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Title: Methane flux from Beringian coastal wetlands for the past 20,000 years
Atmospheric methane (CH4) concentrations have gone through rapid changes since the last deglaciation; however, the reasons for abrupt increases around 14,700 and 11,600 years before present (yrs BP) are not fully understood. Concurrent with deglaciation, sea-level rise gradually inundated vast areas of the low-lying Beringian shelf. This transformation of what was once a terrestrial-permafrost tundra-steppe landscape, into coastal, and subsequently, marine environments led to new sources of CH4 from the region to the atmosphere. Here, we estimate, based on an extended geospatial analysis, the area of Beringian coastal wetlands in 1000-year intervals and their potential contribution to northern CH4 flux (based on present day CH4 fluxes from coastal wetland) during the past 20,000 years. At its maximum (∼14,000 yrs BP) we estimated CH4 fluxes from Beringia coastal wetlands to be 3.5 (+4.0/-1.9) Tg CH4 yr−1. This shifts the onset of CH4 fluxes from northern regions earlier, towards the Bølling-Allerød, preceding peak emissions from the formation of northern high latitude thermokarst lakes and wetlands. Emissions associated with the inundation of Beringian coastal wetlands better align with polar ice core reconstructions of northern hemisphere sources of atmospheric CH4 during the last deglaciation, suggesting a connection between rising sea level, coastal wetland expansion, and enhanced CH4 emissions. more »« less
Treat, C. C.; Jones, M. C.; Brosius, L. S.; Grosse, G.; Walter Anthony, K.; and Frolking, S.
(, EGU General Assembly 2021)
null
(Ed.)
The sources of atmospheric methane (CH4) during the Holocene remain widely debated, including the role of high latitude wetland and peatland expansion and fen-to-bog transitions. We reconstructed CH4 emissions from northern peatlands from 13,000 before present (BP) to present using an empirical model based on observations of peat initiation (>3600 14C dates), peatland type (>250 peat cores), and contemporary CH4 emissions in order to explore the effects of changes in wetland type and peatland expansion on CH4 emissions over the end of the late glacial and the Holocene. We find that fen area increased steadily before 8000 BP as fens formed in major wetland complexes. After 8000 BP, new fen formation continued but widespread peatland succession (to bogs) and permafrost aggradation occurred. Reconstructed CH4 emissions from peatlands increased rapidly between 10,600 BP and 6900 BP due to fen formation and expansion. Emissions stabilized after 5000 BP at 42 ± 25 Tg CH4 y-1 as high-emitting fens transitioned to lower-emitting bogs and permafrost peatlands. Widespread permafrost formation in northern peatlands after 1000 BP led to drier and colder soils which decreased CH4 emissions by 20% to 34 ± 21 Tg y-1 by the present day.
Delwiche, Kyle B.; Knox, Sara Helen; Malhotra, Avni; Fluet-Chouinard, Etienne; McNicol, Gavin; Feron, Sarah; Ouyang, Zutao; Papale, Dario; Trotta, Carlo; Canfora, Eleonora; et al
(, Earth System Science Data)
null
(Ed.)
Abstract. Methane (CH4) emissions from natural landscapes constituteroughly half of global CH4 contributions to the atmosphere, yet largeuncertainties remain in the absolute magnitude and the seasonality ofemission quantities and drivers. Eddy covariance (EC) measurements ofCH4 flux are ideal for constraining ecosystem-scale CH4emissions due to quasi-continuous and high-temporal-resolution CH4flux measurements, coincident carbon dioxide, water, and energy fluxmeasurements, lack of ecosystem disturbance, and increased availability ofdatasets over the last decade. Here, we (1) describe the newly publisheddataset, FLUXNET-CH4 Version 1.0, the first open-source global dataset ofCH4 EC measurements (available athttps://fluxnet.org/data/fluxnet-ch4-community-product/, last access: 7 April 2021). FLUXNET-CH4includes half-hourly and daily gap-filled and non-gap-filled aggregatedCH4 fluxes and meteorological data from 79 sites globally: 42freshwater wetlands, 6 brackish and saline wetlands, 7 formerly drainedecosystems, 7 rice paddy sites, 2 lakes, and 15 uplands. Then, we (2) evaluate FLUXNET-CH4 representativeness for freshwater wetland coverageglobally because the majority of sites in FLUXNET-CH4 Version 1.0 arefreshwater wetlands which are a substantial source of total atmosphericCH4 emissions; and (3) we provide the first global estimates of theseasonal variability and seasonality predictors of freshwater wetlandCH4 fluxes. Our representativeness analysis suggests that thefreshwater wetland sites in the dataset cover global wetland bioclimaticattributes (encompassing energy, moisture, and vegetation-relatedparameters) in arctic, boreal, and temperate regions but only sparselycover humid tropical regions. Seasonality metrics of wetland CH4emissions vary considerably across latitudinal bands. In freshwater wetlands(except those between 20∘ S to 20∘ N) the spring onsetof elevated CH4 emissions starts 3 d earlier, and the CH4emission season lasts 4 d longer, for each degree Celsius increase in meanannual air temperature. On average, the spring onset of increasing CH4emissions lags behind soil warming by 1 month, with very few sites experiencingincreased CH4 emissions prior to the onset of soil warming. Incontrast, roughly half of these sites experience the spring onset of risingCH4 emissions prior to the spring increase in gross primaryproductivity (GPP). The timing of peak summer CH4 emissions does notcorrelate with the timing for either peak summer temperature or peak GPP.Our results provide seasonality parameters for CH4 modeling andhighlight seasonality metrics that cannot be predicted by temperature or GPP(i.e., seasonality of CH4 peak). FLUXNET-CH4 is a powerful new resourcefor diagnosing and understanding the role of terrestrial ecosystems andclimate drivers in the global CH4 cycle, and future additions of sitesin tropical ecosystems and site years of data collection will provide addedvalue to this database. All seasonality parameters are available athttps://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.4672601 (Delwiche et al., 2021).Additionally, raw FLUXNET-CH4 data used to extract seasonality parameterscan be downloaded from https://fluxnet.org/data/fluxnet-ch4-community-product/ (last access: 7 April 2021), and a completelist of the 79 individual site data DOIs is provided in Table 2 of this paper.
