More Like this

1. Decadal increases in carbon uptake offset by respiratory losses across northern permafrost ecosystems

   See, C (August 2024, Nature Climate Change)

   Tundra and boreal ecosystems encompass the northern circumpolar permafrost region and are experiencing rapid environmental change with important implications for the global carbon (C) budget. We analysed multi-decadal time series containing 302 annual estimates of carbon dioxide (CO2) flux across 70 permafrost and non permafrost ecosystems, and 672 estimates of summer CO2 flux across 181 ecosystems. We find an increase in the annual CO2 sink across non-permafrost ecosystems but not permafrost ecosystems, despite similar increases in summer uptake. Thus, recent non-growing-season CO2 losses have substantially impacted the CO2 balance of permafrost ecosystems. Furthermore, analysis of interannual variability reveals warmer summers amplify the C cycle (increase productivity and respiration) at putatively nitrogen-limited sites and at sites less reliant on summer precipitation for water use. Our findings suggest that water and nutrient availability will be important predictors of the C-cycle response of these ecosystems to future warming. 

   more » « less
2. Persistent net release of carbon dioxide and methane from an Alaskan lowland boreal peatland complex

   https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.17139  

   Euskirchen, Eugénie S.; Edgar, Colin W.; Kane, Evan S.; Waldrop, Mark P.; Neumann, Rebecca B.; Manies, Kristen L.; Douglas, Thomas A.; Dieleman, Catherine; Jones, Miriam C.; Turetsky, Merritt R. (January 2024, Global Change Biology)

   Abstract Permafrost degradation in peatlands is altering vegetation and soil properties and impacting net carbon storage. We studied four adjacent sites in Alaska with varied permafrost regimes, including a black spruce forest on a peat plateau with permafrost, two collapse scar bogs of different ages formed following thermokarst, and a rich fen without permafrost. Measurements included year‐round eddy covariance estimates of net carbon dioxide (CO₂), mid‐April to October methane (CH₄) emissions, and environmental variables. From 2011 to 2022, annual rainfall was above the historical average, snow water equivalent increased, and snow‐season duration shortened due to later snow return. Seasonally thawed active layer depths also increased. During this period, all ecosystems acted as slight annual sources of CO₂(13–59 g C m⁻² year⁻¹) and stronger sources of CH₄(11–14 g CH₄ m⁻²from ~April to October). The interannual variability of net ecosystem exchange was high, approximately ±100 g C m⁻² year⁻¹, or twice what has been previously reported across other boreal sites. Net CO₂release was positively related to increased summer rainfall and winter snow water equivalent and later snow return. Controls over CH₄emissions were related to increased soil moisture and inundation status. The dominant emitter of carbon was the rich fen, which, in addition to being a source of CO₂, was also the largest CH₄emitter. These results suggest that the future carbon‐source strength of boreal lowlands in Interior Alaska may be determined by the area occupied by minerotrophic fens, which are expected to become more abundant as permafrost thaw increases hydrologic connectivity. Since our measurements occur within close proximity of each other (≤1 km²), this study also has implications for the spatial scale and data used in benchmarking carbon cycle models and emphasizes the necessity of long‐term measurements to identify carbon cycle process changes in a warming climate. 

   more » « less
3. Permafrost Carbon: Progress on Understanding Stocks and Fluxes Across Northern Terrestrial Ecosystems

   https://doi.org/10.1029/2023JG007638  

   Treat, Claire C; Virkkala, Anna‐Maria; Burke, Eleanor; Bruhwiler, Lori; Chatterjee, Abhishek; Fisher, Joshua B; Hashemi, Josh; Parmentier, Frans‐Jan W; Rogers, Brendan M; Westermann, Sebastian; et al (March 2024, Journal of Geophysical Research: Biogeosciences)

