperature. Uncertainties in annual CH 4 estimates due to gap-filling and random errors were on average ±1.6 g C m –2 yr –1 at 95% confidence, with the relative error decreasing exponentially with increasing flux magnitude across sites. Through the analysis and synthesis of a growing EC CH 4 flux database, the controls on ecosystem CH 4 fluxes can be better understood, used to inform and validate Earth system models, and reconcile differences between land surface model- and atmospheric-based estimates of CH 4 emissions. 

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5. Permafrost thaw driven changes in hydrology and vegetation cover increase trace gas emissions and climate forcing in Stordalen Mire from 1970 to 2014

   https://doi.org/10.1098/rsta.2021.0022  

   Varner, Ruth K.; Crill, Patrick M.; Frolking, Steve; McCalley, Carmody K.; Burke, Sophia A.; Chanton, Jeffrey P.; Holmes, M. Elizabeth; Saleska, Scott; Palace, Michael W. (January 2022, Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences)

   Permafrost thaw increases active layer thickness, changes landscape hydrology and influences vegetation species composition. These changes alter belowground microbial and geochemical processes, affecting production, consumption and net emission rates of climate forcing trace gases. Net carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) and methane (CH 4 ) fluxes determine the radiative forcing contribution from these climate-sensitive ecosystems. Permafrost peatlands may be a mosaic of dry frozen hummocks, semi-thawed or perched sphagnum dominated areas, wet permafrost-free sedge dominated sites and open water ponds. We revisited estimates of climate forcing made for 1970 and 2000 for Stordalen Mire in northern Sweden and found the trend of increasing forcing continued into 2014. The Mire continued to transition from dry permafrost to sedge and open water areas, increasing by 100% and 35%, respectively, over the 45-year period, causing the net radiative forcing of Stordalen Mire to shift from negative to positive. This trend is driven by transitioning vegetation community composition, improved estimates of annual CO 2 and CH 4 exchange and a 22% increase in the IPCC's 100-year global warming potential (GWP_100) value for CH 4 . These results indicate that discontinuous permafrost ecosystems, while still remaining a net overall sink of C, can become a positive feedback to climate change on decadal timescales. This article is part of a discussion meeting issue ‘Rising methane: is warming feeding warming? (part 2)’. 

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