Peltola, Olli; Vesala, Timo; Gao, Yao; Räty, Olle; Alekseychik, Pavel; Aurela, Mika; Chojnicki, Bogdan; Desai, Ankur R.; Dolman, Albertus J.; Euskirchen, Eugenie S.; et al
(, Earth System Science Data)
Abstract. Natural wetlands constitute the largest and most uncertain sourceof methane (CH4) to the atmosphere and a large fraction of them are found in the northern latitudes. These emissions are typically estimated using process (“bottom-up”) or inversion (“top-down”) models. However, estimates from these two types of models are not independent of each other since the top-down estimates usually rely on the a priori estimation of these emissions obtained with process models. Hence, independent spatially explicit validation data are needed. Here we utilize a random forest (RF) machine-learning technique to upscale CH4 eddy covariance flux measurements from 25 sites to estimate CH4 wetland emissions from the northern latitudes (north of 45∘ N). Eddy covariance datafrom 2005 to 2016 are used for model development. The model is then used to predict emissions during 2013 and 2014. The predictive performance of the RF model is evaluated using a leave-one-site-out cross-validation scheme. The performance (Nash–Sutcliffe model efficiency =0.47) is comparable to previous studies upscaling net ecosystem exchange of carbon dioxide and studies comparing process model output against site-level CH4 emission data. The global distribution of wetlands is one major source of uncertainty for upscaling CH4. Thus, three wetland distribution maps are utilized in the upscaling. Depending on the wetland distribution map, the annual emissions for the northern wetlands yield 32 (22.3–41.2, 95 % confidence interval calculated from a RF model ensemble), 31 (21.4–39.9) or 38 (25.9–49.5) Tg(CH4) yr−1. To further evaluate the uncertainties of the upscaled CH4 flux data products we also compared them against output from two process models (LPX-Bern and WetCHARTs), and methodological issues related to CH4 flux upscaling are discussed. The monthly upscaled CH4 flux data products are available athttps://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.2560163 (Peltola et al., 2019).
Shaw, Timothy A.; Li, Tanghua; Ng, Trina; Cahill, Niamh; Chua, Stephen; Majewski, Jedrzej M.; Nathan, Yudhishthra; Garner, Gregory G.; Kopp, Robert E.; Hanebuth, Till J.; et al
(, Communications Earth & Environment)
Abstract Low elevation equatorial and tropical coastal regions are highly vulnerable to sea level rise. Here we provide probability perspectives of future sea level for Singapore using regional geological reconstructions and instrumental records since the last glacial maximum ~21.5 thousand years ago. We quantify magnitudes and rates of sea-level change showing deglacial sea level rose from ~121 m below present level and increased at averaged rates up to ~15 mm/yr, which reduced the paleogeographic landscape by ~2.3 million km 2 . Projections under a moderate emissions scenario show sea level rising 0.95 m at a rate of 7.3 mm/yr by 2150 which has only been exceeded (at least 99% probability) during rapid ice mass loss events ~14.5 and ~9 thousand years ago. Projections under a high emissions scenario incorporating low confidence ice-sheet processes, however, have no precedent during the last deglaciation.
