Abstract. We analyze tropical ozone (O3) and carbon monoxide (CO) distributions in the upper troposphere (UT) for 2005–2020 using Aura Microwave Limb Sounder (MLS) observations and simulations from the Whole Atmosphere Community Climate Model (WACCM) and two variants of the Community Atmosphere Model with Chemistry (CAM-chem), with each variant using different anthropogenic CO emissions. Trends and variability diagnostics are obtained from multiple linear regression. The MLS zonal mean O3 UT trend for 20° S–20° N is +0.39 ± 0.28 % yr−1; the WACCM and CAM-chem simulations yield similar trends, although the WACCM result is somewhat smaller. Our analyses of gridded MLS data yield positive O3 trends (up to 1.4 % yr−1) over Indonesia and east of that region, as well as over Africa and the Atlantic. These positive mapped O3 trends are generally captured by the simulations but in a more muted way. We find broad similarities (and some differences) between mapped MLS UT O3 trends and corresponding mapped trends of tropospheric column ozone. The MLS zonal mean CO UT trend for 20° S–20° N is −0.25 ± 0.30 % yr−1, while the corresponding CAM-chem trend is 0.0 ± 0.14 % yr−1 when anthropogenic emissions are taken from the Community Emissions Data System (CEDS) version 2. The CAM-chem simulation driven by CAMS-GLOB-ANTv5 emissions yields a tropical mean CO UT trend of 0.22 ± 0.19 % yr−1, in contrast to the slightly negative MLS CO trend. Previously published analyses of total column CO data have shown negative trends. Our tropical composition trend results contribute to continuing international assessments of tropospheric evolution.
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Tropical tropospheric ozone distribution and trends from in situ and satellite data
Abstract. Tropical tropospheric ozone (TTO) is important for the global radiation budget because the longwave radiative effect of tropospheric ozone is higher in the tropics than midlatitudes. In recent decades the TTO burden has increased, partly due to the ongoing shift of ozone precursor emissions from midlatitude regions toward the Equator. In this study, we assess the distribution and trends of TTO using ozone profiles measured by high-quality in situ instruments from the IAGOS (In-Service Aircraft for a Global Observing System) commercial aircraft, the SHADOZ (Southern Hemisphere ADditional OZonesondes) network, and the ATom (Atmospheric Tomographic Mission) aircraft campaign, as well as six satellite records reporting tropical tropospheric column ozone (TTCO): TROPOspheric Monitoring Instrument (TROPOMI), Ozone Monitoring Instrument (OMI), OMI/Microwave Limb Sounder (MLS), Ozone Mapping Profiler Suite (OMPS)/Modern-Era Retrospective analysis for Research and Applications version 2 (MERRA-2), Cross-track Infrared Sounder (CrIS), and Infrared Atmospheric Sounding Interferometer (IASI)/Global Ozone Monitoring Experiment 2 (GOME2). With greater availability of ozone profiles across the tropics we can now demonstrate that tropical India is among the most polluted regions (e.g., western Africa, tropical South Atlantic, Southeast Asia, Malaysia and Indonesia), with present-day 95th percentile ozone values reaching 80 nmol mol−1 in the lower free troposphere, comparable to midlatitude regions such as northeastern China and Korea. In situ observations show that TTO increased between 1994 and 2019, with the largest mid- and upper-tropospheric increases above India, Southeast Asia, and Malaysia and Indonesia (from 3.4 ± 0.8 to 6.8 ± 1.8 nmol mol−1 decade−1), reaching 11 ± 2.4 and 8 ± 0.8 nmol mol−1 decade−1 close to the surface (India and Malaysia–Indonesia, respectively). The longest continuous satellite records only span 2004–2019 but also show increasing ozone across the tropics when their full sampling is considered, with maximum trends over Southeast Asia of 2.31 ± 1.34 nmol mol−1 decade−1 (OMI) and 1.69 ± 0.89 nmol mol−1 decade−1 (OMI/MLS). In general, the sparsely sampled aircraft and ozonesonde records do not detect the 2004–2019 ozone increase, which could be due to the genuine trends on this timescale being masked by the additional uncertainty resulting from sparse sampling. The fact that the sign of the trends detected with satellite records changes above three IAGOS regions, when their sampling frequency is limited to that of the in situ observations, demonstrates the limitations of sparse in situ sampling strategies. This study exposes the need to maintain and develop high-frequency continuous observations (in situ and remote sensing) above the tropical Pacific Ocean, the Indian Ocean, western Africa, and South Asia in order to estimate accurate and precise ozone trends for these regions. In contrast, Southeast Asia and Malaysia–Indonesia are regions with such strong increases in ozone that the current in situ sampling frequency is adequate to detect the trends on a relatively short 15-year timescale.
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- Award ID(s):
- 2128446
- PAR ID:
- 10567530
- Author(s) / Creator(s):
- ; ; ; ; ; ; ; ; ; ; ; ; ; ; ; ; ; ; ; more »
- Publisher / Repository:
- Copernicus
- Date Published:
- Journal Name:
- Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics
- Volume:
- 24
- Issue:
- 17
- ISSN:
- 1680-7324
- Page Range / eLocation ID:
- 9975 to 10000
- Format(s):
- Medium: X
- Sponsoring Org:
- National Science Foundation
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