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Abstract A two decade‐long megadrought, with likely anthropogenic causes, has impacted forest growth and mortality across the southwestern U.S. Given this event, and the future likelihood of similar climate challenges, it is important to understand how different water resources are used by semi‐arid forests in this region. Within the geographic domain of the North American Monsoon climate system, we studied seasonal water‐use in eight differentPinus ponderosamontane forests distributed across a climate gradient with varying contributions from winter and summer precipitation. We collected oxygen isotopes from precipitation, soil, and xylem water during two contrasting hydrologic years to determine how trees differentially use winter versus summer precipitation sources. Most trees switched from using snowmelt water as the primary source during the early‐summer hyper‐arid period, to monsoon rainwater during the late‐summer. However, during the low snowpack year, which represents the most common climate phenomenon during the megadrought, trees at all sites used less summer rain when compared to the higher snowpack year, demonstrating a drought‐induced antecedent influence of winter precipitation on the uptake of summer rain. A possible mechanism to explain the antecedent effect is an earlier snow disappearance during the low snowpack year weakening hydrologic connectivity within the soil profile, decreasing the soil infiltration of summer rains. However, in years with higher snowpack, the snow lasts longer, and this can improve the hydrologic connectivity within the soil profile. As a result, there is more infiltration of summer rains into the soils. This can enhance the maintenance of active shallow fine‐root biomass during the period when snowpack disappears, and monsoon rains have yet to arrive. These findings provide insight into how the seasonal interactions between major seasonal climate systems influence forest tree water use in the face of an extreme megadrought.
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This content will become publicly available on December 18, 2025
Long-term measurements of seasonal snowpacks indicate increases in mid-winter snowmelt and earlier snowpack disappearance in the northeastern U.S.
Snowpacks are changing in northeastern North America as the regional climate warms, yet the relative influence of changes in precipitation compared to changes in ablation on snowpacks is poorly understood. We use 56 years of weekly snow water equivalent (SWE) measurements from three locations within a study site which vary in elevation and aspect, paired with adjacent daily climate measurements, to investigate relationships between climate and snowpack onset, maximum, and disappearance. Maximum snowpack size and snowpack duration are shrinking at all sites, at rates ranging from 4.3 days/decade at the coldest site to 9.6 days/decade at the warmest site. The shorter snowpack duration at all sites results from an earlier snowpack disappearance, stemming largely from reduced winter maximum snowpack sizes. Trends in snowpack establishment dates vary, with the south-facing site showing a trend toward later establishment but the two north-facing sites showing no change. The date of the maximum snowpack size varies by aspect and elevation but is not changing at any site. Using a 0° C threshold for frozen vs. liquid precipitation, we only observed a decrease in the proportion of precipitation falling in frozen form at the warmer, south-facing site in the winter period. In contrast, the total weekly snowpack ablation in the winter period has been increasing at least marginally at each site, even at sites which do not show increases in thawing conditions. Ablation increases range from 0.4 cm/decade at the warmest site, to 1.4 and 1.2 cm/decade at the north-facing sites. The south-facing site shows only marginally significant trends in total winter ablation, which we interpret as being limited by the smaller snowpack at this site. Overall, we conclude that rising air temperatures are leading to warmer, more sensitive snowpacks and this change becomes evident before those temperatures lead to changes in precipitation form.
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- PAR ID:
- 10572686
- Editor(s):
- Ai, Zhipin
- Publisher / Repository:
- Public Library of Science (PLOS)
- Date Published:
- Journal Name:
- PLOS Climate
- Volume:
- 3
- Issue:
- 12
- ISSN:
- 2767-3200
- Page Range / eLocation ID:
- e0000529
- Format(s):
- Medium: X
- Sponsoring Org:
- National Science Foundation
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