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1. Compound Effects of Flood Drivers, Sea Level Rise, and Dredging Protocols on Vessel Navigability and Wetland Inundation Dynamics

   https://doi.org/10.3389/fmars.2022.906376  

   Muñoz, David F.; Moftakhari, Hamed; Kumar, Mukesh; Moradkhani, Hamid (July 2022, Frontiers in Marine Science)

   Maritime transportation is crucial to national economic development as it offers a low-cost, safe, and efficient alternative for movement of freight compared to its land or air counterparts. River and channel dredging protocols are often adopted in many ports and harbors of the world to meet the increasing demand for freight and ensure safe passage of larger vessels. However, such protocols may have unintended adverse consequences on flood risks and functioning of coastal ecosystems and thereby compromising the valuable services they provide to society and the environment. This study analyzes the compound effects of dredging protocols under a range of terrestrial and coastal flood drivers, including the effects of sea level rise (SLR) on compound flood risk, vessel navigability, and coastal wetland inundation dynamics in Mobile Bay (MB), Alabama. We develop a set of hydrodynamic simulation scenarios for a range of river flow and coastal water level regimes, SLR projections, and dredging protocols designed by the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers. We show that channel dredging helps increase bottom (‘underkeel’) clearances by a factor of 3.33 under current mean sea level and from 4.20 to 4.60 under SLR projections. We find that both low and high water surface elevations (WSEs) could be detrimental, with low WSE (< -1.22 m) hindering safe navigation whereas high WSE (> 0.87 m) triggering minor to major flooding in the surrounding urban and wetland areas. Likewise, we identify complex inundation patterns emerging from nonlinear interactions of SLR, flood drivers, and dredging protocols, and additionally estimate probability density functions (PDFs) of wetland inundation. We show that changes in mean sea level due to SLR diminish any effects of channel dredging on wetland inundation dynamics and shift the PDFs beyond pre-established thresholds for moderate and major flooding. In light of our results, we recommend the need for integrated analyses that account for compound effects on vessel navigation and wetland inundation, and provide insights into environmental-friendly solutions for increasing cargo transportation. 

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2. Synergistic effects of precipitation and groundwater extraction on freshwater wetland inundation

   https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvman.2023.117690  

   Balerna, Jessica A; Kramer, Andrew M; Landry, Shawn M; Rains, Mark C; Lewis, David B (July 2023, Journal of Environmental Management)

   Wetlands provide essential ecosystem services, including nutrient cycling, flood protection, and biodiversity support, that are sensitive to changes in wetland hydrology. Wetland hydrological inputs come from precipitation, groundwater discharge, and surface run-off. Changes to these inputs via climate variation, groundwater extraction, and land development may alter the timing and magnitude of wetland inundation. Here, we use a long-term (14-year) comparative study of 152 depressional wetlands in west-central Florida to identify sources of variation in wetland inundation during two key time periods, 2005–2009 and 2010–2018. These time periods are separated by the enactment of water conservation policies in 2009, which included regional reductions in groundwater extraction. We investigated the response of wetland inundation to the interactive effects of precipitation, groundwater extraction, surrounding land development, basin geomorphology, and wetland vegetation class. Results show that water levels were lower and hydroperiods were shorter in wetlands of all vegetation classes during the first (2005–2009) time period, which corresponded with low rainfall conditions and high rates of groundwater extraction. Under water conservation policies enacted in the second (2010–2018) time period, median wetland water depths increased 1.35 m and median hydroperiods increased from 46 % to 83 %. Water-level variation was additionally less sensitive to groundwater extraction. The increase in inundation differed among vegetation classes with some wetlands not displaying signs of hydrological recovery. After accounting for effects of several explanatory factors, inundation still varied considerably among wetlands, suggesting a diversity of hydrological regimes, and thus ecological function, among individual wetlands across the landscape. Policies seeking to balance human water demand with the preservation of depressional wetlands would benefit by recognizing the heightened sensitivity of wetland inundation to groundwater extraction during periods of low precipitation. 

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3. Temperature Across Vegetation Canopy-Water-Soil Interfaces Is Modulated by Hydroperiod and Extreme Weather in Coastal Wetlands

   https://doi.org/10.3389/fmars.2022.852901  

   Zhao, Xiaochen; Rivera-Monroy, Victor H.; Li, Chunyan; Vargas-Lopez, Ivan A.; Rohli, Robert V.; Xue, Z. George; Castañeda-Moya, Edward; Coronado-Molina, Carlos (May 2022, Frontiers in Marine Science)