   Abstract Significant progress in permafrost carbon science made over the past decades include the identification of vast permafrost carbon stocks, the development of new pan‐Arctic permafrost maps, an increase in terrestrial measurement sites for CO₂and methane fluxes, and important factors affecting carbon cycling, including vegetation changes, periods of soil freezing and thawing, wildfire, and other disturbance events. Process‐based modeling studies now include key elements of permafrost carbon cycling and advances in statistical modeling and inverse modeling enhance understanding of permafrost region C budgets. By combining existing data syntheses and model outputs, the permafrost region is likely a wetland methane source and small terrestrial ecosystem CO₂sink with lower net CO₂uptake toward higher latitudes, excluding wildfire emissions. For 2002–2014, the strongest CO₂sink was located in western Canada (median: −52 g C m⁻² y⁻¹) and smallest sinks in Alaska, Canadian tundra, and Siberian tundra (medians: −5 to −9 g C m⁻² y⁻¹). Eurasian regions had the largest median wetland methane fluxes (16–18 g CH₄m⁻² y⁻¹). Quantifying the regional scale carbon balance remains challenging because of high spatial and temporal variability and relatively low density of observations. More accurate permafrost region carbon fluxes require: (a) the development of better maps characterizing wetlands and dynamics of vegetation and disturbances, including abrupt permafrost thaw; (b) the establishment of new year‐round CO₂and methane flux sites in underrepresented areas; and (c) improved models that better represent important permafrost carbon cycle dynamics, including non‐growing season emissions and disturbance effects. 

   more » « less
4. The Net GHG Balance and Budget of the Permafrost Region (2000–2020) From Ecosystem Flux Upscaling

   https://doi.org/10.1029/2023GB007953  

   Ramage, Justine; Kuhn, McKenzie; Virkkala, Anna‐Maria; Voigt, Carolina; Marushchak, Maija E; Bastos, Ana; Biasi, Christina; Canadell, Josep G; Ciais, Philippe; López‐Blanco, Efrèn; et al (April 2024, Global Biogeochemical Cycles)

   Abstract The northern permafrost region has been projected to shift from a net sink to a net source of carbon under global warming. However, estimates of the contemporary net greenhouse gas (GHG) balance and budgets of the permafrost region remain highly uncertain. Here, we construct the first comprehensive bottom‐up budgets of CO₂, CH₄, and N₂O across the terrestrial permafrost region using databases of more than 1000 in situ flux measurements and a land cover‐based ecosystem flux upscaling approach for the period 2000–2020. Estimates indicate that the permafrost region emitted a mean annual flux of 12 (−606, 661) Tg CO₂–C yr⁻¹, 38 (22, 53) Tg CH₄–C yr⁻¹, and 0.67 (0.07, 1.3) Tg N₂O–N yr⁻¹to the atmosphere throughout the period. Thus, the region was a net source of CH₄and N₂O, while the CO₂balance was near neutral within its large uncertainties. Undisturbed terrestrial ecosystems had a CO₂sink of −340 (−836, 156) Tg CO₂–C yr⁻¹. Vertical emissions from fire disturbances and inland waters largely offset the sink in vegetated ecosystems. When including lateral fluxes for a complete GHG budget, the permafrost region was a net source of C and N, releasing 144 (−506, 826) Tg C yr⁻¹and 3 (2, 5) Tg N yr⁻¹. Large uncertainty ranges in these estimates point to a need for further expansion of monitoring networks, continued data synthesis efforts, and better integration of field observations, remote sensing data, and ecosystem models to constrain the contemporary net GHG budgets of the permafrost region and track their future trajectory. 

   more » « less
5. Recent Advances and Challenges in Monitoring and Modeling Non-Growing Season Carbon Dioxide Fluxes from the Arctic Boreal Zone

   https://doi.org/10.1007/s40641-023-00190-4  

   Arndt, Kyle A; Hashemi, Josh; Natali, Susan M; Schiferl, Luke D; Virkkala, Anna-Maria (June 2023, Current Climate Change Reports)

   Abstract Purpose of ReviewWhile previously thought to be negligible, carbon emissions during the non-growing season (NGS) can be a substantial part of the annual carbon budget in the Arctic boreal zone (ABZ), which can shift the carbon balance of these ecosystems from a long-held annual carbon sink towards a net annual carbon source. The purpose of this review is to summarize NGS carbon dioxide (CO₂) flux research in the ABZ that has been published within the past 5 years. Recent FindingsWe explore the processes and magnitudes of CO₂fluxes, and the status of modeling efforts, and evaluate future directions. With technological advances, direct measurements of NGS fluxes are increasing at sites across the ABZ over the past decade, showing ecosystems in the ABZ are a large source of CO₂in the shoulder seasons, with low, consistent, winter emissions. SummaryEcosystem carbon cycling models are being improved with some challenges, such as modeling below ground and snow processes, which are critical to understanding NGS CO₂fluxes. A lack of representative in situ carbon flux data and gridded environmental data are leading limiting factors preventing more accurate predictions of NGS carbon fluxes. 

   more » « less