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In the rivers of the central part of the East European Plain (the Volga at Staritsa, the Oka at Kaluga, and the Don at Stanitsa Kazanskaya), long phases (10–15 years or more) of increased/decreased annual and seasonal runoff have occurred, as well as differences in the frequencies of extremely low flow conditions from the late 19th century to 2020. Phase boundaries were identified by cumulative deviation curves and statistical homogeneity. The frequencies of specific water flow values were estimated using the empirical curves of the exceedance probability of annual and seasonal water flows based on their long-term time series. In the century-long changes of rivers considered, two long contrasting phases were revealed. These phases are characterized by increased and decreased runoff of hydrological seasons. Near simultaneously, a phase of increased runoff was first observed for the freshet season. On the contrary, phases of decreased runoff were first observed for low-water seasons. The runoff phases differ significantly in duration and differences in flow. Significant differences were revealed in the frequency of low-water years for a low runoff with an exceedance probability above or equal to 75% and above or equal to 95%.
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Long-Term Changes in Water and Ion Flows of the Pechora River, the Longest Full-Water European Arctic River
Long-term series of annual and seasonal water flow and major ions in the Pechora River were analyzed. Long-term phases of increased and decreased water flow were identified, ranging in duration from 11 to 49 years, and the major characteristics of these phases were determined. Changes in the sequence and boundaries of contrast phases in the annual and snowmelt spring–summer flood runoff were found to coincide. The difference between the mean seasonal water runoff during the phases of increased and decreased flow varied from 12 to 41%. The ion flow values of contrast phases typically differed by 9 to 36%, which is less than for water flow. This is due to the inverse dependence between ion concentrations and water discharge. Such peculiar negative feedback stabilizes the rates of chemical denudation in the river catchments to some extent and, thus, the discharge of major ions into seas, even during significant variations in water.
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- PAR ID:
- 10533757
- Publisher / Repository:
- MDPI
- Date Published:
- Journal Name:
- Water
- Volume:
- 16
- Issue:
- 9
- ISSN:
- 2073-4441
- Page Range / eLocation ID:
- 1264
- Format(s):
- Medium: X
- Sponsoring Org:
- National Science Foundation
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- Free Publicly Accessible Full Text
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Accepted Manuscript1.0
- Journal Article:
- https://doi.org/10.3390/w16091264