   Environmental temperature is a widely used variable to describe weather and climate conditions. The use of temperature anomalies to identify variations in climate and weather systems makes temperature a key variable to evaluate not only climate variability but also shifts in ecosystem structural and functional properties. In contrast to terrestrial ecosystems, the assessment of regional temperature anomalies in coastal wetlands is more complex since the local temperature is modulated by hydrology and weather. Thus, it is unknown how the regional free-air temperature (T Free ) is coupled to local temperature anomalies, which can vary across interfaces among vegetation canopy, water, and soil that modify the wetland microclimate regime. Here, we investigated the temperature differences (offsets) at those three interfaces in mangrove-saltmarsh ecotones in coastal Louisiana and South Florida in the northern Gulf of Mexico (2017–2019). We found that the canopy offset (range: 0.2–1.6°C) between T Free and below-canopy temperature (T Canopy ) was caused by the canopy buffering effect. The similar offset values in both Louisiana and Florida underscore the role of vegetation in regulating near-ground energy fluxes. Overall, the inundation depth did not influence soil temperature (T Soil ). The interaction between frequency and duration of inundation, however, significantly modulated T Soil given the presence of water on the wetland soil surface, thus attenuating any short- or long-term changes in the T Canopy and T Free . Extreme weather events—including cold fronts and tropical cyclones—induced high defoliation and weakened canopy buffering, resulting in long-term changes in canopy or soil offsets. These results highlight the need to measure simultaneously the interaction between ecological and climatic processes to reduce uncertainty when modeling macro- and microclimate in coastal areas under a changing climate, especially given the current local temperature anomalies data scarcity. This work advances the coupling of Earth system models to climate models to forecast regional and global climate change and variability along coastal areas. 

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4. The Effects of Temperature, Flooding, and Goose Feces Addition on Greenhouse Gas Emissions and Ammonification in Four High Latitude Soils. Yukon Delta National Wildlife Refuge, Alaska, 2022.

   https://doi.org/10.18739/A2DR2PB1G  

   Ross, Jenna; Leffler, A Joshua (January 2024, NSF Arctic Data Center)

   The large carbon (C) stock of wetlands is vulnerable to climate change, especially in high latitudes that are warming at a disproportional rate. Likewise, low-lying Arctic areas will experience increased coastal flooding under climate change and sea-level rise, which may alter goose herbivory and fecal deposition patterns if geese are pushed inland. While temperature, flooding, and feces impact soil C emissions, their interactive effects have been rarely studied. Here, we explore the impact of these interactions on carbon dioxide (CO2) and methane (CH4) emissions and nitrogen (N) mineralization (ammonification) in soils collected from four plant communities in the Yukon-Kuskokwim (Y-K) Delta, a high latitude coastal wetland in western Alaska. Communities included a Grazing Lawn, which is intensely grazed and susceptible to flooding, a Lowland Wetland and an Upland Wetland that experience moderate grazing and frequent (Lowland) and less frequent (Upland) flooding, and a rarely grazed and flooded Tundra community, located at the highest elevation. Soils were incubated for 16 weeks at 8 degrees Celsius (°C) or 18°C in microcosms and subjected to flooding and feces addition treatments with no-flood and no-feces controls. We quantified C emissions weekly and ammonification over the course of the experiment. While warming increased ammonification and C demand in the Lowland Wetland and always increased CO2 and CH4 emissions, interactions with flooding complicated warming impacts on C emissions in the Grazing Lawn and Tundra. In the Grazing Lawn, flooding increased CH4 emissions at 8°C and 18 °C, but in the Tundra, flooding suppressed CH4 emissions at 18°C. Flooding alone reduced CO2 emissions in the Upland Wetland. Feces addition increased CO2 emissions in all communities, but feces impacts on CH4 emissions and ammonification were minimal. When feces and flooding occurred together in the Lowland Wetland, CH4 emissions decreased compared to when feces was added without concomitant flood. Feces decreased the immobilization of ammonium and N demand in the Tundra only. Our results suggest that flooding could partially offset C loss from warming in less frequently flooded, higher elevation communities, but this offset could be negligible if flooding and warming drastically increase C loss in more flooded lowland areas. 

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5. Uncertainties in Simulating Flooding During Hurricane Harvey Using 2D Shallow Water Equations

   https://doi.org/10.1029/2024WR038032  

   Xu, Donghui; Bisht, Gautam; Engwirda, Darren; Feng, Dongyu; Tan, Zeli; Ivanov, Valeriy_Y (January 2025, Water Resources Research)

   Abstract Flooding is one of the most impactful weather‐related natural hazards. Numerical models that solve the two dimensional (2D) shallow water equations (SWE) represent the first‐principles approach to simulate all types of spatial flooding, such as pluvial, fluvial, and coastal flooding, and their compound dynamics. High spatial resolution (e.g., () m) is needed in 2D SWE simulations to capture flood dynamics accurately, resulting in formidable computational challenges. Thus, relatively coarser spatial resolutions are used for large‐scale simulations of flooding, which introduce uncertainties in the results. It is unclear how the uncertainty associated with the model resolution compares to the uncertainties in precipitation data sets and assumptions regarding boundary conditions when channelized flows interact with other water bodies. In this study, we compare these three sources of uncertainties in 2D SWE simulations for the 2017 Houston flooding event. Our results show that precipitation uncertainty and mesh resolution have more significant impacts on the simulated streamflow and inundation dynamics than the choice of the downstream boundary condition at the watershed outlet. We point out the viability to confine the uncertainty of coarsening mesh resolution by using the variable resolution mesh (VRM) which refines critical topographic features with far fewer grid cells. Specifically, in simulations with VRM, the simulated inundation depths over the refined region are comparable to that use the finest uniform mesh. This study contributes to understanding the challenges and pathways for applying 2D SWE models to improve the realism of flood simulations over large scales. 

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