Ross, Jenna; Leffler, A Joshua
(, NSF Arctic Data Center)
The large carbon (C) stock of wetlands is vulnerable to climate change, especially in high latitudes that are warming at a disproportional rate. Likewise, low-lying Arctic areas will experience increased coastal flooding under climate change and sea-level rise, which may alter goose herbivory and fecal deposition patterns if geese are pushed inland. While temperature, flooding, and feces impact soil C emissions, their interactive effects have been rarely studied. Here, we explore the impact of these interactions on carbon dioxide (CO2) and methane (CH4) emissions and nitrogen (N) mineralization (ammonification) in soils collected from four plant communities in the Yukon-Kuskokwim (Y-K) Delta, a high latitude coastal wetland in western Alaska. Communities included a Grazing Lawn, which is intensely grazed and susceptible to flooding, a Lowland Wetland and an Upland Wetland that experience moderate grazing and frequent (Lowland) and less frequent (Upland) flooding, and a rarely grazed and flooded Tundra community, located at the highest elevation. Soils were incubated for 16 weeks at 8 degrees Celsius (°C) or 18°C in microcosms and subjected to flooding and feces addition treatments with no-flood and no-feces controls. We quantified C emissions weekly and ammonification over the course of the experiment. While warming increased ammonification and C demand in the Lowland Wetland and always increased CO2 and CH4 emissions, interactions with flooding complicated warming impacts on C emissions in the Grazing Lawn and Tundra. In the Grazing Lawn, flooding increased CH4 emissions at 8°C and 18 °C, but in the Tundra, flooding suppressed CH4 emissions at 18°C. Flooding alone reduced CO2 emissions in the Upland Wetland. Feces addition increased CO2 emissions in all communities, but feces impacts on CH4 emissions and ammonification were minimal. When feces and flooding occurred together in the Lowland Wetland, CH4 emissions decreased compared to when feces was added without concomitant flood. Feces decreased the immobilization of ammonium and N demand in the Tundra only. Our results suggest that flooding could partially offset C loss from warming in less frequently flooded, higher elevation communities, but this offset could be negligible if flooding and warming drastically increase C loss in more flooded lowland areas.
Fuchs, Matthias, Jones, Miriam C, Gowan, Evan J, Frolking, Steve, Walter_Anthony, Katey, Grosse, Guido, Jones, Benjamin M, O'Donnell, Jonathan A, Brosius, Laura, and Treat, Claire. Methane flux from Beringian coastal wetlands for the past 20,000 years. Retrieved from https://par.nsf.gov/biblio/10545078. Quaternary Science Reviews 344.C Web. doi:10.1016/j.quascirev.2024.108976.
Fuchs, Matthias, Jones, Miriam C, Gowan, Evan J, Frolking, Steve, Walter_Anthony, Katey, Grosse, Guido, Jones, Benjamin M, O'Donnell, Jonathan A, Brosius, Laura, & Treat, Claire. Methane flux from Beringian coastal wetlands for the past 20,000 years. Quaternary Science Reviews, 344 (C). Retrieved from https://par.nsf.gov/biblio/10545078. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2024.108976
Fuchs, Matthias, Jones, Miriam C, Gowan, Evan J, Frolking, Steve, Walter_Anthony, Katey, Grosse, Guido, Jones, Benjamin M, O'Donnell, Jonathan A, Brosius, Laura, and Treat, Claire.
"Methane flux from Beringian coastal wetlands for the past 20,000 years". Quaternary Science Reviews 344 (C). Country unknown/Code not available: Quaternary Science Reviews. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2024.108976.https://par.nsf.gov/biblio/10545078.
@article{osti_10545078,
place = {Country unknown/Code not available},
title = {Methane flux from Beringian coastal wetlands for the past 20,000 years},
url = {https://par.nsf.gov/biblio/10545078},
DOI = {10.1016/j.quascirev.2024.108976},
abstractNote = {Atmospheric methane (CH4) concentrations have gone through rapid changes since the last deglaciation; however, the reasons for abrupt increases around 14,700 and 11,600 years before present (yrs BP) are not fully understood. Concurrent with deglaciation, sea-level rise gradually inundated vast areas of the low-lying Beringian shelf. This transformation of what was once a terrestrial-permafrost tundra-steppe landscape, into coastal, and subsequently, marine environments led to new sources of CH4 from the region to the atmosphere. Here, we estimate, based on an extended geospatial analysis, the area of Beringian coastal wetlands in 1000-year intervals and their potential contribution to northern CH4 flux (based on present day CH4 fluxes from coastal wetland) during the past 20,000 years. At its maximum (∼14,000 yrs BP) we estimated CH4 fluxes from Beringia coastal wetlands to be 3.5 (+4.0/-1.9) Tg CH4 yr−1. This shifts the onset of CH4 fluxes from northern regions earlier, towards the Bølling-Allerød, preceding peak emissions from the formation of northern high latitude thermokarst lakes and wetlands. Emissions associated with the inundation of Beringian coastal wetlands better align with polar ice core reconstructions of northern hemisphere sources of atmospheric CH4 during the last deglaciation, suggesting a connection between rising sea level, coastal wetland expansion, and enhanced CH4 emissions.},
journal = {Quaternary Science Reviews},
volume = {344},
number = {C},
publisher = {Quaternary Science Reviews},
author = {Fuchs, Matthias and Jones, Miriam C and Gowan, Evan J and Frolking, Steve and Walter_Anthony, Katey and Grosse, Guido and Jones, Benjamin M and O'Donnell, Jonathan A and Brosius, Laura and Treat, Claire},
}
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